@addisonsantos

Addison SantosJoined May 18, 2026

head of wholesale at kids/baby co, ($1B+ legacy). Chicago · Ozempic discourse haver. Twenty years on the kids & baby desk.

Calibration

0.23

Top 47% of 68

Win rate

50%

1W · 1L

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

+3 SP

Need at least two settlements to draw a curve.

Calibration

1 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 46%16 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: MondelezNO
40 SP @ 50%21 hours ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: No IPO filing in 2026NO
8 SP @ 55%21 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: UnileverNO
40 SP @ 39%23 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: NestleNO
40 SP @ 48%23 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other acquirerNO
40 SP @ 41%yesterday
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other acquirerNO
40 SP @ 45%yesterday
First CPG company to file S-1 in 2026: None of the aboveNO
40 SP @ 39%yesterday
Will a US streaming service win an NBA, NFL, or MLB exclusive package in 2026?NO
12 SP @ 42%yesterday
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: Over 10%NO
8 SP @ 48%yesterday
Largest CPG fundraise announced between May 16 and July 15, 2026 (deal-size band): $100M – $200MYES
8 SP @ 58%yesterday
Hershey's 2026 acquisition target: Three WishesYES
9 SP @ 70%yesterday
Most-funded GLP-1 weight-loss app of 2026: OtherNO
9 SP @ 23%yesterday
Will Athletic Brewing close a Series D by July 15, 2026?YES
12 SP @ 88%yesterday
Athletic Greens (AG1) next major event: Major retail partnershipYES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Will Athletic Brewing double its US distribution footprint in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 35%2 days ago
Big-tech sleep acquisition 2026: OuraNO
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Hims's biggest 2026 acquisition: CalibrateNO
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Biggest snack IPO of 2026: Liquid Death (snacks LOI)NO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Will Olipop publicly report (or be reported to have) revenue above $500M for CY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Pet wearable to hit 1M subscribers 2026: TractiveNO
8 SP @ 32%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifNO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Will Sonos report a positive YoY revenue quarter in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: NestleNO
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Casper OriginalNO
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
First mushroom coffee to 1,000 Whole Foods doors: NoneNO
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
First retailer to launch private-label GLP-1 program 2026: WalgreensNO
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
First DTC pet pharmacy to scale in 2026: None hit $100MYES
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Will Garmin announce a Fenix 9 in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Top-selling longevity supplement of 2026: Nicotinamide Riboside (NR)YES
10 SP @ 26%3 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Fastest-growing frozen food brand 2026: WildscapeYES
9 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Expo West 2026 Best New Product winner: Catalina CrunchNO
9 SP @ 69%3 days ago
Whoop next funding event 2026: AcquisitionNO
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Will Aldi open 250+ new US stores in calendar 2026?NO
60 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Cereal brand acquired by General Mills in 2026: Magic SpoonNO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Will Magic Spoon hit 10K Walmart doors by Q4 2026?NO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Will Ghia raise a Series B by end of Q3 2026?YES
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Athletic Greens (AG1) next major event: Series D+NO
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Largest CPG fundraise announced between May 16 and July 15, 2026 (deal-size band): $100M – $200MNO
9 SP @ 70%3 days ago
Will a functional beverage brand air a Super Bowl ad in 2027?NO
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Will Expo West 2027 have more than 200 functional beverage exhibitors?NO
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
32 SP @ 47%3 days ago
First DTC pet pharmacy to scale in 2026: None hit $100MYES
11 SP @ 22%3 days ago
Eight Sleep's next funding milestone: AcquisitionYES
9 SP @ 71%4 days ago
Will Sweetgreen report positive same-store sales for Q3 2026?YES
38 SP @ 46%4 days ago
Chewy vs Petco market cap winner EOY 2026: ChewyYES
11 SP @ 25%4 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
45 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Will Hyundai-Kia outsell GM in any US monthly sales report in 2026?NO
22 SP @ 43%4 days ago
Most-viral CPG brand on TikTok in June 2026: Liquid DeathNO
9 SP @ 65%4 days ago
First DTC pet pharmacy to scale in 2026: AllivetNO
8 SP @ 34%4 days ago
Top plant milk brand by 2026 retail dollars: Trader Joe's private labelYES
9 SP @ 38%4 days ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: No IPO filing in 2026YES
9 SP @ 31%4 days ago
First mushroom coffee to 1,000 Whole Foods doors: NoneNO
8 SP @ 39%4 days ago
First GLP-1 telehealth to raise a mega-round in 2026: FoundNO
9 SP @ 65%4 days ago
Pet wearable to hit 1M subscribers 2026: WhistleYES
8 SP @ 54%4 days ago
Biggest CPG IPO of 2026 (company): Athletic BrewingYES
8 SP @ 62%4 days ago
Expo West 2026 Best New Product winner: Bobo'sNO
8 SP @ 57%4 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: GoodthreadsNO
8 SP @ 51%4 days ago
Will PepsiCo extend its distribution agreement with Celsius beyond its current term?YES
8 SP @ 64%4 days ago
Will Slate Auto begin customer deliveries in 2026?YES
31 SP @ 50%4 days ago
Liquid Death's next category expansion by July 31, 2026: Hard seltzerNO
8 SP @ 57%4 days ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
44 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 46%4 days ago
Will the US federal EV tax credit ($7,500) survive intact through EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 60%4 days ago
Biggest CPG IPO of 2026 (company): Liquid DeathNO
10 SP @ 72%4 days ago
First mushroom coffee to 1,000 Whole Foods doors: NoneYES
8 SP @ 42%4 days ago
Hershey's 2026 acquisition target: Three WishesYES
9 SP @ 77%4 days ago
First plant-based dog food to $100M revenue: Wild EarthNO
8 SP @ 51%4 days ago
Biggest CPG IPO of 2026 (company): Liquid DeathYES
9 SP @ 78%4 days ago
Will Liquid Death announce an international retail expansion by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 64%4 days ago
Will Poppi announce an acquisition (any party) in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 41%4 days ago
Will Poppi announce an acquisition (any party) in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 44%4 days ago
First GLP-1 telehealth to raise a mega-round in 2026: CalibrateNO
8 SP @ 51%4 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 45%4 days ago
Most-acquired pet treat brand 2026: Open Farm TreatsYES
8 SP @ 40%4 days ago
Will the US federal EV tax credit ($7,500) survive intact through EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 55%4 days ago
First retailer to launch private-label GLP-1 program 2026: CostcoYES
8 SP @ 69%4 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: GT's Living FoodsYES
8 SP @ 47%4 days ago
Will a US streaming service win an NBA, NFL, or MLB exclusive package in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 47%5 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 66%5 days ago
Top-selling longevity supplement of 2026: ResveratrolNO
8 SP @ 55%5 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: BluelandYES
8 SP @ 52%5 days ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 48%5 days ago
Will Trader Joe's open its first store in a new US state in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 31%5 days ago
Whoop next funding event 2026: AcquisitionYES
8 SP @ 42%5 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: PoppiYES
9 SP @ 70%5 days ago
Fastest-growing frozen food brand 2026: Vegan Rob'sNO
8 SP @ 51%5 days ago
First DTC pet pharmacy to scale in 2026: Pet Care RxYES
8 SP @ 67%5 days ago
Will Nothing officially launch a phone in the US in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 64%5 days ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Florence by MillsNO
8 SP @ 37%5 days ago
First plant-based dog food to $100M revenue: Halo (plant-based line)NO
8 SP @ 31%5 days ago
First GLP-1 telehealth to raise a mega-round in 2026: Sequence (Weight Watchers)YES
21 SP @ 97%5 days ago
Will Heineken 0.0 grow US case volume 30%+ YoY in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 51%5 days ago
Most-acquired pet food brand of 2026: Wild EarthNO
8 SP @ 35%5 days ago
Will Apple ship a second-generation Vision Pro in 2026?NO
18 SP @ 37%5 days ago
Creatine brand of the year 2026: ThorneNO
8 SP @ 31%5 days ago
Apple's biggest sleep feature launch in 2026: AirPods sleep trackingNO
9 SP @ 62%5 days ago
Strategic that loses the most CPG market share in 2026: J.M. SmuckerNO
9 SP @ 25%5 days ago