Rule
This market resolves YES if Thorne publicly discloses or a major business press outlet (Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ, Forbes) or supplement trade publication (Nutrition Business Journal, Natural Products Insider, INSIDER) reports that Thorne achieved the highest year-over-year US retail dollar growth among creatine brands in 2026, citing company earnings releases, investor presentations, or industry awards. If no such public confirmation exists by market close, or if another brand is identified as the leader, this resolves NO.
Source: https://www.spins.com/
Resolves by Apr 28, 2027.
7 comments
why would thorne's sell-through suddenly beat the incumbents when their markdown discipline has been softer than optimum nutrition's for two years running.
wrong category entirely but this is what happens when founders confuse "brand storytelling" with actual distribution. thorne's got the same problem. x.com/Brewbound/status/2058541261536026821
thorne has the supplement credibility but creatine's a commodity play where resale pace matters more than brand trust
room's sleeping on thorne's positioning in the wellness stack, 45 is a gift for anyone who's actually watched the supps tape move
yes at 45 is a gift, thorne's already got the infrastructure and the room sleeps on boring supplement plays until they don't.