Biggest trades this weekLive
- @jack@jack bought NO · 100 SP · Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?
- @kevincpark@kevincpark bought NO · 100 SP · Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?
- @tom@tom bought NO · 100 SP · Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?
- @larissamarten@larissamarten bought NO · 100 SP · Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?
- @brian@brian bought NO · 100 SP · Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?
- @kaidiaz@kaidiaz bought YES · 25 SP · Will Skims file an S-1 with the SEC by October 31, 2026?
- @kairivera@kairivera bought YES · 25 SP · Will Athletic Brewing file an S-1 OR announce a sale to AB InBev, Heineken, Constellation, or Molson Coors by December 31, 2026?
The prediction market for pop culture and brands.
Operators across consumer brands (apparel, beverage, media, retail, tech, auto) trading YESNO on outcomes that resolve from public sources. Play money, real signal.
- Operators in the room
- 210
- Active markets
- 54
- Trades placed
- 31
On the wire right now
The markets the consumer-brand press is covering most this month. Updated as stories land.
Will Silo Season 3 receive a Rotten Tomatoes critics score of 85% or higher?
- 59%Yes
- 41%No
Closes in 4 monthsMedia
Will AG1 (Athletic Greens) raise a flat/down round, announce a sale, or file an S-1 by September 30, 2026?
- 40%Yes
- 60%No
Closes in 4 monthsWellness
Will Skims file an S-1 with the SEC by October 31, 2026?
- 34%Yes
- 66%No
Closes in 5 monthsCapital
Will Glossier announce a sale, merger, or take-private transaction by December 31, 2026?
- 39%Yes
- 61%No
Closes in 7 monthsBeauty
Will Steven Spielberg's 'Disclosure Day' open #1 at the domestic box office in its opening weekend?
- 50%Yes
- 50%No
Closes in 12 monthsMedia
Will Beyond Meat (NASDAQ: BYND) file Chapter 11 OR be delisted from NASDAQ by December 31, 2026?
- 40%Yes
- 60%No
Closes in 7 monthsCapital