Biggest trades this weekLive
- @todd@todd bought NO · 30 SP · Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?
- @haydennavarro@haydennavarro bought NO · 25 SP · Will Liquid Death file an S-1 registration statement with the SEC by August 31, 2026?
- @caseyvargas@caseyvargas bought NO · 25 SP · Will Olipop's next disclosed funding round value the company at $3B or more post-money by October 31, 2026?
- @charlotteunderhill@charlotteunderhill bought YES · 25 SP · Will Liquid Death file an S-1 registration statement with the SEC by August 31, 2026?
- @victoriacarrillo@victoriacarrillo bought YES · 25 SP · Will Glossier announce a sale, merger, or take-private transaction by December 31, 2026?
- @frankiehayes@frankiehayes bought YES · 25 SP · Will AG1 (Athletic Greens) raise a flat/down round, announce a sale, or file an S-1 by September 30, 2026?
- @haydeningram@haydeningram bought YES · 25 SP · Will Olipop's next disclosed funding round value the company at $3B or more post-money by October 31, 2026?
The prediction market for pop culture and brands.
Operators across consumer brands (apparel, beverage, media, retail, tech, auto) trading YESNO on outcomes that resolve from public sources. Play money, real signal.
- Operators in the room
- 360
- Active markets
- 55
- Trades placed
- 34
On the wire right now
The markets the consumer-brand press is covering most this month. Updated as stories land.
Will Silo Season 3 receive a Rotten Tomatoes critics score of 85% or higher?
- 42%Yes
- 58%No
Closes in 3 monthsMedia
Will Skims file an S-1 with the SEC by October 31, 2026?
- 50%Yes
- 50%No
Closes in 4 monthsCapital
Will Glossier announce a sale, merger, or take-private transaction by December 31, 2026?
- 58%Yes
- 42%No
Closes in 6 monthsBeauty
Will AG1 (Athletic Greens) raise a flat/down round, announce a sale, or file an S-1 by September 30, 2026?
- 66%Yes
- 34%No
Closes in 3 monthsWellness
Will Beyond Meat (NASDAQ: BYND) file Chapter 11 OR be delisted from NASDAQ by December 31, 2026?
- 39%Yes
- 61%No
Closes in 6 monthsCapital
Will Olipop be acquired by Coca-Cola, PepsiCo, Constellation Brands, or Keurig Dr Pepper by December 31, 2026?
- 57%Yes
- 43%No
Closes in 6 monthsCapital