Biggest trades this weekLive
- @brian@brian bought NO · 100 SP · Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?
- @larissamarten@larissamarten bought NO · 100 SP · Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?
- @brian@brian bought YES · 10 SP · Will Hims & Hers (NYSE: HIMS) close at least 15% below its 2026-05-30 closing price on any NYSE trading day before July 31, 2026?
- @brian@brian bought YES · 10 SP · Will Liquid Death file an S-1 registration statement with the SEC by August 31, 2026?
- @brian@brian bought YES · 10 SP · Will Crumbl Cookies announce or be confirmed to have closed at least 50 additional store locations by August 31, 2026?
- @brian@brian bought YES · 10 SP · Will AG1 (Athletic Greens) raise a flat/down round, announce a sale, or file an S-1 by September 30, 2026?
- @brian@brian bought YES · 10 SP · Will Skims file an S-1 with the SEC by October 31, 2026?
The prediction market for people building consumer brands.
Operators across consumer brands (apparel, beverage, media, retail, tech, auto) trading YESNO on outcomes that resolve from public sources. Play money, real signal.
- Operators in the room
- 188
- Active markets
- 33
- Trades placed
- 26
On the wire right now
The markets the consumer-brand press is covering most this month. Updated as stories land.
Will Skims file an S-1 with the SEC by October 31, 2026?
- 26%Yes
- 74%No
Closes in 5 monthsCapital
Will Liquid Death file an S-1 registration statement with the SEC by August 31, 2026?
- 16%Yes
- 84%No
Closes in 3 monthsCapital
Will AG1 (Athletic Greens) raise a flat/down round, announce a sale, or file an S-1 by September 30, 2026?
- 31%Yes
- 69%No
Closes in 4 monthsWellness
Will Olipop's next disclosed funding round value the company at $3B or more post-money by October 31, 2026?
- 31%Yes
- 69%No
Closes in 5 monthsCapital
Will Glossier announce a sale, merger, or take-private transaction by December 31, 2026?
- 26%Yes
- 74%No
Closes in 7 monthsBeauty
Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?
- 28%Yes
- 72%No
Closes in 7 monthsBeauty