Biggest trades this weekLive
- @brian@brian bought NO · 100 SP · Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?
- @larissamarten@larissamarten bought NO · 100 SP · Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?
- @jack@jack bought NO · 100 SP · Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?
- @tom@tom bought NO · 100 SP · Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?
- @kevincpark@kevincpark bought NO · 100 SP · Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?
- @remyrivera@remyrivera bought NO · 24 SP · Will the FDA Pharmacy Compounding Advisory Committee recommend restricting compounded semaglutide at its July 2026 meeting?
- @sagehale@sagehale bought YES · 24 SP · Will the FDA Pharmacy Compounding Advisory Committee recommend restricting compounded semaglutide at its July 2026 meeting?
The prediction market for pop culture and brands.
Operators across consumer brands (apparel, beverage, media, retail, tech, auto) trading YESNO on outcomes that resolve from public sources. Play money, real signal.
- Operators in the room
- 210
- Active markets
- 54
- Trades placed
- 31
On the wire right now
The markets the consumer-brand press is covering most this month. Updated as stories land.
Will Steven Spielberg's 'Disclosure Day' open #1 at the domestic box office in its opening weekend?
- 51%Yes
- 49%No
Closes in 12 monthsMedia
Will Liquid Death file an S-1 registration statement with the SEC by August 31, 2026?
- 16%Yes
- 84%No
Closes in 3 monthsCapital
Will the FDA Pharmacy Compounding Advisory Committee recommend restricting compounded semaglutide at its July 2026 meeting?
- 50%Yes
- 50%No
Closes in 2 monthsWellness
Will Olipop be acquired by Coca-Cola, PepsiCo, Constellation Brands, or Keurig Dr Pepper by December 31, 2026?
- 17%Yes
- 83%No
Closes in 7 monthsCapital
Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?
- 20%Yes
- 80%No
Closes in 7 monthsBeauty
Will Crumbl Cookies announce or be confirmed to have closed at least 50 additional store locations by August 31, 2026?
- 26%Yes
- 74%No
Closes in 3 monthsCapital