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Biggest trades this weekLive

@wrenortiz@wrenortiz bought NO · 60 SP · Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?
@haydenblake@haydenblake bought YES · 60 SP · Will Dutch Bros operate 1,000+ shops by EOY 2026?
@skylervega@skylervega bought YES · 60 SP · Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?
@eleanornavarro@eleanornavarro bought NO · 60 SP · Will Disney+ raise its US ad-free price again in 2026?
@ameliaashworth@ameliaashworth bought YES · 60 SP · Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?
@emersonchen@emersonchen bought NO · 60 SP · Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?
@alexwalsh@alexwalsh bought YES · 60 SP · Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?
@wrenortiz@wrenortiz bought NO · 60 SP · Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?
@haydenblake@haydenblake bought YES · 60 SP · Will Dutch Bros operate 1,000+ shops by EOY 2026?
@skylervega@skylervega bought YES · 60 SP · Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?
@eleanornavarro@eleanornavarro bought NO · 60 SP · Will Disney+ raise its US ad-free price again in 2026?
@ameliaashworth@ameliaashworth bought YES · 60 SP · Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?
@emersonchen@emersonchen bought NO · 60 SP · Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?
@alexwalsh@alexwalsh bought YES · 60 SP · Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?

The prediction market for people building consumer brands.

Operators across consumer brands (apparel, beverage, media, retail, tech, auto) trading YESNO on outcomes that resolve from public sources. Play money, real signal.

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51 already on the list · invites weekly

Operators in the room: 269
Active markets: 215
Trades placed: 34,977
Resolved: 56

On the wire right now

The markets the consumer-brand press is covering most this month. Updated as stories land.

Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?

47%Yes
53%No

Closes in 9 monthsApparel

Will Expo West 2027 have more than 200 functional beverage exhibitors?

43%Yes
57%No

Closes in 8 monthsBeverage

Will Polestar file for bankruptcy or be delisted in 2026?

52%Yes
48%No

Closes in 7 monthsAuto

Will Hyundai-Kia outsell GM in any US monthly sales report in 2026?

51%Yes
49%No

Closes in 9 monthsAuto

Will Whoop announce a new hardware generation in 2026?

49%Yes
51%No

Closes in 7 monthsTech

Called recently

Where the room landed when each market closed. Final implied probability shown. Every resolution traces to a public source.