Biggest trades this weekLive
- @kevincpark@kevincpark bought NO · 100 SP · Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?
- @jordanunderhill@jordanunderhill bought NO · 25 SP · Will Glossier announce a sale, merger, or take-private transaction by December 31, 2026?
- @lucyyoon@lucyyoon bought YES · 25 SP · Will Skims file an S-1 with the SEC by October 31, 2026?
- @grayortiz@grayortiz bought YES · 25 SP · Will Liquid Death file an S-1 registration statement with the SEC by August 31, 2026?
- @rowanalvarez@rowanalvarez bought NO · 25 SP · Will Beyond Meat (NASDAQ: BYND) file Chapter 11 OR be delisted from NASDAQ by December 31, 2026?
- @rubyalvarez@rubyalvarez bought NO · 25 SP · Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?
- @sashapowell@sashapowell bought NO · 25 SP · Will Liquid Death file an S-1 registration statement with the SEC by August 31, 2026?
The prediction market for pop culture and brands.
Operators across consumer brands (apparel, beverage, media, retail, tech, auto) trading YESNO on outcomes that resolve from public sources. Play money, real signal.
- Operators in the room
- 257
- Active markets
- 55
- Trades placed
- 31
On the wire right now
The markets the consumer-brand press is covering most this month. Updated as stories land.
Will Silo Season 3 receive a Rotten Tomatoes critics score of 85% or higher?
- 46%Yes
- 54%No
Closes in 4 monthsMedia
Will Olipop be acquired by Coca-Cola, PepsiCo, Constellation Brands, or Keurig Dr Pepper by December 31, 2026?
- 51%Yes
- 49%No
Closes in 7 monthsCapital
Will Olipop's next disclosed funding round value the company at $3B or more post-money by October 31, 2026?
- 61%Yes
- 39%No
Closes in 5 monthsCapital
Will Liquid Death file an S-1 registration statement with the SEC by August 31, 2026?
- 44%Yes
- 56%No
Closes in 3 monthsCapital
Will Gap Inc. restore its full-year sales guidance to prior levels by its Q2 2026 earnings report?
- 42%Yes
- 58%No
Closes in 3 monthsRetail
Will Glossier announce a sale, merger, or take-private transaction by December 31, 2026?
- 54%Yes
- 46%No
Closes in 7 monthsBeauty