Biggest trades this weekLive
- @todd@todd bought NO · 30 SP · Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?
- @blakehayes@blakehayes bought NO · 25 SP · Will Glossier announce a sale, merger, or take-private transaction by December 31, 2026?
- @briarsantos@briarsantos bought YES · 25 SP · Will AG1 (Athletic Greens) raise a flat/down round, announce a sale, or file an S-1 by September 30, 2026?
- @alexwalsh@alexwalsh bought NO · 25 SP · Will AG1 (Athletic Greens) raise a flat/down round, announce a sale, or file an S-1 by September 30, 2026?
- @frankieramos@frankieramos bought NO · 25 SP · Will AG1 (Athletic Greens) raise a flat/down round, announce a sale, or file an S-1 by September 30, 2026?
- @annabrooks@annabrooks bought NO · 25 SP · Will AG1 (Athletic Greens) raise a flat/down round, announce a sale, or file an S-1 by September 30, 2026?
- @ellisfisher@ellisfisher bought NO · 25 SP · Will Liquid Death file an S-1 registration statement with the SEC by August 31, 2026?
The prediction market for pop culture and brands.
Operators across consumer brands (apparel, beverage, media, retail, tech, auto) trading YESNO on outcomes that resolve from public sources. Play money, real signal.
- Operators in the room
- 360
- Active markets
- 55
- Trades placed
- 34
On the wire right now
The markets the consumer-brand press is covering most this month. Updated as stories land.
Will Skims file an S-1 with the SEC by October 31, 2026?
- 54%Yes
- 46%No
Closes in 4 monthsCapital
Will Silo Season 3 receive a Rotten Tomatoes critics score of 85% or higher?
- 50%Yes
- 50%No
Closes in 3 monthsMedia
Will Glossier announce a sale, merger, or take-private transaction by December 31, 2026?
- 56%Yes
- 44%No
Closes in 6 monthsBeauty
Will AG1 (Athletic Greens) raise a flat/down round, announce a sale, or file an S-1 by September 30, 2026?
- 56%Yes
- 44%No
Closes in 3 monthsWellness
Will Steven Spielberg's 'Disclosure Day' open #1 at the domestic box office in its opening weekend?
- 56%Yes
- 44%No
Closes in 11 monthsMedia
Will Beyond Meat (NASDAQ: BYND) file Chapter 11 OR be delisted from NASDAQ by December 31, 2026?
- 52%Yes
- 48%No
Closes in 6 monthsCapital