@ameliashah

Amelia ShahJoined May 18, 2026

product developer at consumer electronics co, ($100M+ revenue). Chicago · WWE fan. Fifteen years on the consumer hardware desk.

Calibration

0.31

Top 74% of 68

Win rate

33%

1W · 2L

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

-6 SP

Calibration

3 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Apple launch a foldable iPhone in 2026?NO
54 SP @ 52%5 hours ago
Will Olipop be acquired by a strategic before EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 47%17 hours ago
Will a credible Sweetgreen acquisition rumor surface in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 50%17 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: UnileverNO
40 SP @ 43%22 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: NestleNO
40 SP @ 48%22 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Coca-ColaNO
41 SP @ 58%22 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: P&GNO
41 SP @ 58%23 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: MondelezNO
40 SP @ 52%24 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: P&GNO
40 SP @ 53%yesterday
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 49%yesterday
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Anheuser-Busch InBevNO
40 SP @ 48%yesterday
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other acquirerNO
40 SP @ 46%yesterday
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: P&GNO
9 SP @ 29%yesterday
Athletic Greens (AG1) next major event: Strategic acquisitionNO
8 SP @ 34%yesterday
Will a US streaming service win an NBA, NFL, or MLB exclusive package in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 45%yesterday
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 31%yesterday
Hot sauce brand to break $100M revenue in 2026: YellowbirdYES
8 SP @ 52%yesterday
Hims's biggest 2026 acquisition: Modern HealthNO
8 SP @ 41%yesterday
Will Ghia raise a Series B by end of Q3 2026?YES
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Will Magic Spoon hit 10K Walmart doors by Q4 2026?NO
9 SP @ 67%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 50%2 days ago
First plant-based dog food to $100M revenue: Bond Pet FoodsYES
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Most-funded GLP-1 weight-loss app of 2026: Sequence (WW)NO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherNO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Will PepsiCo extend its distribution agreement with Celsius beyond its current term?YES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Athletic Brewing valuation at next funding event: No funding event in 2026YES
9 SP @ 70%2 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
CBD sleep gummy market leader 2026: Cornbread HempYES
9 SP @ 74%2 days ago
Biggest CPG SPAC of 2026: No CPG SPAC mergersNO
8 SP @ 37%2 days ago
Fastest-growing frozen food brand 2026: Daily HarvestNO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
First mushroom coffee to 1,000 Whole Foods doors: RyzeNO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Grove CollaborativeNO
8 SP @ 34%2 days ago
Will Liquid Death announce an international retail expansion by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: Liquid DeathYES
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Hershey Q2 2026 net sales band: $2.6B – $2.8BNO
9 SP @ 64%2 days ago
TikTok-viral beauty brand of 2026: Glow RecipeNO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Casper exit path: Re-IPONO
8 SP @ 33%2 days ago
Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Iced tea lineNO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
51 SP @ 45%2 days ago
PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: +2% to +4%YES
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Big-tech sleep acquisition 2026: OuraNO
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Will Olipop be acquired by a strategic before EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will Samsung announce a Galaxy Ring 2 (second-generation) in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Will Recess shut down or pivot away from sparkling water in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Will McDonald's shut down or fundamentally restructure CosMc's in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 32%3 days ago
Cereal brand acquired by General Mills in 2026: KashiNO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Biggest CPG IPO of 2026 (company): Athletic BrewingYES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Open SpacesNO
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Studio McGee expansionNO
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Will TJX operate 200+ HomeSense US locations by EOY 2026?NO
44 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Strategic that loses the most CPG market share in 2026: General MillsNO
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Will Polestar file for bankruptcy or be delisted in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 41%4 days ago
Oura IPO timing: Q3 2026YES
8 SP @ 62%4 days ago
Most-viral CPG brand on TikTok in June 2026: Magic SpoonYES
8 SP @ 44%4 days ago
Chewy 2026 corporate event: Acquired by PetcoYES
13 SP @ 19%4 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
12 SP @ 48%4 days ago
Whoop next funding event 2026: Series G+YES
9 SP @ 38%4 days ago
Most-aggressive strategic in 2026 CPG M&A: Coca-ColaYES
8 SP @ 44%4 days ago
Will KeHE add 20+ new functional beverage SKUs to its natural set in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 42%4 days ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: 6% – 8%NO
13 SP @ 86%4 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: Selena Gomez expansionYES
8 SP @ 61%4 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Branch BasicsNO
8 SP @ 35%4 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
16 SP @ 52%4 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: OtherlandYES
8 SP @ 57%4 days ago
Yerba mate brand to break $50M in 2026: No brand hits $50MYES
8 SP @ 47%4 days ago
Strategic that loses the most CPG market share in 2026: Campbell'sNO
8 SP @ 31%4 days ago
Smart mattress brand to hit $300M revenue first: No brand hits $300MNO
8 SP @ 52%4 days ago
Big-tech sleep acquisition 2026: WithingsNO
10 SP @ 21%4 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): Not acquired by EOY 2026NO
8 SP @ 40%4 days ago
Pet wearable to hit 1M subscribers 2026: FiNO
8 SP @ 54%4 days ago
Most-discussed wellness influencer launch 2026: Bryan Johnson BlueprintYES
8 SP @ 47%4 days ago
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 51%4 days ago
Will Samsung announce a Galaxy Ring 2 (second-generation) in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Coffee lineYES
8 SP @ 51%4 days ago
Longevity startup IPO 2026: Tally HealthNO
8 SP @ 50%4 days ago
Generic GLP-1 launch in US: Q2 2026NO
13 SP @ 81%4 days ago
Pet wearable to hit 1M subscribers 2026: TractiveNO
10 SP @ 21%4 days ago
Lilly vs Novo: bigger GLP-1 share gain in 2026: Eli Lilly (tirzepatide)NO
8 SP @ 46%4 days ago
Yerba mate brand to break $50M in 2026: GuayakiNO
10 SP @ 71%4 days ago
CPG founder who returns to active operating role 2026: Jamie Wolf (Goop)YES
9 SP @ 76%4 days ago
Will Trader Joe's open its first store in a new US state in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 31%4 days ago
CPG founder who returns to active operating role 2026: Tristan Walker (Walker & Co)YES
8 SP @ 59%4 days ago
Will Garmin announce a Fenix 9 in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 58%4 days ago
Will the US federal EV tax credit ($7,500) survive intact through EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 57%4 days ago
Will Whoop announce a new hardware generation in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 41%4 days ago
Top-selling energy drink under 25 in 2026: C4NO
9 SP @ 26%4 days ago
Will a functional beverage brand air a Super Bowl ad in 2027?YES
8 SP @ 52%4 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Branch BasicsNO
8 SP @ 50%4 days ago
Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 48%4 days ago
Will Ghia raise a Series B by end of Q3 2026?YES
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Big-tech sleep acquisition 2026: WhoopNO
8 SP @ 58%4 days ago
CBD sleep gummy market leader 2026: Plus CBDNO
8 SP @ 37%5 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): Keurig Dr PepperNO
8 SP @ 36%5 days ago
First major CPG IPO filing between May 16 and July 31, 2026: Magic SpoonNO
8 SP @ 39%5 days ago
Will Stellantis announce an exit from the US small-car segment in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 36%5 days ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 48%5 days ago
First major CPG IPO filing between May 16 and July 31, 2026: Athletic BrewingNO
8 SP @ 45%5 days ago
Will Liquid Death announce an international retail expansion by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 69%5 days ago
Largest CPG fundraise announced between May 16 and July 15, 2026 (deal-size band): $100M – $200MYES
9 SP @ 74%5 days ago