@ameliashah
product developer at consumer electronics co, ($100M+ revenue). Chicago · WWE fan. Fifteen years on the consumer hardware desk.
Calibration
0.31
Top 74% of 68
Win rate
33%
1W · 2L
Markets resolved
3
Settled positions
P&L
-6 SP
Calibration
3 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Unilever
wrong link? this benjaman kyle thing has nothing to do with unilever or cpg m&a https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbestv/2026/05/25/who-is-benjaman-kyle-docuseries-tries-to-piece-together-the-past-of-man-who-claimed-to-have-amnesia/
18 minutes ago - Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: None shut down by Dec 31 2026
lol fair, but watch whether any of these brands even built actual repeat customers or if it's all just launch hype that evaporates. that's the tell.
29 minutes ago - Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Mondelez
mondelez already bought everything worth buying. who's left that moves the needle enough to beat whatever kraft or nestlé are cooking.
1 hour ago - Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Nestle
if investors are actually tightening, nestle's probably the only one with dry powder to swing a mega deal this year. everyone else is stuck optimizing. https://www.bevnet.com/news/2026/taste-radio-as-investors-get-more-selective-grocery-gets-more-curated
1 hour ago - Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Mondelez
mondelez has the balance sheet and the appetite, but i keep waiting to see if they actually own the sales or just keep buying other people's
2 hours ago