Markets

PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth

• Flat to +2%20%
• Declines YoY20%
• +2% to +4%20%

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• Olipop53%
• Celsius50%
• Liquid Death50%

View all 6outcomes →

• No new category73%
• Soda alternative63%
• Hard seltzer55%

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• Over $4.5B20%
• $3.5B – $4.0B20%
• Under $3.0B20%

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• Freshpet (expansion)72%
• Ollie68%
• Nom Nom63%

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• Status quo (compounding continues)55%
• Full ban with no shortage carve-out48%
• Expanded permissions33%

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• Cymbiotika84%
• MUD\WTR54%
• Four Sigmatic53%

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• Grove Collaborative53%
• None launch national50%
• Branch Basics50%

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• Hard seltzer100%
• Iced tea line56%
• Energy drink56%

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• CVS63%
• Amazon Pharmacy59%
• Walmart57%

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• Sequence62%
• Found55%
• No brand discloses53%

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• International expansion push57%
• Cost cuts56%
• Sephora exclusive deal55%

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Apple's biggest sleep feature launch in 2026

• Sleep score65%
• Sleep apnea detection (Watch)60%
• Vision Pro sleep mask52%

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WHOOP's next major liquidity event by end of 2026

• No funding event62%
• IPO filing62%
• Acquisition56%

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• $1B to $2B48%
• Under $500M47%
• $500M to $1B39%

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• Cascadian Farm (existing)56%
• Kashi52%
• Magic Spoon50%

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AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026

• No material event65%
• Major retail partnership55%
• Series D+47%

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• Tatcha63%
• Kosas56%
• Rhode52%

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• Branch Basics86%
• Truly Free58%
• Method (SC Johnson)54%

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• Drunk Elephant relisting66%
• Beautycounter57%
• Tatcha49%

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• Avocado Green52%
• Casper Original46%
• Tuft & Needle Mint40%

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• Whoop55%
• Oura53%
• Withings42%

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• Q4 202650%
• Q2 202647%
• Q3 202642%

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• Keurig Dr Pepper61%
• PepsiCo54%
• Not acquired by EOY 202649%

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• Chewy54%
• Petco45%
• Within 5% of each other36%

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• None37%
• None shut down by Dec 31 202617%
• Honest Beauty17%

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• Q1 202659%
• Q4 202625%
• Q3 202625%

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• Athletic Brewing64%
• Lagunitas IPA NA52%
• Untitled Art (NA line)45%

View all 12outcomes →

• Olipop70%
• No major IPO52%
• Liquid Death (snacks LOI)48%

View all 9outcomes →

• Anheuser-Busch InBev6%
• Anheuser-Busch InBev6%
• Other acquirer6%

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Will Dandelion Chocolate be ranked #1 best chocolate chip cookies by @MissionLoco?

• Yes46%
• No54%

Will Ro (Roman Health) raise a new funding round by June 30, 2026?

• Yes51%
• No49%

Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?

• Yes52%
• No48%

Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?

• Yes64%
• No36%

Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?

• Yes60%
• No40%

Will Celsius announce a major new line extension by June 30, 2026?

• Yes31%
• No69%

Will Olipop launch a new core-line flavor before July 1, 2026?

• Yes60%
• No40%

Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?

• Yes43%
• No57%

Will Spindrift expand into a new category by July 1, 2026?

• Yes46%
• No54%

Will AG1 (Athletic Greens) launch a new product SKU by July 15, 2026?

• Yes42%
• No58%

Will Kraft Heinz announce a brand divestiture by July 15, 2026?

• Yes26%
• No74%

Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?

• Yes75%
• No25%

Will Athletic Brewing close a Series D by July 15, 2026?

• Yes57%
• No43%

Will Hims disclose >2M GLP-1 subscribers by July 31, 2026?

• Yes46%
• No54%

• Yes64%
• No36%

Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?

• Yes53%
• No47%

Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?

• Yes65%
• No35%

Will Liquid Death announce an international retail expansion by July 31, 2026?

• Yes35%
• No65%

• Yes51%
• No49%

Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?

• Yes42%
• No58%

• Yes56%
• No44%

• Yes55%
• No45%

Will Ghia raise a Series B by end of Q3 2026?

• Yes42%
• No58%

• Yes62%
• No38%

Will Sweetgreen report positive same-store sales for Q3 2026?

• Yes39%
• No61%

Will Shake Shack open its 600th US location by end of Q3 2026?

• Yes51%
• No49%

Will Recess shut down or pivot away from sparkling water in 2026?

• Yes45%
• No55%

Will Disney+ raise its US ad-free price again in 2026?

• Yes38%
• No62%

Will Amazon force Alexa+ behind a paywall by EOY 2026?

• Yes39%
• No61%

Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?

• Yes57%
• No43%

Will Ghia launch into Walmart by EOY 2026?

• Yes43%
• No57%

Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?

• Yes43%
• No57%

Will Olipop be acquired by a strategic before EOY 2026?

• Yes51%
• No49%

Will Warner Bros. Discovery rebrand or restructure Max in 2026?

• Yes54%
• No46%

Will Cava operate 100+ units outside the DMV region by EOY 2026?

• Yes63%
• No37%

Will Wingstop hit 3,000 global restaurants by EOY 2026?

• Yes44%
• No56%

Will Starbucks close 100+ underperforming US stores in 2026?

• Yes49%
• No51%

Will McDonald's shut down or fundamentally restructure CosMc's in 2026?

• Yes38%
• No62%

Will Dutch Bros operate 1,000+ shops by EOY 2026?

• Yes45%
• No55%

• Yes53%
• No47%

Will Wendy's expand its late-night / 24-hour pilot to 1,000+ US locations in 2026?

• Yes46%
• No54%

Will AB InBev acquire a non-alcoholic premium brand in 2026?

• Yes55%
• No45%

Will Diageo announce a CEO change in 2026?

• Yes48%
• No52%

Will High Noon outsell Truly in 13-week US tracked volume any time in 2026?

• Yes47%
• No53%

Will WhistlePig be acquired by a major spirits group in 2026?

• Yes58%
• No42%

Will Diageo announce it's divesting or spinning off Casamigos in 2026?

• Yes46%
• No54%

Will Modelo Especial still lead Bud Light in 13-week US tracked dollar sales at end of Q4 2026?

• Yes52%
• No48%

Will Athletic Brewing double its US distribution footprint in 2026?

• Yes31%
• No69%

Will Yuengling expand into a new US state in 2026?

• Yes57%
• No43%

Will Trader Joe's open its first store in a new US state in 2026?

• Yes54%
• No46%

• Yes54%
• No46%

Will Costco raise its membership fee again in 2026?

• Yes60%
• No40%

Will Aldi open 250+ new US stores in calendar 2026?

• Yes54%
• No46%

Will REI close one of its co-op retail stores in 2026?

• Yes60%
• No40%

Will Five Below scale back its Five Beyond pricing experiment in 2026?

• Yes55%
• No45%

Will TJX operate 200+ HomeSense US locations by EOY 2026?

• Yes52%
• No48%

Will Wegmans announce a West Coast store opening in 2026?

• Yes42%
• No58%

Will Erewhon open a 12th LA-area store by EOY 2026?

• Yes55%
• No45%

Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?

• Yes47%
• No53%

Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?

• Yes52%
• No48%

• Yes48%
• No52%

Will Oasis Health face a public pay-for-rating scandal by Dec 31, 2026?

• Yes49%
• No51%

• Yes42%
• No58%

Will Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses cross 2M cumulative units sold in 2026?

• Yes55%
• No45%

Will Samsung announce a Galaxy Ring 2 (second-generation) in 2026?

• Yes47%
• No53%

Will Garmin announce a Fenix 9 in 2026?

• Yes51%
• No49%

Will Whoop announce a new hardware generation in 2026?

• Yes49%
• No51%

Will Slate Auto begin customer deliveries in 2026?

• Yes56%
• No44%

Will Polestar file for bankruptcy or be delisted in 2026?

• Yes61%
• No39%

Will Stellantis announce an exit from the US small-car segment in 2026?

• Yes27%
• No73%

Will Magic Spoon hit 10K Walmart doors by Q4 2026?

• Yes62%
• No38%

Will Netflix cross 300M global subscribers by Q4 2026?

• Yes65%
• No35%

Will Apple ship a second-generation Vision Pro in 2026?

• Yes34%
• No66%

Will Tesla produce 100K Cybertrucks by EOY 2026?

• Yes35%
• No65%

• Yes52%
• No48%

Will Expo West 2027 have more than 200 functional beverage exhibitors?

• Yes50%
• No50%

Will KeHE add 20+ new functional beverage SKUs to its natural set in 2026?

• Yes49%
• No51%

Will PepsiCo extend its distribution agreement with Celsius beyond its current term?

• Yes36%
• No64%

Will Spotify cancel or end a flagship podcast deal in 2026?

• Yes47%
• No53%

Will Apple launch a foldable iPhone in 2026?

• Yes48%
• No52%

• Yes59%
• No41%

• Yes56%
• No44%

• Yes55%
• No45%

Will Olipop publicly report (or be reported to have) revenue above $500M for CY 2026?

• Yes58%
• No42%

Will Apple TV+ acquire a streaming or studio asset in 2026?

• Yes50%
• No50%

Will Rivian begin delivering the R2 to customers in 2026?

• Yes64%
• No36%

Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?

• Yes49%
• No51%

Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?

• Yes42%
• No58%

• Yes54%
• No46%

Will Pizza Hut report a positive US same-store sales quarter in 2026?

• Yes48%
• No52%

Will Heineken 0.0 grow US case volume 30%+ YoY in 2026?

• Yes36%
• No64%

Will Sprouts Farmers Market report 4 consecutive positive same-store-sales quarters in 2026?

• Yes53%
• No47%

Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?

• Yes50%
• No50%

Will Sonos report a positive YoY revenue quarter in 2026?

• Yes51%
• No49%

• Yes51%
• No49%

• Yes56%
• No44%

• Yes65%
• No35%

• Yes48%
• No52%

Will Meta launch the Quest 4 headset in 2026?

• Yes57%
• No43%

Will Lucid Group file for bankruptcy or be acquired in 2026?

• Yes62%
• No38%