Mutually exclusive. Prices sum to 100%.
Rule
Resolves YES for the child whose company completes an IPO on a major U.S. exchange (NYSE or Nasdaq) in calendar year 2026 and achieves the largest market capitalization at the end of its first trading day, as reported in its SEC Form S-1 or S-11 filing and confirmed by Reuters, CNBC, or Bloomberg coverage of the IPO pricing. 'Snack category' includes chips, crackers, bars, popcorn, jerky, cookies, and better-for-you snacks. Market cap is calculated as shares outstanding multiplied by the IPO price. If two companies tie, the one with higher first-day closing price wins. 'None of the above / No snack IPO' resolves YES if no snack-category company completes an IPO on NYSE or Nasdaq by December 31, 2026. Exactly one child resolves YES.
Source: https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&type=S-1&dateb=&owner=include&count=40
Resolves by May 31, 2027.
Three Wishes slipped this week, now at 20% (-42pp/7d)