Mutually exclusive. Prices sum to 100%.
Rule
This market resolves YES if Liquid Death launches its first product in a material new category (beyond canned/bottled water and energy drinks) during 2026. Source: Company press release, major beverage trade publication (BevNET, FoodDive, NOSH), or retailer announcement. If no qualifying launch occurs by December 31, 2026, this market resolves NO.
Source: https://www.liquiddeath.com/
Resolves by Feb 27, 2027.
Hard seltzer pulled ahead this week, now at 100% (+65pp/7d)