@haydennavarro

Hayden NavarroJoined May 18, 2026

category buyer at a retailer covering snack. Nashville · vinyl collector. Six years on the snack desk.

Calibration

0.27

Top 66% of 68

Win rate

50%

2W · 2L

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

+10 SP

Calibration

4 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 60%1 hour ago
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Seven SundaysYES
5 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Catalina CrunchYES
5 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Kashi (spin-off scenario)YES
5 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
Which snack brand will have the biggest IPO of 2026?: ChompsYES
5 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Kashi (spin-off scenario)YES
5 SP @ 100%4 hours ago
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Magic SpoonYES
5 SP @ 100%5 hours ago
Which snack brand will have the biggest IPO of 2026?: None of the above / No snack IPOYES
5 SP @ 100%5 hours ago
Will a fermented cabbage/vegetable brand reach $100M+ revenue by end of 2027?NO
40 SP @ 46%6 hours ago
Which snack brand will have the biggest IPO of 2026?: None of the above / No snack IPOYES
5 SP @ 100%9 hours ago
Will Oasis Health face a public pay-for-rating scandal by Dec 31, 2026?NO
40 SP @ 50%17 hours ago
Which snack brand will have the biggest IPO of 2026?: ChompsYES
60 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: No acquisitionYES
40 SP @ 58%22 hours ago
PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: Over +6%NO
11 SP @ 79%22 hours ago
WHOOP's next major liquidity event by end of 2026: No qualifying eventYES
40 SP @ 52%22 hours ago
PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: +4% to +6%NO
8 SP @ 41%22 hours ago
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Other cereal brandYES
40 SP @ 57%22 hours ago
Will Sprouts Farmers Market report 4 consecutive positive same-store-sales quarters in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 55%22 hours ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 62%23 hours ago
PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: Flat to +2%NO
8 SP @ 55%yesterday
Will Magic Spoon hit 10K Walmart doors by Q4 2026?YES
8 SP @ 65%yesterday
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: No acquisitionYES
40 SP @ 54%yesterday
PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: Over +6%YES
15 SP @ 93%yesterday
PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: +4% to +6%YES
8 SP @ 55%yesterday
Will TJX operate 200+ HomeSense US locations by EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 59%yesterday
Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 54%yesterday
PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: Over +6%YES
14 SP @ 92%yesterday
PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: +2% to +4%NO
8 SP @ 44%yesterday
Will Beyond Meat Q2 2026 revenue exceed $80M?NO
11 SP @ 15%yesterday
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 53%yesterday
Expo West 2026 Best New Product winner: Hu KitchenYES
9 SP @ 71%yesterday
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 53%yesterday
Most-funded vertical farming startup 2026: Gotham GreensYES
8 SP @ 60%yesterday
Will Wegmans announce a West Coast store opening in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 47%yesterday
Will Magic Spoon hit 10K Walmart doors by Q4 2026?YES
9 SP @ 70%2 days ago
Will Magic Spoon hit 10K Walmart doors by Q4 2026?YES
9 SP @ 73%2 days ago
Will Sweetgreen report positive same-store sales for Q3 2026?NO
60 SP @ 38%2 days ago
Will Magic Spoon hit 10K Walmart doors by Q4 2026?YES
8 SP @ 63%2 days ago
Cereal brand acquired by General Mills in 2026: KashiYES
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 34%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Will Hershey announce an acquisition >$200M by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Most-funded vertical farming startup 2026: AeroFarmsYES
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: PepsiCoNO
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: +2% to +4%NO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Will Magic Spoon hit 10K Walmart doors by Q4 2026?NO
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Hershey Q2 2026 net sales band: Under $2.4BNO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Biggest snack IPO of 2026: Magic SpoonNO
10 SP @ 19%2 days ago
Best-selling frozen pizza brand 2026: Red BaronNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 33%2 days ago
Will Whole Foods reduce shelf space for prebiotic sodas (Olipop / Poppi / Culture Pop) in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other strategicNO
9 SP @ 66%2 days ago
Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 35%2 days ago
Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
Will Magic Spoon hit 10K Walmart doors by Q4 2026?YES
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Hot sauce brand to break $100M revenue in 2026: YellowbirdYES
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 28%2 days ago
Fastest-growing frozen food brand 2026: Daily HarvestYES
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Best-selling frozen pizza brand 2026: California Pizza KitchenNO
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Fastest-growing frozen food brand 2026: Vegan Rob'sNO
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Fastest-growing frozen food brand 2026: Tattooed ChefNO
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 37%3 days ago
Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Will Magic Spoon hit 10K Walmart doors by Q4 2026?YES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
First snack brand to break $500M retail in 2026: Bobo'sNO
9 SP @ 69%3 days ago
Biggest snack IPO of 2026: No major IPOYES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Hershey's 2026 acquisition target: Three WishesYES
8 SP @ 66%3 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: InnisfreeNO
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Hot sauce brand to break $100M revenue in 2026: Sriracha (Huy Fong)YES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Biggest CPG IPO of 2026 (company): Hims (secondary)NO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 37%3 days ago
Will Whoop announce a new hardware generation in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Expo West 2026 Best New Product winner: Catalina CrunchYES
10 SP @ 81%3 days ago
Will Lucid Group file for bankruptcy or be acquired in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Best-selling frozen pizza brand 2026: DaiyaYES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Hershey's 2026 acquisition target: Hu KitchenYES
8 SP @ 64%3 days ago
Expo West 2026 Best New Product winner: Hu KitchenYES
13 SP @ 89%3 days ago
PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: +2% to +4%YES
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Top-selling cat treat brand 2026: GreeniesYES
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Function Health next milestone 2026: Major retail partnershipYES
9 SP @ 73%3 days ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Will Magic Spoon hit 10K Walmart doors by Q4 2026?NO
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Will Magic Spoon hit 10K Walmart doors by Q4 2026?YES
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Hershey's 2026 acquisition target: Bobo'sYES
10 SP @ 80%4 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Cereal brand acquired by General Mills in 2026: No acquisitionYES
8 SP @ 61%4 days ago
Expo West 2026 Best New Product winner: Siete FoodsYES
9 SP @ 37%4 days ago
Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 59%4 days ago
Best-selling frozen pizza brand 2026: Red BaronNO
8 SP @ 56%4 days ago
Biggest snack IPO of 2026: Magic SpoonNO
10 SP @ 21%4 days ago
Fastest-growing frozen food brand 2026: Tattooed ChefYES
8 SP @ 58%4 days ago
Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 55%4 days ago
Biggest snack IPO of 2026: OlipopNO
8 SP @ 55%4 days ago
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Catalina CrunchNO
9 SP @ 66%4 days ago
First GLP-1 telehealth to raise a mega-round in 2026: FoundNO
8 SP @ 55%4 days ago
Cereal brand acquired by General Mills in 2026: No acquisitionNO
8 SP @ 58%4 days ago