@scarlettnash

Scarlett NashJoined May 18, 2026

industry journalist at a trade media outlet covering bedding/linens. Boulder · marathon runner. Has seen every cycle in bedding.

Calibration

0.15

Top 21% of 68

Win rate

50%

1W · 1L

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

+9 SP

Calibration

2 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Ford F-150 Lightning outsell Tesla Cybertruck in US calendar 2026?YES
21 SP @ 56%2 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 40%4 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 32%5 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 65%6 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 43%12 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 43%19 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 43%19 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Tuft & Needle OriginalYES
40 SP @ 57%21 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 57%21 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Other acquirerNO
40 SP @ 43%22 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Helix Midnight LuxeYES
41 SP @ 43%23 hours ago
Will Wendy's expand its late-night / 24-hour pilot to 1,000+ US locations in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 49%yesterday
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 52%yesterday
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Helix Midnight LuxeNO
40 SP @ 46%yesterday
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Casper Original FoamYES
40 SP @ 51%yesterday
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 48%yesterday
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Florence by MillsNO
8 SP @ 36%yesterday
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 46%yesterday
Athletic Brewing valuation at next funding event: $500M to $1BYES
8 SP @ 38%yesterday
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q1 to Q2NO
8 SP @ 47%yesterday
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Great JonesYES
8 SP @ 49%yesterday
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Mrs. Meyer'sYES
8 SP @ 57%yesterday
Branch Basics next milestone: AcquiredYES
8 SP @ 52%yesterday
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifYES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherNO
8 SP @ 31%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Truly FreeNO
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: IPO filingYES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q1 to Q2YES
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Will Heineken 0.0 grow US case volume 30%+ YoY in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: No major acquisitionNO
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Great JonesYES
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: BluelandYES
8 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Hearth & Hand (new line)NO
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Branch BasicsYES
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Casper exit path: Remains private under current ownerNO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Branch BasicsNO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: AcquiredYES
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Studio McGee expansionYES
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Avocado GreenYES
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Hearth & Hand (new line)YES
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: MayawellYES
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Will Liquid Death launch a non-water beverage in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Hearth & Hand (new line)YES
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Top-selling cat treat brand 2026: TemptationsYES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Hershey Q2 2026 net sales band: Under $2.4BNO
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: IPO filingYES
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Great JonesNO
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Marie KondoNO
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Mrs. Meyer'sNO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Hearth & Hand (new line)NO
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Method (SC Johnson)YES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Will Trader Joe's open its first store in a new US state in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
Casper exit path: Re-IPOYES
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Will Erewhon open a 12th LA-area store by EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Studio McGee expansionYES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Largest CPG fundraise announced between May 16 and July 15, 2026 (deal-size band): $100M – $200MNO
9 SP @ 64%3 days ago
Will Trader Joe's open its first store in a new US state in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 36%3 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: AcquiredYES
8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Grove CollaborativeYES
8 SP @ 45%4 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Grove CollaborativeNO
8 SP @ 32%4 days ago
First GLP-1 telehealth to raise a mega-round in 2026: FoundNO
8 SP @ 51%4 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Remains independentYES
8 SP @ 55%4 days ago
Will Hyundai-Kia outsell GM in any US monthly sales report in 2026?NO
50 SP @ 41%4 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Remains independentNO
8 SP @ 52%4 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenNO
8 SP @ 51%4 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: VitruviYES
8 SP @ 67%4 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: None launch nationalNO
8 SP @ 34%4 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: No material eventNO
8 SP @ 44%4 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: GoodthreadsNO
8 SP @ 47%4 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Branch BasicsNO
8 SP @ 32%4 days ago
Top-selling cat treat brand 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 49%4 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q3 to Q4NO
8 SP @ 47%4 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Always PanYES
8 SP @ 39%4 days ago
Expo West 2026 Best New Product winner: Catalina CrunchYES
10 SP @ 82%4 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Studio McGee expansionYES
8 SP @ 66%4 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Grove CollaborativeYES
9 SP @ 34%4 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: None launch nationalNO
8 SP @ 42%4 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Truly FreeNO
9 SP @ 30%4 days ago
Casper exit path: Re-IPONO
9 SP @ 65%4 days ago
Hims's biggest 2026 acquisition: CalibrateNO
8 SP @ 49%4 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Branch BasicsNO
8 SP @ 32%4 days ago
Will Liquid Death launch a non-water beverage in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 48%4 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Hearth & Hand (new line)NO
8 SP @ 35%4 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Purple HybridNO
8 SP @ 33%4 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Method (SC Johnson)YES
8 SP @ 41%4 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: OtherlandYES
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 36%4 days ago
Biggest CPG SPAC of 2026: No CPG SPAC mergersNO
8 SP @ 38%4 days ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: 8% – 10%NO
8 SP @ 51%4 days ago
Most-viral CPG brand on TikTok in June 2026: RhodeNO
9 SP @ 27%4 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: CarawayYES
8 SP @ 58%4 days ago
Cardiovascular GLP-1 indication approval 2026: Neither in 2026NO
9 SP @ 63%4 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Truly FreeYES
8 SP @ 57%4 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Marie KondoNO
8 SP @ 49%4 days ago
Casper exit path: Re-IPOYES
8 SP @ 69%4 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenYES
8 SP @ 56%4 days ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Saatva ClassicNO
8 SP @ 42%4 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Avocado GreenNO
8 SP @ 61%4 days ago