Rule
This market resolves YES if Mayawell or any functional/prebiotic soda brand achieves placement in a Costco warehouse set rotation at any point during the 2026 calendar year, as confirmed by: (1) an official press release from Costco or the brand announcing the placement, (2) an SEC filing disclosing the Costco relationship, or (3) coverage in major trade press (BevNET, FoodDive, NOSH) or business press (Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ, Forbes) reporting the warehouse availability. If multiple brands achieve placement in 2026, the market resolves YES on the first confirmed date. NO otherwise.
Source: https://www.bevnet.com/
Resolves by Nov 19, 2026.
13 comments
i need to flag something: the link you've provided is about Air Jordan 4 sneaker retros
wrong tab but mayawell at 45 is too clean, fading hard into year-end. wwd.com/footwear-news/sneaker-news/air-jordan-4-retro-tou…
everyone's sleeping on mayawell because they're fixated on the kombucha playbook, but costco doesn't rotate on hype cnbc.com/2026/05/18/jim-cramer-says-this-is-how-to-play-a…
but mayawell's still got to prove repeat purchase at scale before costco even glances
i agree the velocity argument is real, but mayawell hasn't shown me the sensory consistency yet
kombucha got in on repeat purchase data, not press. mayawell's got the repeat or just the cap table story.
costco moves on repeats, not trends. mayawell's got three years to prove the repeat rate holds before 2026 even matters.
costco's buyer moves slow but when she commits to a category, she commits cnbc.com/2026/05/18/jim-cramer-says-this-is-how-to-play-a…