@quinnyoon

Quinn YoonJoined May 18, 2026

sourcing lead at home decor co, (pre-launch). Austin · IVF community lurker. Twenty years on the home desk.

Calibration

0.55

Top 97% of 68

Win rate

0W · 1L

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

-39 SP

Need at least two settlements to draw a curve.

Calibration

1 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultYES
5 SP @ 100%9 minutes ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 48%21 minutes ago
Which sleep/wellness brand gets acquired by Big Tech first in 2026?: OuraYES
21 SP @ 100%21 minutes ago
Will Athletic Brewing close a Series D by July 15, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 62%1 hour ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Casper Original FoamYES
5 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Saatva ClassicYES
7 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 46%3 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: No qualifying brandYES
5 SP @ 100%5 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultYES
5 SP @ 100%5 hours ago
Will TJX operate 200+ HomeSense US locations by EOY 2026?NO
60 SP @ 52%10 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Other brandYES
5 SP @ 100%13 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 46%15 hours ago
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: No acquisitionYES
5 SP @ 100%16 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 35%17 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 29%17 hours ago
Will Shake Shack open its 600th US location by end of Q3 2026?YES
60 SP @ 50%19 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandYES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 40%19 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Other brandYES
5 SP @ 100%21 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 36%22 hours ago
Will Target report positive US same-store sales for Q2 2026?YES
60 SP @ 58%22 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 48%yesterday
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q4 2026NO
8 SP @ 39%yesterday
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 45%yesterday
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 35%yesterday
Which non-alc beer brand will be acquired in 2026?: Untitled Art (NA line)NO
40 SP @ 46%yesterday
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 47%yesterday
Will Ghia launch into Walmart by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 54%yesterday
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Pleasing (Harry Styles)YES
8 SP @ 62%yesterday
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: Skims BeautyYES
8 SP @ 62%yesterday
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q1 to Q2YES
8 SP @ 51%yesterday
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 36%yesterday
Athletic Brewing valuation at next funding event: No funding event in 2026YES
8 SP @ 65%yesterday
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Mrs. Meyer'sYES
8 SP @ 58%yesterday
CPG founder who returns to active operating role 2026: Tristan Walker (Walker & Co)NO
8 SP @ 40%yesterday
Creatine brand of the year 2026: Optimum NutritionYES
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: GT's Living FoodsNO
8 SP @ 35%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: None launch nationalYES
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Beauty IPO of 2026: TatchaNO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: VitruviNO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will the 2026 BevNet New Beverage Showdown winner be a functional beverage?NO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Truly FreeYES
8 SP @ 62%2 days ago
Will Garmin announce a Fenix 9 in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Purple HybridNO
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Grove CollaborativeYES
8 SP @ 68%2 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Remains independentYES
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
CBD sleep gummy market leader 2026: Sunday ScariesYES
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: Boy SmellsYES
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Grove CollaborativeYES
8 SP @ 62%2 days ago
Casper exit path: BankruptcyNO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: IPO filingYES
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: BluelandYES
8 SP @ 66%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Casper exit path: BankruptcyYES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: No major acquisitionNO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: VitruviYES
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Target launchYES
8 SP @ 66%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Grove CollaborativeNO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Will Ghia raise a Series B by end of Q3 2026?YES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Tuft & Needle MintNO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherNO
8 SP @ 62%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Target launchYES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Purple HybridNO
8 SP @ 35%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenNO
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Marie KondoYES
8 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Will Liquid Death launch a non-water beverage in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Always PanYES
9 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Tuft & Needle MintNO
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Will Dutch Bros operate 1,000+ shops by EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Avocado GreenNO
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Avocado GreenYES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Branch BasicsYES
8 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Iced tea lineYES
8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
Casper exit path: Re-IPONO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Grove CollaborativeYES
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Casper exit path: Re-IPOYES
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Series B+YES
8 SP @ 66%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q3 to Q4YES
8 SP @ 65%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Truly FreeYES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Great JonesYES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Most-acquired pet treat brand 2026: Stella & Chewy'sYES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
First DTC pet pharmacy to scale in 2026: Pet Care RxNO
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Grove CollaborativeYES
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Tuft & Needle MintNO
8 SP @ 48%4 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Grove CollaborativeNO
8 SP @ 48%4 days ago
First major CPG IPO filing between May 16 and July 31, 2026: OlipopYES
8 SP @ 66%4 days ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Saatva ClassicYES
8 SP @ 49%4 days ago
Casper exit path: Re-IPONO
8 SP @ 51%4 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Series B+NO
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: No material eventYES
8 SP @ 48%4 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Series B+NO
8 SP @ 57%4 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Method (SC Johnson)NO
8 SP @ 43%4 days ago
First retailer to launch private-label GLP-1 program 2026: Amazon PharmacyNO
9 SP @ 69%4 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifYES
8 SP @ 46%4 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Always PanNO
9 SP @ 28%4 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifYES
8 SP @ 42%4 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Truly FreeNO
8 SP @ 36%4 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: VitruviYES
8 SP @ 65%4 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: VitruviYES
8 SP @ 62%4 days ago