@parkerramos

Parker RamosJoined May 18, 2026

VC partner at a consumer VC fund covering sexual wellness. Portland · academia drop-out. Twenty years writing sex wellness checks.

Calibration

0.23

Top 46% of 68

Win rate

0W · 1L

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

-5 SP

Need at least two settlements to draw a curve.

Calibration

1 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other acquirerNO
40 SP @ 40%21 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other acquirerYES
42 SP @ 41%22 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: UnileverNO
40 SP @ 40%22 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: NestleYES
40 SP @ 52%22 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: PepsiCoNO
41 SP @ 36%23 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Anheuser-Busch InBevNO
40 SP @ 43%24 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: PepsiCoNO
41 SP @ 39%yesterday
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other acquirerNO
40 SP @ 40%yesterday
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Coca-ColaYES
40 SP @ 59%yesterday
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Anheuser-Busch InBevYES
40 SP @ 56%yesterday
Will Ghia raise a Series B by end of Q3 2026?YES
8 SP @ 54%yesterday
Will a top-10 wine importer (Deutsch, E&J Gallo, Constellation) announce a functional beverage brand bet in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 40%yesterday
Will Lucid Group file for bankruptcy or be acquired in 2026?YES
49 SP @ 64%yesterday
Skincare ingredient of the year 2026: Snail MucinYES
9 SP @ 37%yesterday
Tirzepatide compounding outcome: Full ban with no shortage carve-outYES
8 SP @ 48%yesterday
Hershey Q2 2026 net sales band: $2.4B – $2.6BNO
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherNO
8 SP @ 33%2 days ago
Most-aggressive strategic in 2026 CPG M&A: P&GYES
9 SP @ 30%2 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Tuft & Needle MintYES
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Fastest-growing frozen food brand 2026: Daily HarvestNO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Eight Sleep's next funding milestone: Series FNO
9 SP @ 65%2 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): Anheuser-Busch InBevNO
9 SP @ 24%2 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: REM BeautyNO
8 SP @ 33%2 days ago
Most-viral CPG brand on TikTok in June 2026: PoppiYES
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: Under 4%YES
8 SP @ 69%2 days ago
PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: Declines YoYYES
6 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Largest CPG fundraise announced between May 16 and July 15, 2026 (deal-size band): $25M – $50MNO
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Will a credible Sweetgreen acquisition rumor surface in 2026?YES
45 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 70%2 days ago
Most-acquired pet treat brand 2026: BixbiYES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Generic GLP-1 launch in US: Q3 2026NO
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: VitruviYES
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Most-funded GLP-1 weight-loss app of 2026: Ro BodyNO
11 SP @ 16%2 days ago
Will Garmin announce a Fenix 9 in 2026?YES
6 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
51 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Will Ghia raise a Series B by end of Q3 2026?NO
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
57 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Apple Sleep feature launch 2026: Vision Pro sleep maskNO
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Liquid Death's next category expansion by July 31, 2026: No new categoryNO
9 SP @ 65%3 days ago
Will Ford F-150 Lightning outsell Tesla Cybertruck in US calendar 2026?YES
60 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Will the US federal EV tax credit ($7,500) survive intact through EOY 2026?NO
7 SP @ 65%3 days ago
Most-acquired non-alc beer brand in 2026: Athletic BrewingYES
8 SP @ 65%3 days ago
First GLP-1 brand to 1M active subscribers: RoNO
8 SP @ 35%3 days ago
Will Sonos report a positive YoY revenue quarter in 2026?YES
30 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Top-selling longevity supplement of 2026: ResveratrolNO
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Will the 2026 BevNet New Beverage Showdown winner be a functional beverage?YES
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
First GLP-1 brand to 1M active subscribers: SequenceNO
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Top-selling longevity supplement of 2026: SpermidineYES
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Chewy 2026 corporate event: Acquired by AmazonYES
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Will Sonos report a positive YoY revenue quarter in 2026?YES
27 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Liquid Death's next category expansion by July 31, 2026: Hard seltzerNO
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Will Liquid Death launch a non-water beverage in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 49%4 days ago
First plant-based dog food to $100M revenue: None reach $100MNO
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Function Health next milestone 2026: International launchNO
8 SP @ 59%4 days ago
Hershey's 2026 acquisition target: Three WishesYES
9 SP @ 72%4 days ago
Will Whoop announce a new hardware generation in 2026?NO
13 SP @ 49%4 days ago
Will Whoop announce a new hardware generation in 2026?YES
31 SP @ 49%4 days ago
Function Health next milestone 2026: No major milestoneYES
11 SP @ 87%4 days ago
Will Magic Spoon be acquired by a strategic in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Hot sauce brand to break $100M revenue in 2026: Sriracha (Huy Fong)YES
8 SP @ 46%4 days ago
Will Heineken 0.0 grow US case volume 30%+ YoY in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 51%4 days ago
Will a top-10 wine importer (Deutsch, E&J Gallo, Constellation) announce a functional beverage brand bet in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 50%4 days ago
First snack brand to break $500M retail in 2026: Magic SpoonNO
9 SP @ 29%4 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: AcquiredNO
8 SP @ 55%4 days ago
Will Liquid Death launch a non-water beverage in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 49%4 days ago
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: Apigenin (various)NO
8 SP @ 46%4 days ago
Biggest CPG IPO of 2026 (company): Athletic BrewingNO
8 SP @ 59%4 days ago
Will Poppi announce an acquisition (any party) in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 37%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Strategic that loses the most CPG market share in 2026: Campbell'sNO
9 SP @ 28%4 days ago
Biggest CPG IPO of 2026 (company): Liquid DeathNO
9 SP @ 66%4 days ago
Will Olipop publicly report (or be reported to have) revenue above $500M for CY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Will Rivian begin delivering the R2 to customers in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 43%4 days ago
Athletic Brewing valuation at next funding event: Over $2BNO
9 SP @ 28%4 days ago
Most-acquired non-alc beer brand in 2026: No major acquisitionNO
9 SP @ 62%4 days ago
Will Recess shut down or pivot away from sparkling water in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 36%4 days ago
Will KeHE add 20+ new functional beverage SKUs to its natural set in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 45%4 days ago
Will Sweetgreen report positive same-store sales for Q3 2026?NO
60 SP @ 48%4 days ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: GlossierNO
9 SP @ 25%4 days ago
Hot sauce brand to break $100M revenue in 2026: Sriracha (Huy Fong)YES
8 SP @ 45%4 days ago
Will a functional beverage brand air a Super Bowl ad in 2027?YES
8 SP @ 59%4 days ago
Will Garmin announce a Fenix 9 in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 54%4 days ago
First DTC pet pharmacy to scale in 2026: Pet Care RxNO
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Will the US federal EV tax credit ($7,500) survive intact through EOY 2026?YES
49 SP @ 58%4 days ago
Will TJX operate 200+ HomeSense US locations by EOY 2026?NO
60 SP @ 56%4 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Studio McGee expansionNO
9 SP @ 63%4 days ago
Will Disney+ raise its US ad-free price again in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 57%4 days ago
Will Heineken 0.0 grow US case volume 30%+ YoY in 2026?YES
55 SP @ 56%4 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: CelsiusYES
8 SP @ 59%4 days ago
Will Pizza Hut report a positive US same-store sales quarter in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 50%4 days ago
Will KeHE add 20+ new functional beverage SKUs to its natural set in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 58%4 days ago
Top-selling energy drink under 25 in 2026: Alani NuYES
9 SP @ 77%4 days ago
First CPG company to file S-1 in 2026: Liquid DeathYES
8 SP @ 54%4 days ago
Will Nothing officially launch a phone in the US in 2026?NO
53 SP @ 58%4 days ago
Will Slate Auto begin customer deliveries in 2026?YES
44 SP @ 49%5 days ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q4 2026YES
8 SP @ 52%5 days ago
Biggest CPG SPAC of 2026: No CPG SPAC mergersNO
8 SP @ 41%5 days ago