@frankiehayes

Frankie HayesJoined May 18, 2026

brand manager at food co, ($5-30M revenue). Austin · specific-breed dog person. Twenty years on the food desk.

Calibration

0.11

Top 12% of 68

Win rate

67%

2W · 1L

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

+26 SP

Calibration

4 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: Flat to +2%YES
5 SP @ 100%43 minutes ago
Which snack brand will have the biggest IPO of 2026?: PoppiYES
5 SP @ 100%50 minutes ago
Will Beyond Meat Q2 2026 revenue exceed $80M?YES
8 SP @ 49%55 minutes ago
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Catalina CrunchYES
5 SP @ 100%1 hour ago
Apple's biggest sleep feature launch in 2026: No major sleep feature by Dec 31 2026YES
5 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
Will Athletic Brewing double its US distribution footprint in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 31%4 hours ago
Will Dandelion Chocolate be ranked #1 best chocolate chip cookies by @MissionLoco?NO
40 SP @ 42%6 hours ago
Which snack brand will have the biggest IPO of 2026?: CaulipowerYES
5 SP @ 100%7 hours ago
Which sleep/wellness brand gets acquired by Big Tech first in 2026?: WithingsYES
5 SP @ 100%15 hours ago
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Magic SpoonYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Which snack brand will have the biggest IPO of 2026?: CaulipowerYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Keurig Dr PepperYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Will Warner Bros. Discovery rebrand or restructure Max in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 53%21 hours ago
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Catalina CrunchYES
8 SP @ 63%22 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: No beauty IPO in 2026NO
42 SP @ 31%23 hours ago
Will Magic Spoon hit 10K Walmart doors by Q4 2026?YES
8 SP @ 68%23 hours ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 68%23 hours ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 65%23 hours ago
Which snack brand will have the biggest IPO of 2026?: PoppiNO
40 SP @ 40%23 hours ago
Will Trader Joe's open its first store in a new US state in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 56%yesterday
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 52%yesterday
Fastest-growing frozen food brand 2026: Vegan Rob'sNO
8 SP @ 38%yesterday
Athletic Brewing valuation at next funding event: No funding event in 2026YES
8 SP @ 62%yesterday
Most-discussed wellness influencer launch 2026: Lemme expansionYES
8 SP @ 57%yesterday
Biggest snack IPO of 2026: No major IPOYES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: New product line launchNO
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Catalina CrunchYES
8 SP @ 69%2 days ago
Hims's biggest 2026 acquisition: FoundNO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will Hershey announce an acquisition >$200M by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Largest CPG fundraise announced between May 16 and July 15, 2026 (deal-size band): $100M – $200MNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Hot sauce brand to break $100M revenue in 2026: Bachan'sNO
8 SP @ 37%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Target launchYES
8 SP @ 64%2 days ago
First snack brand to break $500M retail in 2026: Once Upon a FarmYES
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Will Hershey announce an acquisition >$200M by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Most-funded vertical farming startup 2026: AeroFarmsNO
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?NO
10 SP @ 21%2 days ago
Hershey's 2026 acquisition target: No acquisitionYES
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 25%2 days ago
First snack brand to break $500M retail in 2026: Bobo'sNO
9 SP @ 66%2 days ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 33%2 days ago
Will Dutch Bros operate 1,000+ shops by EOY 2026?NO
60 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Will Magic Spoon hit 10K Walmart doors by Q4 2026?NO
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Most-funded vertical farming startup 2026: AeroFarmsNO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Will Magic Spoon hit 10K Walmart doors by Q4 2026?YES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
GLP-1 telehealth that consolidates first in 2026: RoYES
8 SP @ 64%3 days ago
Tirzepatide compounding outcome: Full ban with no shortage carve-outNO
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Catalina CrunchYES
9 SP @ 70%3 days ago
Biggest CPG IPO of 2026 (company): Hims (secondary)YES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Expo West 2026 Best New Product winner: Magic SpoonNO
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 31%3 days ago
First snack brand to break $500M retail in 2026: Once Upon a FarmYES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: NestleYES
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: +2% to +4%YES
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Expo West 2026 Best New Product winner: Siete FoodsYES
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Most-funded vertical farming startup 2026: BoweryNO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Will Athletic Brewing double its US distribution footprint in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 32%3 days ago
Will Hershey announce an acquisition >$200M by July 31, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 68%3 days ago
Most-funded vertical farming startup 2026: Eden GreenYES
8 SP @ 68%3 days ago
Will Magic Spoon hit 10K Walmart doors by Q4 2026?NO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Expo West 2026 Best New Product winner: Once Upon a FarmNO
9 SP @ 29%3 days ago
Hershey Q2 2026 net sales band: Under $2.4BNO
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Hot sauce brand to break $100M revenue in 2026: YellowbirdNO
8 SP @ 37%3 days ago
Will Hershey announce an acquisition >$200M by July 31, 2026?YES
14 SP @ 91%4 days ago
Expo West 2026 Best New Product winner: Hu KitchenYES
12 SP @ 88%4 days ago
PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: +2% to +4%NO
8 SP @ 36%4 days ago
Expo West 2026 Best New Product winner: Magic SpoonNO
8 SP @ 43%4 days ago
Best-selling frozen pizza brand 2026: California Pizza KitchenNO
9 SP @ 66%4 days ago
Hershey's 2026 acquisition target: Three WishesYES
9 SP @ 70%4 days ago
First snack brand to break $500M retail in 2026: Magic SpoonYES
9 SP @ 35%4 days ago
Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
First snack brand to break $500M retail in 2026: Belgian BoysYES
8 SP @ 61%4 days ago
Hershey Q2 2026 net sales band: Over $3.0BYES
8 SP @ 45%4 days ago
Will Olipop publicly report (or be reported to have) revenue above $500M for CY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 58%4 days ago
Will Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses cross 2M cumulative units sold in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 47%4 days ago
Hot sauce brand to break $100M revenue in 2026: CholulaNO
9 SP @ 62%4 days ago
Will Magic Spoon hit 10K Walmart doors by Q4 2026?NO
8 SP @ 56%4 days ago
Fastest-growing frozen food brand 2026: Strong RootsNO
8 SP @ 31%4 days ago
Biggest snack IPO of 2026: Liquid Death (snacks LOI)NO
9 SP @ 62%4 days ago
Will Magic Spoon hit 10K Walmart doors by Q4 2026?YES
8 SP @ 57%4 days ago
Will Magic Spoon hit 10K Walmart doors by Q4 2026?NO
8 SP @ 54%4 days ago
Hershey's 2026 acquisition target: Magic SpoonNO
8 SP @ 56%4 days ago
Fastest-growing frozen food brand 2026: Strong RootsNO
8 SP @ 33%4 days ago
Most-aggressive strategic in 2026 CPG M&A: Keurig Dr PepperNO
8 SP @ 35%4 days ago
Cereal brand acquired by General Mills in 2026: No acquisitionYES
8 SP @ 60%4 days ago
Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 42%4 days ago
Best-selling frozen pizza brand 2026: DaiyaYES
8 SP @ 47%4 days ago
Which snack brand will have the biggest IPO of 2026?: Three WishesYES
8 SP @ 64%4 days ago
Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 41%4 days ago
Cereal brand acquired by General Mills in 2026: KashiNO
8 SP @ 45%4 days ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 39%4 days ago
Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 48%4 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 43%4 days ago
Will Garmin announce a Fenix 9 in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 57%4 days ago
Expo West 2026 Best New Product winner: Once Upon a FarmYES
9 SP @ 32%4 days ago