@elenaalvarez

Elena AlvarezJoined May 22, 2026

Amazon subscribe-and-save, alcohol/RTD household. Brooklyn · Bon Appetit pre-2020 mourner.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will the 2026 BevNet New Beverage Showdown winner be a functional beverage?YES
8 SP @ 62%1 hour ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Other acquirerYES
5 SP @ 100%1 hour ago
Will Celsius announce a major new line extension by June 30, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 36%2 hours ago
Which non-alc beer brand will be acquired in 2026?: Athletic Brewing (partial stake / minority investment)YES
5 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: Liquid DeathYES
5 SP @ 100%4 hours ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q4 2026YES
5 SP @ 100%4 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Coca-ColaYES
5 SP @ 100%14 hours ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q3 2026YES
5 SP @ 100%15 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: PepsiCoYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Hard seltzerYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q4 2026YES
5 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Other acquirerYES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: PepsiCoYES
20 SP @ 100%21 hours ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 59%21 hours ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: No IPO filing in 2026YES
6 SP @ 57%21 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: PepsiCoYES
7 SP @ 48%22 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Item BeautyYES
8 SP @ 47%22 hours ago
Which non-alc beer brand will be acquired in 2026?: Athletic BrewingYES
13 SP @ 59%22 hours ago
Which non-alc beer brand will be acquired in 2026?: Best Day BrewingYES
14 SP @ 54%22 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Anheuser-Busch InBevYES
14 SP @ 50%23 hours ago
Will the 2026 BevNet New Beverage Showdown winner be a functional beverage?YES
8 SP @ 53%yesterday
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: No acquisition by EOY 2026NO
16 SP @ 52%yesterday
Will Ghia raise a Series B by end of Q3 2026?NO
8 SP @ 42%yesterday
Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Iced tea lineYES
8 SP @ 56%yesterday
Will Expo West 2027 have more than 200 functional beverage exhibitors?YES
8 SP @ 58%yesterday
Top-selling energy drink under 25 in 2026: CelsiusNO
8 SP @ 40%yesterday
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): PepsiCoYES
8 SP @ 54%yesterday
Hershey Q2 2026 net sales band: $2.6B – $2.8BNO
5 SP @ 61%yesterday
First GLP-1 brand to 1M active subscribers: CalibrateNO
8 SP @ 43%yesterday
Yerba mate brand to break $50M in 2026: No brand hits $50MYES
8 SP @ 69%yesterday
Expo West 2026 Best New Product winner: Bobo'sYES
8 SP @ 58%yesterday
Will Olipop be acquired by a strategic before EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: 8% – 10%NO
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Top-selling longevity supplement of 2026: Urolithin AYES
9 SP @ 72%2 days ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q2 2026YES
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Top-selling energy drink under 25 in 2026: C4YES
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): Keurig Dr PepperYES
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Top plant milk brand by 2026 retail dollars: Chobani OatNO
5 SP @ 25%2 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: Health-AdeYES
8 SP @ 61%2 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: Athletic BrewingNO
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: Over 10%NO
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Top-selling energy drink under 25 in 2026: C4NO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Will Ghia launch into Walmart by EOY 2026?YES
5 SP @ 61%2 days ago
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: Apigenin (various)YES
6 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Yerba mate brand to break $50M in 2026: No brand hits $50MYES
8 SP @ 63%2 days ago
Most-acquired non-alc beer brand in 2026: Athletic BrewingYES
9 SP @ 70%2 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: Health-AdeYES
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Will KeHE add 20+ new functional beverage SKUs to its natural set in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Liquid Death's next category expansion by July 31, 2026: Hard seltzerYES
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Best-selling frozen pizza brand 2026: California Pizza KitchenNO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Will the 2026 BevNet New Beverage Showdown winner be a functional beverage?NO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: Over 10%NO
9 SP @ 63%2 days ago
Will Expo West 2027 have more than 200 functional beverage exhibitors?NO
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Top-selling energy drink under 25 in 2026: MonsterYES
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: GT's Living FoodsNO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q2 2026YES
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Top plant milk brand by 2026 retail dollars: Trader Joe's private labelYES
5 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Will Dutch Bros operate 1,000+ shops by EOY 2026?YES
12 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Will a top-10 wine importer (Deutsch, E&J Gallo, Constellation) announce a functional beverage brand bet in 2026?NO
6 SP @ 32%3 days ago
Liquid Death's next category expansion by July 31, 2026: Coffee lineNO
5 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Will Olipop be acquired by a strategic before EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 37%3 days ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q1 2026YES
8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
Will Expo West 2027 have more than 200 functional beverage exhibitors?NO
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: OlipopNO
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Fastest-growing frozen food brand 2026: WildscapeNO
5 SP @ 36%3 days ago
Will Whole Foods reduce shelf space for prebiotic sodas (Olipop / Poppi / Culture Pop) in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 60%3 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: Health-AdeYES
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Will a top-10 wine importer (Deutsch, E&J Gallo, Constellation) announce a functional beverage brand bet in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: Health-AdeNO
5 SP @ 42%3 days ago
First CPG company to file S-1 in 2026: Magic SpoonYES
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: Health-AdeYES
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: Over 10%YES
8 SP @ 66%3 days ago
Will the 2026 BevNet New Beverage Showdown winner be a functional beverage?YES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Will Recess shut down or pivot away from sparkling water in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Will a functional beverage brand air a Super Bowl ad in 2027?YES
8 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): Coca-ColaYES
5 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Most-acquired non-alc beer brand in 2026: No major acquisitionNO
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: Athletic BrewingNO
8 SP @ 37%3 days ago
Most-acquired non-alc beer brand in 2026: Athletic BrewingNO
5 SP @ 59%3 days ago
Function Health next milestone 2026: No major milestoneYES
12 SP @ 88%3 days ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: 6% – 8%YES
9 SP @ 74%4 days ago