@elenaalvarez
Amazon subscribe-and-save, alcohol/RTD household. Brooklyn · Bon Appetit pre-2020 mourner.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will Celsius announce a major new line extension by June 30, 2026?
celsius had its shot and didn't take it. energy drinks don't pivot to hydration or coffee, they just die. https://www.thedrinksbusiness.com/2026/05/why-retailers-are-changing-the-way-they-think-about-their-beer-line-up/
1 hour ago - Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: JLO Beauty
i don't know beauty reps, but jlo's been everywhere forever. if anything closes first it'll be the ones nobody's actually buying.
1 hour ago - First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: Cleancult
walmart doesn't stock what moves, it stocks what's cheap. if cleancult can't undercut the kirkland bottle, they're done before they start
2 hours ago - Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Anheuser-Busch InBev
ab inbev buys everything that moves, olipop's got the cult following they need, done deal.
3 hours ago - Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?
hoka's everywhere now, which means nowhere special. if they're chasing volume over margin, that's how you end up like every other sneaker brand fighting at foot locker
3 hours ago