@audenvega

Auden VegaJoined May 18, 2026

supply chain lead at kids/baby co, (pre-launch). remote · 'currently reading' obsessive. Six years on the kids & baby desk.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: PepsiCoYES
9 SP @ 100%1 hour ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: PepsiCoYES
6 SP @ 100%4 hours ago
Will Five Below scale back its Five Beyond pricing experiment in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 55%4 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: P&GYES
5 SP @ 100%4 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: UnileverYES
6 SP @ 100%5 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Pleasing (Harry Styles)YES
5 SP @ 100%13 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: NestleYES
5 SP @ 100%16 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: UnileverYES
5 SP @ 100%16 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Coca-ColaYES
5 SP @ 100%16 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other acquirerYES
5 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other acquirerYES
60 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other acquirerYES
43 SP @ 36%22 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: UnileverNO
40 SP @ 42%24 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: PepsiCoNO
40 SP @ 48%24 hours ago
First CPG company to file S-1 in 2026: Magic SpoonNO
40 SP @ 39%yesterday
Will Trader Joe's open its first store in a new US state in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 54%yesterday
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: P&GNO
8 SP @ 32%yesterday
Top-selling energy drink under 25 in 2026: C4NO
8 SP @ 42%yesterday
CBD sleep gummy market leader 2026: KanibiNO
8 SP @ 41%yesterday
Will Olipop launch a new core-line flavor before July 1, 2026?YES
11 SP @ 87%yesterday
Will Google sell more than 500K Pixel Fold-line units in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 56%yesterday
Will Dutch Bros operate 1,000+ shops by EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 55%yesterday
Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 46%yesterday
Top-selling cat treat brand 2026: ShebaYES
8 SP @ 61%2 days ago
CBD sleep gummy market leader 2026: Sunday ScariesNO
8 SP @ 35%2 days ago
Most-acquired pet food brand of 2026: No major acquisitionYES
10 SP @ 29%2 days ago
Will Whole Foods reduce shelf space for prebiotic sodas (Olipop / Poppi / Culture Pop) in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Truly FreeNO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: Re-sellNO
9 SP @ 26%2 days ago
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: Apigenin (various)YES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
First fresh pet food brand into Costco: The Farmer's DogNO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Athletic Greens (AG1) next major event: No material eventYES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Supplement brand pulled by FDA in 2026: AG1YES
9 SP @ 73%2 days ago
Hershey Q2 2026 net sales band: $2.4B – $2.6BYES
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: Apigenin (various)NO
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Will Pizza Hut report a positive US same-store sales quarter in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Tuft & Needle MintYES
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
First snack brand to break $500M retail in 2026: Three WishesYES
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Longevity startup IPO 2026: Function HealthNO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q4 2026NO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
First snack brand to break $500M retail in 2026: Three WishesYES
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Generic GLP-1 launch in US: Q2 2026YES
11 SP @ 84%2 days ago
Most-acquired pet treat brand 2026: Stella & Chewy'sNO
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
First GLP-1 brand to 1M active subscribers: FoundNO
8 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Biggest CPG fundraise of 2026 (band): $100M to $200MYES
8 SP @ 66%3 days ago
Will Hershey announce an acquisition >$200M by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 63%3 days ago
First mushroom coffee to 1,000 Whole Foods doors: RyzeYES
8 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Will Stellantis announce an exit from the US small-car segment in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 29%3 days ago
Most-aggressive strategic in 2026 CPG M&A: Keurig Dr PepperNO
8 SP @ 37%3 days ago
First major CPG IPO filing between May 16 and July 31, 2026: GlossierNO
8 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Will Whole Foods reduce shelf space for prebiotic sodas (Olipop / Poppi / Culture Pop) in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 64%3 days ago
Will Pizza Hut report a positive US same-store sales quarter in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Will Meta launch the Quest 4 headset in 2026?NO
13 SP @ 68%3 days ago
Will Dutch Bros operate 1,000+ shops by EOY 2026?NO
60 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Will Athletic Brewing file for an IPO in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 37%3 days ago
Will McDonald's shut down or fundamentally restructure CosMc's in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 35%3 days ago
Yerba mate brand to break $50M in 2026: GuayakiNO
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: RhodeYES
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Will Athletic Brewing file for an IPO in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 35%3 days ago
Most-funded vertical farming startup 2026: PlentyYES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Mrs. Meyer'sNO
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Biggest CPG fundraise of 2026 (band): $100M to $200MYES
8 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Will Expo West 2027 have more than 200 functional beverage exhibitors?YES
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Hims's biggest 2026 acquisition: PlushCareYES
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Will Apple ship a second-generation Vision Pro in 2026?NO
15 SP @ 37%3 days ago
First GLP-1 brand to 1M active subscribers: RoNO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Biggest CPG IPO of 2026 (company): Athletic BrewingNO
8 SP @ 60%4 days ago
Will Recess shut down or pivot away from sparkling water in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 49%4 days ago
First mushroom coffee to 1,000 Whole Foods doors: MUD\WTRYES
8 SP @ 49%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 55%4 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Public GoodsYES
8 SP @ 60%4 days ago
Strategic that loses the most CPG market share in 2026: ConagraYES
9 SP @ 70%4 days ago
Lilly vs Novo: bigger GLP-1 share gain in 2026: Tied within 1ppYES
8 SP @ 47%4 days ago
Most-acquired pet food brand of 2026: Wild EarthYES
10 SP @ 29%4 days ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Anheuser-Busch InBevNO
8 SP @ 48%4 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Tuft & Needle MintNO
8 SP @ 48%4 days ago
Best-selling frozen pizza brand 2026: California Pizza KitchenYES
8 SP @ 69%4 days ago
Will Disney+ raise its US ad-free price again in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Most-funded GLP-1 weight-loss app of 2026: Hims Weight LossYES
8 SP @ 52%4 days ago
Strategic that loses the most CPG market share in 2026: ConagraYES
8 SP @ 67%4 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Marie KondoYES
8 SP @ 50%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 39%4 days ago
CPG founder who returns to active operating role 2026: NoneYES
8 SP @ 69%4 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 46%4 days ago
Will Garmin announce a Fenix 9 in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 52%4 days ago
Most-acquired pet treat brand 2026: Open Farm TreatsYES
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: GoodthreadsNO
8 SP @ 59%4 days ago
Will Ghia launch into Walmart by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 40%4 days ago
Generic GLP-1 launch in US: Q3 2026YES
8 SP @ 52%4 days ago
CBD sleep gummy market leader 2026: Sunday ScariesNO
10 SP @ 17%4 days ago
Most-viral CPG brand on TikTok in June 2026: Liquid DeathYES
8 SP @ 68%4 days ago
First mushroom coffee to 1,000 Whole Foods doors: RyzeYES
8 SP @ 50%4 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: Beauty of JoseonNO
8 SP @ 45%4 days ago
TikTok-viral beauty brand of 2026: Charlotte TilburyNO
8 SP @ 42%4 days ago
Yerba mate brand to break $50M in 2026: No brand hits $50MYES
8 SP @ 38%4 days ago
Top-selling energy drink under 25 in 2026: CelsiusYES
8 SP @ 44%4 days ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: MondelezNO
9 SP @ 25%4 days ago
Will Expo West 2027 have more than 200 functional beverage exhibitors?NO
8 SP @ 56%4 days ago