@elliotblake

Elliot BlakeJoined May 22, 2026

trade-press editor at a trade media outlet covering pet. Seattle · watch collector. Fifteen years covering pet.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Polestar file for bankruptcy or be delisted in 2026?NO
39 SP @ 59%14 minutes ago
Petco market cap at end of 2026: survival or delisting?: $500M–$1BYES
5 SP @ 100%19 minutes ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 56%29 minutes ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 63%1 hour ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 63%2 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: None shut down by Dec 31 2026YES
5 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 66%3 hours ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 64%3 hours ago
Petco market cap at end of 2026: survival or delisting?: Above $1BYES
6 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
Petco market cap at end of 2026: survival or delisting?: Delisted or BankruptYES
5 SP @ 100%4 hours ago
Petco market cap at end of 2026: survival or delisting?: Above $1BYES
5 SP @ 100%6 hours ago
Petco market cap at end of 2026: survival or delisting?: Below $500MYES
5 SP @ 100%6 hours ago
Which sleep/wellness brand gets acquired by Big Tech first in 2026?: WhoopYES
5 SP @ 100%7 hours ago
Petco market cap at end of 2026: survival or delisting?: Above $1BYES
5 SP @ 100%10 hours ago
Will Starbucks close 100+ underperforming US stores in 2026?NO
39 SP @ 47%14 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: No single top pick / Guide removedYES
5 SP @ 100%16 hours ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 72%16 hours ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 69%20 hours ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 57%21 hours ago
Petco market cap at end of 2026: survival or delisting?: $500M–$1BYES
30 SP @ 47%21 hours ago
Will Apple launch a foldable iPhone in 2026?NO
30 SP @ 49%21 hours ago
Which sleep/wellness brand gets acquired by Big Tech first in 2026?: WithingsYES
26 SP @ 51%21 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Helix Midnight LuxeNO
21 SP @ 40%22 hours ago
Petco market cap at end of 2026: survival or delisting?: Below $500MYES
37 SP @ 43%23 hours ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 41%yesterday
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 36%yesterday
Petco market cap at end of 2026: survival or delisting?: $500M–$1BNO
40 SP @ 46%yesterday
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
57 SP @ 55%yesterday
Petco market cap at end of 2026: survival or delisting?: Above $1BNO
36 SP @ 47%yesterday
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 44%yesterday
Chewy vs Petco market cap winner EOY 2026: PetcoNO
8 SP @ 45%yesterday
Chewy vs Petco market cap winner EOY 2026: PetcoNO
8 SP @ 49%yesterday
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Rare BeautyNO
8 SP @ 51%yesterday
Fastest-growing frozen food brand 2026: Daily HarvestYES
8 SP @ 55%yesterday
Top-selling cat treat brand 2026: OtherNO
8 SP @ 50%yesterday
Top-selling cat treat brand 2026: GreeniesNO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Tuft & Needle MintNO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
First plant-based dog food to $100M revenue: Wild EarthNO
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
First plant-based dog food to $100M revenue: Bond Pet FoodsNO
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Top-selling cat treat brand 2026: Inaba ChuruYES
8 SP @ 61%2 days ago
Will Ghia raise a Series B by end of Q3 2026?NO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Tirzepatide compounding outcome: Expanded permissionsNO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Most-acquired pet food brand of 2026: Sundays for DogsNO
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 37%2 days ago
Chewy vs Petco market cap winner EOY 2026: Within 5% of each otherYES
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Pet wearable to hit 1M subscribers 2026: WhistleYES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Cardiovascular GLP-1 indication approval 2026: Both in 2026NO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Most-acquired pet treat brand 2026: No major acquisitionNO
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Top-selling cat treat brand 2026: GreeniesYES
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Pet wearable to hit 1M subscribers 2026: TractiveYES
9 SP @ 35%2 days ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
First DTC pet pharmacy to scale in 2026: AllivetNO
9 SP @ 29%2 days ago
Most-acquired pet treat brand 2026: Open Farm TreatsNO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Pet wearable to hit 1M subscribers 2026: FiYES
8 SP @ 62%2 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
First DTC pet pharmacy to scale in 2026: VetsterYES
9 SP @ 71%2 days ago
First plant-based dog food to $100M revenue: Halo (plant-based line)YES
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
First plant-based dog food to $100M revenue: V-DogNO
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Generic GLP-1 launch in US: 2027 or laterNO
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Chewy 2026 corporate event: Acquired by PetcoYES
9 SP @ 29%3 days ago
Most-acquired pet food brand of 2026: Sundays for DogsYES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Top-selling cat treat brand 2026: TemptationsNO
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Most-acquired pet food brand of 2026: OllieNO
8 SP @ 34%3 days ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Most-acquired pet treat brand 2026: Stella & Chewy'sNO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Will Whoop announce a new hardware generation in 2026?NO
29 SP @ 45%3 days ago
First DTC pet pharmacy to scale in 2026: AllivetNO
8 SP @ 35%3 days ago
Chewy 2026 corporate event: Major acquisition by ChewyYES
9 SP @ 33%3 days ago
First plant-based dog food to $100M revenue: V-DogYES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 69%3 days ago
Top-selling cat treat brand 2026: ShebaYES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 67%3 days ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 64%3 days ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago