@violetalvarez

Violet AlvarezJoined May 22, 2026

shared-household decision-maker, wellness/supps household. Boulder · Bridgerton fan.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: Strategic acquisition (AG1 acquired)YES
5 SP @ 100%29 minutes ago
PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: Over +6%YES
5 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Rare BeautyYES
6 SP @ 100%5 hours ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 51%12 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $4.0B – $4.5BYES
5 SP @ 100%16 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: JLO BeautyYES
5 SP @ 100%16 hours ago
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: Strategic acquisition (AG1 acquired)YES
5 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
Apple's biggest sleep feature launch in 2026: AirPods sleep trackingYES
5 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
Will Hims disclose >2M GLP-1 subscribers by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 51%20 hours ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 51%22 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Under $3.0BNO
8 SP @ 38%23 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.0B – $3.5BNO
10 SP @ 77%yesterday
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.5B – $4.0BNO
9 SP @ 66%yesterday
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 59%yesterday
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: Lemme Sleep (Kourtney K)YES
9 SP @ 74%yesterday
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: Melatonin (Olly)YES
8 SP @ 60%yesterday
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: COSRXYES
8 SP @ 60%yesterday
Will McDonald's shut down or fundamentally restructure CosMc's in 2026?YES
27 SP @ 38%yesterday
Will Disney+ raise its US ad-free price again in 2026?NO
17 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Most-acquired non-alc beer brand in 2026: Athletic BrewingYES
8 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Supplement brand pulled by FDA in 2026: AG1NO
9 SP @ 69%2 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Function Health next milestone 2026: Major retail partnershipYES
9 SP @ 76%2 days ago
CBD sleep gummy market leader 2026: Cornbread or PlusYES
9 SP @ 30%2 days ago
First GLP-1 brand to 1M active subscribers: FoundNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Big-tech sleep acquisition 2026: OuraYES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
First GLP-1 telehealth to raise a mega-round in 2026: RoYES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Will a functional beverage brand air a Super Bowl ad in 2027?NO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Chewy 2026 corporate event: Acquired by AmazonYES
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Most-viral CPG brand on TikTok in June 2026: PoppiNO
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?NO
7 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
5 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Will Erewhon open a 12th LA-area store by EOY 2026?NO
25 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
5 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Longevity startup IPO 2026: No filingYES
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Function Health next milestone 2026: AcquiredNO
8 SP @ 32%3 days ago
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: Magnesium Glycinate (Thorne)NO
11 SP @ 11%3 days ago
First GLP-1 brand to 1M active subscribers: RoNO
8 SP @ 32%3 days ago
CPG founder who returns to active operating role 2026: NoneYES
9 SP @ 75%3 days ago
Eight Sleep's next funding milestone: AcquisitionNO
9 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Hims's biggest 2026 acquisition: FoundYES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?NO
6 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Oura IPO timing: Q2 2026NO
5 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Top-selling longevity supplement of 2026: Nicotinamide Riboside (NR)NO
10 SP @ 21%3 days ago
GLP-1 telehealth that consolidates first in 2026: No consolidationYES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
5 SP @ 35%3 days ago
CPG founder who returns to active operating role 2026: Jen Atkin (Ouai)NO
9 SP @ 67%3 days ago
First GLP-1 telehealth to raise a mega-round in 2026: FoundYES
6 SP @ 54%3 days ago
First GLP-1 brand to 1M active subscribers: HimsNO
5 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Top-selling longevity supplement of 2026: ResveratrolYES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Will Athletic Brewing double its US distribution footprint in 2026?YES
16 SP @ 35%3 days ago
Best-selling frozen pizza brand 2026: Red BaronYES
8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?NO
5 SP @ 30%3 days ago
Biggest snack IPO of 2026: OlipopYES
8 SP @ 64%3 days ago
First mushroom coffee to 1,000 Whole Foods doors: Earth EchoNO
5 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Athletic Greens (AG1) next major event: Series D+YES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Oura IPO timing: Q3 2026NO
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago