@rowanyoon

Rowan YoonJoined May 18, 2026

fractional CFO, freelance, covering prestige beauty. SF · group chat 5+ years deep.

Calibration

0.39

Top 85% of 68

Win rate

0W · 1L

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

-5 SP

Need at least two settlements to draw a curve.

Calibration

1 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 48%1 hour ago
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 43%5 hours ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 40%16 hours ago
Will Dutch Bros operate 1,000+ shops by EOY 2026?NO
60 SP @ 49%16 hours ago
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 41%18 hours ago
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 60%22 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Florence by MillsNO
8 SP @ 50%22 hours ago
Will Yuengling expand into a new US state in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 64%23 hours ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 41%yesterday
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Item BeautyYES
8 SP @ 61%yesterday
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Honest BeautyYES
9 SP @ 36%yesterday
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 55%yesterday
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: Rare BeautyNO
8 SP @ 47%yesterday
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 53%yesterday
Will Lucid Group file for bankruptcy or be acquired in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 61%yesterday
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 61%yesterday
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: SaieNO
8 SP @ 37%yesterday
Hot sauce brand to break $100M revenue in 2026: TruffYES
8 SP @ 53%yesterday
TikTok-viral beauty brand of 2026: Tower 28NO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Skincare ingredient of the year 2026: BakuchiolYES
8 SP @ 65%2 days ago
Smart mattress brand to hit $300M revenue first: Eight SleepYES
8 SP @ 65%2 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: Rare BeautyNO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 35%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Beauty IPO of 2026: Drunk Elephant relistingYES
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: JLO BeautyYES
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 23%2 days ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: GlossierNO
9 SP @ 25%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 34%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 37%2 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: InnisfreeNO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: InnisfreeYES
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
TikTok-viral beauty brand of 2026: RhodeNO
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: OtherNO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Fastest-growing frozen food brand 2026: WildscapeYES
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: Rare BeautyNO
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: AnuaYES
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
41 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Rhode (Hailey Bieber) acquisition price if sold: $1B to $2BNO
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: RhodeNO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: RhodeNO
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: RhodeNO
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Rhode (Hailey Bieber) acquisition price if sold: $500M to $1BNO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: Re-sellNO
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: No brand hits $1BNO
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
TikTok-viral beauty brand of 2026: RhodeYES
9 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 36%3 days ago
Skincare ingredient of the year 2026: Tranexamic acidNO
8 SP @ 32%3 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): PepsiCoYES
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: New product line launchNO
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Will a functional beverage brand air a Super Bowl ad in 2027?NO
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Rare BeautyNO
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Top-selling energy drink under 25 in 2026: Alani NuYES
8 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 30%3 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: No brand hits $1BNO
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Rhode (Hailey Bieber) acquisition price if sold: Under $500MNO
8 SP @ 32%3 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: OtherYES
8 SP @ 64%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 33%3 days ago
Will Erewhon open a 12th LA-area store by EOY 2026?NO
59 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: KosasNO
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: InnisfreeNO
8 SP @ 37%3 days ago
Fastest-growing frozen food brand 2026: Daily HarvestNO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $4.0B – $4.5BNO
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
10 SP @ 26%3 days ago
Top plant milk brand by 2026 retail dollars: Trader Joe's private labelNO
8 SP @ 35%3 days ago
First GLP-1 brand to 1M active subscribers: HimsYES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: Beauty of JoseonNO
8 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 50%4 days ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Florence by MillsNO
8 SP @ 41%4 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: Rhode (Hailey Bieber)NO
8 SP @ 57%4 days ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Rare BeautyNO
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Beauty IPO of 2026: BeautycounterYES
8 SP @ 62%4 days ago
Beauty IPO of 2026: TatchaYES
8 SP @ 49%4 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 47%4 days ago
Will Dutch Bros operate 1,000+ shops by EOY 2026?NO
43 SP @ 53%4 days ago
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: No L'Oreal acquisitionYES
8 SP @ 50%4 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 50%4 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 50%4 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: COSRXNO
8 SP @ 46%4 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 46%4 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 49%4 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 41%4 days ago
Beauty IPO of 2026: BeautycounterYES
8 SP @ 64%4 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 43%4 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 50%4 days ago
First major CPG IPO filing between May 16 and July 31, 2026: OlipopNO
9 SP @ 68%4 days ago
Beauty IPO of 2026: BeautycounterYES
8 SP @ 61%4 days ago
Rhode (Hailey Bieber) acquisition price if sold: $1B to $2BNO
8 SP @ 44%4 days ago
Will Recess shut down or pivot away from sparkling water in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 43%4 days ago
Skincare ingredient of the year 2026: Tranexamic acidNO
8 SP @ 36%4 days ago