@quinnhale

Quinn HaleJoined May 18, 2026

supply chain lead at RTD co, ($1B+ legacy). Portland · group chat 5+ years deep. Twenty-five years on the RTD desk.

Calibration

0.31

Top 72% of 68

Win rate

50%

2W · 2L

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

+17 SP

Calibration

4 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Ghia launch into Walmart by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 43%33 minutes ago
Will Olipop publicly report (or be reported to have) revenue above $500M for CY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 51%2 hours ago
Will Spindrift expand into a new category by July 1, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 46%6 hours ago
Will Celsius announce a major new line extension by June 30, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 24%15 hours ago
Will Olipop launch a new core-line flavor before July 1, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 60%18 hours ago
Will Ghia raise a Series B by end of Q3 2026?NO
8 SP @ 36%20 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Other acquirerYES
60 SP @ 100%21 hours ago
Will Recess shut down or pivot away from sparkling water in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 33%21 hours ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q3 2026NO
9 SP @ 65%21 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: NestleNO
40 SP @ 50%21 hours ago
Petco market cap at end of 2026: survival or delisting?: Delisted or BankruptNO
41 SP @ 37%23 hours ago
Apple's biggest sleep feature launch in 2026: Bedside / HomePod sleep modeYES
19 SP @ 56%yesterday
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: NestleNO
40 SP @ 50%yesterday
First GLP-1 subscription brand to publicly report 1M active subscribers in 2026: No brand discloses by Dec 31 2026YES
40 SP @ 54%yesterday
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: Over 10%NO
8 SP @ 56%yesterday
Will Ghia raise a Series B by end of Q3 2026?NO
8 SP @ 46%yesterday
Top-selling energy drink under 25 in 2026: CelsiusYES
9 SP @ 38%yesterday
Will Expo West 2027 have more than 200 functional beverage exhibitors?YES
8 SP @ 59%yesterday
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: Health-AdeNO
8 SP @ 55%yesterday
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $4.0B – $4.5BYES
8 SP @ 53%yesterday
Yerba mate brand to break $50M in 2026: Clean CauseNO
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Will Olipop be acquired by a strategic before EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): Keurig Dr PepperYES
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: Health-AdeNO
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Will Recess shut down or pivot away from sparkling water in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 35%2 days ago
Will Magic Spoon be acquired by a strategic in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 62%2 days ago
Will Ghia launch into Walmart by EOY 2026?NO
9 SP @ 63%2 days ago
Liquid Death's next category expansion by July 31, 2026: Coffee lineNO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Will Whole Foods reduce shelf space for prebiotic sodas (Olipop / Poppi / Culture Pop) in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Liquid Death's next category expansion by July 31, 2026: Coffee lineNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Yerba mate brand to break $50M in 2026: No brand hits $50MYES
8 SP @ 67%2 days ago
Will Ghia launch into Walmart by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 67%2 days ago
Will Athletic Brewing file for an IPO in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Will Liquid Death launch a non-water beverage in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Will Magic Spoon be acquired by a strategic in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Will KeHE add 20+ new functional beverage SKUs to its natural set in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Soda alternativeYES
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: No IPO filing in 2026NO
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: 8% – 10%NO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will Expo West 2027 have more than 200 functional beverage exhibitors?NO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Yerba mate brand to break $50M in 2026: No brand hits $50MYES
8 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Most-acquired non-alc beer brand in 2026: No major acquisitionNO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: 6% – 8%NO
10 SP @ 73%3 days ago
Liquid Death's next category expansion by July 31, 2026: No new categoryYES
9 SP @ 70%3 days ago
Will Ghia launch into Walmart by EOY 2026?YES
9 SP @ 36%3 days ago
Top plant milk brand by 2026 retail dollars: Califia FarmsNO
9 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: CelsiusNO
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Will the 2026 BevNet New Beverage Showdown winner be a functional beverage?NO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: No IPO filing in 2026YES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Will Nothing officially launch a phone in the US in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Will Athletic Brewing file for an IPO in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Will the 2026 BevNet New Beverage Showdown winner be a functional beverage?NO
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Will Liquid Death launch a non-water beverage in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Top-selling energy drink under 25 in 2026: CelsiusNO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Will Olipop be acquired by a strategic before EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Will a functional beverage brand air a Super Bowl ad in 2027?YES
8 SP @ 66%3 days ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q1 2026YES
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: 4% – 6%YES
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: Culture PopYES
8 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): Keurig Dr PepperNO
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: MondelezNO
9 SP @ 30%3 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): NestleNO
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Liquid Death's next category expansion by July 31, 2026: Hard seltzerYES
8 SP @ 60%4 days ago
Will Expo West 2027 have more than 200 functional beverage exhibitors?YES
8 SP @ 59%4 days ago
Will Starbucks close 100+ underperforming US stores in 2026?YES
14 SP @ 47%4 days ago
Yerba mate brand to break $50M in 2026: GuayakiYES
8 SP @ 56%4 days ago
Will Whole Foods reduce shelf space for prebiotic sodas (Olipop / Poppi / Culture Pop) in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 62%4 days ago
PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: +4% to +6%YES
8 SP @ 56%4 days ago
Athletic Brewing valuation at next funding event: $500M to $1BYES
8 SP @ 67%4 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: MayawellNO
8 SP @ 41%4 days ago
Will Ghia launch into Walmart by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 39%4 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: Culture PopYES
8 SP @ 60%4 days ago
Will Olipop be acquired by a strategic before EOY 2026?NO
9 SP @ 23%4 days ago
Will a top-10 wine importer (Deutsch, E&J Gallo, Constellation) announce a functional beverage brand bet in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Will Olipop be acquired by a strategic before EOY 2026?NO
9 SP @ 25%4 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): NestleNO
8 SP @ 59%4 days ago
Top-selling energy drink under 25 in 2026: MonsterYES
8 SP @ 42%4 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: GT's Living FoodsNO
8 SP @ 48%4 days ago
Will Poppi announce an acquisition (any party) in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 31%4 days ago
Will Magic Spoon be acquired by a strategic in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 62%4 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): NestleYES
8 SP @ 64%4 days ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: Over 10%YES
8 SP @ 61%4 days ago
Most-acquired pet treat brand 2026: BixbiYES
8 SP @ 43%4 days ago
Will Liquid Death announce an international retail expansion by July 31, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 62%4 days ago
Most-acquired non-alc beer brand in 2026: Untitled Art (NA line)NO
8 SP @ 41%4 days ago
Top-selling energy drink under 25 in 2026: CelsiusNO
8 SP @ 39%4 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: PoppiNO
9 SP @ 62%4 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: Culture PopYES
8 SP @ 57%4 days ago
Most-acquired pet food brand of 2026: The Farmer's DogYES
8 SP @ 38%4 days ago
Will Ghia raise a Series B by end of Q3 2026?NO
8 SP @ 45%4 days ago
Will a functional beverage brand air a Super Bowl ad in 2027?NO
8 SP @ 54%4 days ago
Will Poppi announce an acquisition (any party) in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 35%4 days ago
Will Ghia launch into Walmart by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 34%4 days ago
Will Recess shut down or pivot away from sparkling water in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 38%4 days ago
Liquid Death's next category expansion by July 31, 2026: No new categoryYES
9 SP @ 72%4 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: Health-AdeNO
8 SP @ 51%4 days ago
Will Magic Spoon be acquired by a strategic in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 61%4 days ago
Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Hard seltzerYES
8 SP @ 51%4 days ago
Will PepsiCo extend its distribution agreement with Celsius beyond its current term?YES
8 SP @ 58%4 days ago
Most-acquired pet food brand of 2026: Wild EarthNO
9 SP @ 28%4 days ago