@lucybrooks

Lucy BrooksJoined May 22, 2026

weekend foodie, masstige beauty household. Chicago · tennis player.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Item BeautyYES
5 SP @ 100%14 minutes ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Item BeautyYES
5 SP @ 100%23 minutes ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
6 SP @ 47%2 hours ago
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 45%2 hours ago
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 43%3 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Pleasing (Harry Styles)YES
5 SP @ 100%4 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: GlossierYES
5 SP @ 100%5 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: JLO BeautyYES
5 SP @ 100%5 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: No beauty IPO in 2026YES
5 SP @ 100%9 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Rare BeautyYES
5 SP @ 100%13 hours ago
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 45%15 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: No beauty IPO in 2026YES
5 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Other beauty brandYES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Pleasing (Harry Styles)YES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 47%19 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Rare BeautyYES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?YES
6 SP @ 51%19 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Other beauty brandNO
8 SP @ 46%21 hours ago
Which sleep/wellness brand gets acquired by Big Tech first in 2026?: Eight SleepYES
19 SP @ 47%21 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Pleasing (Harry Styles)YES
9 SP @ 70%21 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: None shut down by Dec 31 2026NO
32 SP @ 44%21 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: GlossierNO
8 SP @ 39%22 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Pleasing (Harry Styles)NO
8 SP @ 59%22 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: GlossierNO
6 SP @ 42%22 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Item BeautyYES
8 SP @ 50%22 hours ago
Will Liquid Death announce an international retail expansion by July 31, 2026?NO
6 SP @ 45%23 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: None shut down by Dec 31 2026YES
19 SP @ 51%yesterday
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
6 SP @ 47%yesterday
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: GlossierNO
8 SP @ 40%yesterday
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Over $4.5BYES
6 SP @ 49%yesterday
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Item BeautyNO
8 SP @ 58%yesterday
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: Beauty of JoseonNO
8 SP @ 34%yesterday
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?YES
5 SP @ 54%yesterday
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: AnuaNO
9 SP @ 67%yesterday
Will the US RTD cocktail category decline in dollar volume in 2026?NO
12 SP @ 50%yesterday
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 48%yesterday
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 55%yesterday
TikTok-viral beauty brand of 2026: Glow RecipeNO
6 SP @ 45%yesterday
Skincare ingredient of the year 2026: CentellaYES
8 SP @ 54%yesterday
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: No L'Oreal acquisitionNO
8 SP @ 52%yesterday
Will Disney+ raise its US ad-free price again in 2026?YES
5 SP @ 36%yesterday
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 65%yesterday
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: Beauty of JoseonNO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: Status quoNO
5 SP @ 44%2 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: TatchaYES
8 SP @ 63%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
Will Erewhon open a 12th LA-area store by EOY 2026?NO
7 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Rhode (Hailey Bieber) acquisition price if sold: Under $500MNO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
5 SP @ 26%2 days ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Florence by MillsNO
6 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Skincare ingredient of the year 2026: BakuchiolYES
5 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: Re-sellNO
8 SP @ 35%2 days ago
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: No L'Oreal acquisitionYES
8 SP @ 65%2 days ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Rare BeautyNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: AnuaYES
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: Tower 28NO
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: Selena Gomez expansionYES
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: RhodeYES
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Rhode (Hailey Bieber) acquisition price if sold: Over $2BNO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Yerba mate brand to break $50M in 2026: No brand hits $50MYES
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Rhode (Hailey Bieber) acquisition price if sold: Over $2BNO
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: GlossierYES
5 SP @ 35%2 days ago
Rhode (Hailey Bieber) acquisition price if sold: $1B to $2BYES
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Beauty IPO of 2026: BeautycounterYES
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: New product line launchNO
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Beauty IPO of 2026: BeautycounterNO
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: GlossierNO
9 SP @ 26%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: No L'Oreal acquisitionYES
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Will a functional beverage brand air a Super Bowl ad in 2027?YES
6 SP @ 59%3 days ago
Will Liquid Death launch a non-water beverage in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Will Magic Spoon be acquired by a strategic in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Beauty IPO of 2026: TatchaNO
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: New product line launchNO
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Biggest CPG fundraise of 2026 (band): $100M to $200MYES
8 SP @ 63%3 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: No brand hits $1BYES
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Skincare ingredient of the year 2026: Tranexamic acidNO
5 SP @ 34%3 days ago
Rhode (Hailey Bieber) acquisition price if sold: $500M to $1BNO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago
TikTok-viral beauty brand of 2026: Charlotte TilburyNO
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
5 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
10 SP @ 28%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 22%3 days ago
Rhode (Hailey Bieber) acquisition price if sold: Over $2BNO
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: Skims BeautyYES
8 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: Status quoNO
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 47%4 days ago
Best-selling frozen pizza brand 2026: DiGiornoYES
8 SP @ 58%4 days ago