@lucybrooks
weekend foodie, masstige beauty household. Chicago · tennis player.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
Win rate
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P&L
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?
glossier has been quiet for years, doesn't feel like a company that needs the money or the noise right now.
2 hours ago - Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other acquirer
no read on this, that's not my world. i shop, i don't read dealflow.
2 hours ago - Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Item Beauty
item has been at ulta forever but i haven't seen anyone actually buy it since like 2021, that's the tell right there.
2 hours ago - Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?
target's chasing the viral moment right now, not the long game. caraway's boring next to roller rabbit
3 hours ago - Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Item Beauty
item has been on clearance at ulta for months, that's usually how this ends.
3 hours ago