@ameliadiaz

Amelia DiazJoined May 18, 2026

CMO at RTD co, ($5-30M revenue). Nashville · academia drop-out. Twenty years on the RTD desk.

Calibration

0.24

Top 49% of 68

Win rate

100%

1W · 0L

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

+17 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
60 SP @ 45%43 minutes ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
47 SP @ 52%17 hours ago
Will Expo West 2027 have more than 200 functional beverage exhibitors?NO
9 SP @ 62%18 hours ago
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Seven SundaysYES
60 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Will Recess shut down or pivot away from sparkling water in 2026?NO
9 SP @ 30%20 hours ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q2 2026YES
60 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: No IPO filing in 2026NO
8 SP @ 56%22 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: UnileverYES
8 SP @ 54%22 hours ago
Petco market cap at end of 2026: survival or delisting?: Below $500MNO
41 SP @ 37%24 hours ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: Liquid DeathYES
8 SP @ 56%24 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Keurig Dr PepperNO
40 SP @ 46%yesterday
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Our PlaceYES
8 SP @ 50%yesterday
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Studio McGee expansionYES
8 SP @ 50%yesterday
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): Keurig Dr PepperYES
8 SP @ 63%yesterday
Eight Sleep's next funding milestone: Series G+NO
8 SP @ 61%yesterday
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q4 2026YES
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Expo West 2026 Best New Product winner: Once Upon a FarmYES
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q1 2026NO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: 4% – 6%YES
8 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Iced tea lineNO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Will Whole Foods reduce shelf space for prebiotic sodas (Olipop / Poppi / Culture Pop) in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 62%2 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: Athletic BrewingYES
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Athletic Brewing valuation at next funding event: No funding event in 2026YES
8 SP @ 65%2 days ago
Lilly vs Novo: bigger GLP-1 share gain in 2026: Eli Lilly (tirzepatide)YES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Will Athletic Brewing file for an IPO in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 32%2 days ago
Biggest CPG SPAC of 2026: No CPG SPAC mergersYES
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Will the 2026 BevNet New Beverage Showdown winner be a functional beverage?YES
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Will Whole Foods reduce shelf space for prebiotic sodas (Olipop / Poppi / Culture Pop) in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Will Magic Spoon be acquired by a strategic in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Athletic Brewing valuation at next funding event: No funding event in 2026NO
8 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Beauty IPO of 2026: No beauty IPOYES
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Most-acquired non-alc beer brand in 2026: Lagunitas IPA NAYES
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): PepsiCoYES
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Will Ghia launch into Walmart by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 36%3 days ago
Top-selling energy drink under 25 in 2026: C4YES
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Soda alternativeYES
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q3 to Q4YES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Will KeHE add 20+ new functional beverage SKUs to its natural set in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 37%3 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: MayawellNO
8 SP @ 35%3 days ago
Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Coffee lineYES
8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
Will PepsiCo extend its distribution agreement with Celsius beyond its current term?NO
9 SP @ 63%3 days ago
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: L-Theanine (Nature Made)YES
8 SP @ 66%4 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): Coca-ColaNO
8 SP @ 44%4 days ago
Will Whole Foods reduce shelf space for prebiotic sodas (Olipop / Poppi / Culture Pop) in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 61%4 days ago
Most-aggressive strategic in 2026 CPG M&A: Coca-ColaNO
8 SP @ 41%4 days ago
Most-acquired non-alc beer brand in 2026: Untitled Art (NA line)NO
8 SP @ 38%4 days ago
Will Ghia raise a Series B by end of Q3 2026?YES
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: CelsiusNO
8 SP @ 62%4 days ago
Will the 2026 BevNet New Beverage Showdown winner be a functional beverage?NO
8 SP @ 51%4 days ago
Will the 2026 BevNet New Beverage Showdown winner be a functional beverage?YES
8 SP @ 55%4 days ago
Creatine brand of the year 2026: Optimum NutritionNO
8 SP @ 57%4 days ago
Top plant milk brand by 2026 retail dollars: Trader Joe's private labelNO
8 SP @ 32%4 days ago
Most-acquired non-alc beer brand in 2026: No major acquisitionNO
8 SP @ 56%4 days ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q3 2026NO
8 SP @ 60%4 days ago
Will Recess shut down or pivot away from sparkling water in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 44%4 days ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: 4% – 6%YES
8 SP @ 39%4 days ago
Will KeHE add 20+ new functional beverage SKUs to its natural set in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 46%4 days ago
Most-acquired non-alc beer brand in 2026: Untitled Art (NA line)YES
8 SP @ 44%4 days ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q2 2026YES
9 SP @ 35%4 days ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: Under 4%NO
9 SP @ 62%4 days ago
Will Ghia launch into Walmart by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 37%4 days ago
Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Iced tea lineNO
8 SP @ 55%4 days ago
Yerba mate brand to break $50M in 2026: GuayakiNO
9 SP @ 68%4 days ago
Liquid Death's next category expansion by July 31, 2026: Coffee lineNO
9 SP @ 68%4 days ago
Will Expo West 2027 have more than 200 functional beverage exhibitors?YES
8 SP @ 52%4 days ago
Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Hard seltzerYES
8 SP @ 46%4 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: Athletic BrewingNO
8 SP @ 41%4 days ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: 8% – 10%NO
8 SP @ 55%4 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): PepsiCoYES
8 SP @ 48%4 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: No challenger adNO
8 SP @ 47%4 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: CelsiusYES
8 SP @ 62%4 days ago
Liquid Death's next category expansion by July 31, 2026: Coffee lineYES
9 SP @ 73%4 days ago
Top plant milk brand by 2026 retail dollars: SilkNO
8 SP @ 36%4 days ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: 6% – 8%YES
15 SP @ 93%4 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): PepsiCoYES
8 SP @ 43%4 days ago
Will Ghia raise a Series B by end of Q3 2026?YES
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Will Poppi announce an acquisition (any party) in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 47%4 days ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: No IPO filing in 2026NO
9 SP @ 27%4 days ago
Most-acquired non-alc beer brand in 2026: Lagunitas IPA NAYES
8 SP @ 60%4 days ago
Liquid Death's next category expansion by July 31, 2026: No new categoryNO
11 SP @ 76%4 days ago
Top plant milk brand by 2026 retail dollars: Trader Joe's private labelYES
8 SP @ 44%5 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: Athletic BrewingNO
8 SP @ 49%5 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: CelsiusYES
8 SP @ 60%5 days ago
Top-selling energy drink under 25 in 2026: C4YES
10 SP @ 28%5 days ago
Top-selling energy drink under 25 in 2026: C4NO
9 SP @ 22%5 days ago
Will Liquid Death announce an international retail expansion by July 31, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 64%5 days ago
Supplement brand pulled by FDA in 2026: AG1YES
8 SP @ 64%5 days ago
Top-selling longevity supplement of 2026: SpermidineNO
8 SP @ 38%5 days ago
Will Olipop be acquired by a strategic before EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 37%5 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Hearth & Hand (new line)YES
9 SP @ 35%5 days ago
Liquid Death's next category expansion by July 31, 2026: Soda alternativeNO
9 SP @ 66%5 days ago
Most-acquired non-alc beer brand in 2026: No major acquisitionYES
8 SP @ 65%5 days ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q1 2026NO
8 SP @ 38%5 days ago
Expo West 2026 Best New Product winner: Bobo'sNO
8 SP @ 60%5 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): Anheuser-Busch InBevNO
12 SP @ 12%5 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: Skims BeautyYES
8 SP @ 57%5 days ago
Athletic Brewing valuation at next funding event: Over $2BNO
9 SP @ 26%5 days ago
Will a functional beverage brand air a Super Bowl ad in 2027?NO
8 SP @ 56%5 days ago
Athletic Brewing valuation at next funding event: Under $500MNO
8 SP @ 33%5 days ago
Top plant milk brand by 2026 retail dollars: SilkNO
8 SP @ 44%5 days ago