@sashacole

Sasha ColeJoined May 18, 2026

head of retail at functional bev co, ($5-30M revenue). remote · indie perfume nerd. Twenty years on the bev desk.

Calibration

0.21

Top 43% of 68

Win rate

50%

1W · 1L

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

+9 SP

Calibration

2 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Whole Foods reduce shelf space for prebiotic sodas (Olipop / Poppi / Culture Pop) in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 52%3 hours ago
Will BODYARMOR FIT launch a sparkling hydration product with 60mg caffeine?NO
40 SP @ 53%9 hours ago
Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Hard seltzerYES
60 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
Will Olipop launch a new core-line flavor before July 1, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 56%18 hours ago
Will Sweetgreen report positive same-store sales for Q3 2026?NO
57 SP @ 36%18 hours ago
Will Whole Foods reduce shelf space for prebiotic sodas (Olipop / Poppi / Culture Pop) in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 61%18 hours ago
Will Olipop launch a new core-line flavor before July 1, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 61%18 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Keurig Dr PepperYES
60 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Will Olipop be acquired by a strategic before EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 45%19 hours ago
Will Ghia launch into Walmart by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 56%21 hours ago
Will KeHE add 20+ new functional beverage SKUs to its natural set in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 46%21 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Anheuser-Busch InBevNO
40 SP @ 50%21 hours ago
Will Liquid Death announce an international retail expansion by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 49%22 hours ago
Will Stellantis announce an exit from the US small-car segment in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 27%22 hours ago
Which non-alc beer brand will be acquired in 2026?: Untitled Art (NA line)NO
40 SP @ 40%23 hours ago
Will Expo West 2027 have more than 200 functional beverage exhibitors?YES
8 SP @ 64%yesterday
Will Recess shut down or pivot away from sparkling water in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 33%yesterday
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: NestleYES
40 SP @ 54%yesterday
Will PepsiCo extend its distribution agreement with Celsius beyond its current term?YES
8 SP @ 52%yesterday
Athletic Brewing valuation at next funding event: $1B to $2BNO
16 SP @ 84%yesterday
Biggest CPG IPO of 2026 (company): No mega-IPOYES
8 SP @ 50%yesterday
Will Olipop launch a new core-line flavor before July 1, 2026?NO
19 SP @ 86%yesterday
Will Spindrift expand into a new category by July 1, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 61%yesterday
Will Whole Foods reduce shelf space for prebiotic sodas (Olipop / Poppi / Culture Pop) in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 60%yesterday
Will Olipop be acquired by a strategic before EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 37%yesterday
Will Samsung announce a Galaxy Ring 2 (second-generation) in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 53%2 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: MayawellYES
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Pet wearable to hit 1M subscribers 2026: WhistleYES
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q2 2026YES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: No challenger adNO
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Will Poppi announce an acquisition (any party) in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Will Expo West 2027 have more than 200 functional beverage exhibitors?NO
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Will Olipop publicly report (or be reported to have) revenue above $500M for CY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): NestleNO
9 SP @ 28%2 days ago
Will Poppi announce an acquisition (any party) in 2026?NO
9 SP @ 30%2 days ago
Will Magic Spoon be acquired by a strategic in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Will Ghia raise a Series B by end of Q3 2026?NO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Yerba mate brand to break $50M in 2026: Clean CauseYES
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Coffee lineNO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Will Liquid Death announce an international retail expansion by July 31, 2026?NO
7 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): PepsiCoYES
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Top plant milk brand by 2026 retail dollars: SilkNO
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): Not acquired by EOY 2026YES
8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: PoppiYES
8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
Top plant milk brand by 2026 retail dollars: Chobani OatNO
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Will PepsiCo extend its distribution agreement with Celsius beyond its current term?NO
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Most-acquired non-alc beer brand in 2026: Best Day BrewingYES
9 SP @ 33%3 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: Culture PopNO
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Will Liquid Death launch a non-water beverage in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): Anheuser-Busch InBevNO
10 SP @ 21%3 days ago
Athletic Brewing valuation at next funding event: No funding event in 2026NO
8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: GT's Living FoodsNO
8 SP @ 41%4 days ago
Will Liquid Death announce an international retail expansion by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 63%4 days ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: No IPO filing in 2026YES
9 SP @ 37%4 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: Liquid DeathNO
8 SP @ 38%4 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: Athletic BrewingNO
8 SP @ 36%4 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: Athletic BrewingNO
8 SP @ 38%4 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): Keurig Dr PepperNO
8 SP @ 42%4 days ago
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: Melatonin (Olly)NO
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Most-acquired non-alc beer brand in 2026: Best Day BrewingNO
10 SP @ 19%4 days ago
Most-acquired non-alc beer brand in 2026: Heineken 0.0 (already big)YES
8 SP @ 44%4 days ago
Will Olipop publicly report (or be reported to have) revenue above $500M for CY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 60%4 days ago
Will Recess shut down or pivot away from sparkling water in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 41%4 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): Anheuser-Busch InBevYES
8 SP @ 23%4 days ago
Will Olipop be acquired by a strategic before EOY 2026?NO
9 SP @ 29%4 days ago
Will Liquid Death launch a non-water beverage in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 45%4 days ago
Will Poppi announce an acquisition (any party) in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 40%4 days ago
Fastest-growing frozen food brand 2026: Daily HarvestYES
8 SP @ 45%4 days ago
Will a US streaming service win an NBA, NFL, or MLB exclusive package in 2026?YES
39 SP @ 42%4 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: OlipopNO
8 SP @ 56%4 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: CelsiusYES
8 SP @ 68%4 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: PoppiYES
9 SP @ 71%4 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: Culture PopYES
8 SP @ 59%4 days ago
Liquid Death's next category expansion by July 31, 2026: No new categoryNO
9 SP @ 70%4 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): Keurig Dr PepperYES
8 SP @ 41%4 days ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q3 2026YES
8 SP @ 65%4 days ago
Athletic Brewing valuation at next funding event: Under $500MNO
8 SP @ 35%4 days ago
Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Coffee lineYES
8 SP @ 51%4 days ago
Yerba mate brand to break $50M in 2026: No brand hits $50MYES
9 SP @ 36%4 days ago
Will Olipop be acquired by a strategic before EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 35%4 days ago
Will Ghia raise a Series B by end of Q3 2026?NO
8 SP @ 49%4 days ago
Most-acquired non-alc beer brand in 2026: No major acquisitionYES
8 SP @ 68%4 days ago
Will Whole Foods reduce shelf space for prebiotic sodas (Olipop / Poppi / Culture Pop) in 2026?NO
9 SP @ 64%4 days ago
Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Energy drinkYES
8 SP @ 64%4 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: PoppiYES
8 SP @ 65%4 days ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q1 2026YES
8 SP @ 43%5 days ago
Will a functional beverage brand air a Super Bowl ad in 2027?YES
8 SP @ 52%5 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: Athletic BrewingNO
8 SP @ 45%5 days ago
Tirzepatide compounding outcome: Status quo (compounding continues)NO
8 SP @ 51%5 days ago
Will Olipop publicly report (or be reported to have) revenue above $500M for CY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 40%5 days ago
Top-selling energy drink under 25 in 2026: Alani NuYES
9 SP @ 75%5 days ago
Liquid Death's next category expansion by July 31, 2026: Hard seltzerYES
8 SP @ 59%5 days ago
Will Athletic Brewing file for an IPO in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 43%5 days ago
Liquid Death's next category expansion by July 31, 2026: Soda alternativeYES
8 SP @ 64%5 days ago
Will Ghia launch into Walmart by EOY 2026?NO
9 SP @ 30%5 days ago
Will Recess shut down or pivot away from sparkling water in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 40%5 days ago
Most-acquired non-alc beer brand in 2026: Lagunitas IPA NANO
8 SP @ 57%5 days ago
Will Liquid Death launch a non-water beverage in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 41%5 days ago
Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Hard seltzerYES
8 SP @ 53%5 days ago
Most-acquired non-alc beer brand in 2026: Lagunitas IPA NANO
8 SP @ 61%5 days ago