@elenahale

Elena HaleJoined May 22, 2026

Target run veteran, masstige beauty household. Nashville · tarot reader.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 52%45 minutes ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 51%2 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Other beauty brandYES
5 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Other beauty brandYES
5 SP @ 100%9 hours ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 47%11 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: GlossierYES
5 SP @ 100%12 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: None shut down by Dec 31 2026YES
5 SP @ 100%16 hours ago
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 57%16 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Rare BeautyYES
5 SP @ 100%16 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Florence by MillsYES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Other beauty brandYES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Honest BeautyYES
27 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Coca-ColaYES
18 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Other beauty brandNO
6 SP @ 47%21 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Pleasing (Harry Styles)YES
8 SP @ 62%21 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Rare BeautyYES
8 SP @ 59%yesterday
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 47%yesterday
Will Wendy's expand its late-night / 24-hour pilot to 1,000+ US locations in 2026?YES
49 SP @ 52%yesterday
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Rare BeautyNO
8 SP @ 48%yesterday
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: JLO BeautyYES
8 SP @ 43%yesterday
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 45%yesterday
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: SaieYES
8 SP @ 46%yesterday
Skincare ingredient of the year 2026: Snail MucinYES
8 SP @ 42%yesterday
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 41%yesterday
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: Sephora exclusive dealNO
8 SP @ 60%yesterday
TikTok-viral beauty brand of 2026: Charlotte TilburyYES
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: Sephora exclusive dealYES
8 SP @ 65%2 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: Re-sellNO
9 SP @ 24%2 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: Skims BeautyYES
8 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: OtherNO
8 SP @ 61%2 days ago
Which snack brand will have the biggest IPO of 2026?: Three WishesNO
6 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: MixsoonYES
5 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Biggest CPG SPAC of 2026: Liquid Death SPAC mergerNO
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Will Hershey announce an acquisition >$200M by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?NO
6 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: Rhode (Hailey Bieber)YES
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
TikTok-viral beauty brand of 2026: Glow RecipeYES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Hershey Q2 2026 net sales band: $2.8B – $3.0BYES
9 SP @ 38%2 days ago
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: KosasNO
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: KosasYES
8 SP @ 63%2 days ago
Will TJX operate 200+ HomeSense US locations by EOY 2026?NO
30 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Will Hershey announce an acquisition >$200M by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: New product line launchYES
5 SP @ 46%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Grove CollaborativeYES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Beauty IPO of 2026: TatchaNO
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Oura IPO timing: Q3 2026NO
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Catalina CrunchYES
8 SP @ 67%3 days ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Pleasing (Harry Styles)YES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Will Pizza Hut report a positive US same-store sales quarter in 2026?YES
35 SP @ 54%3 days ago
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: Rare BeautyYES
8 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Will Olipop publicly report (or be reported to have) revenue above $500M for CY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: Rare BeautyYES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 28%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 33%3 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: OtherNO
9 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: CelsiusNO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: REM BeautyNO
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: REM BeautyNO
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Rhode (Hailey Bieber) acquisition price if sold: $500M to $1BYES
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago