@ameliatorres

Amelia TorresJoined May 22, 2026

skincare maximalist, household household. Portland · slow living.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 43%53 minutes ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 40%3 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Casper Original FoamYES
5 SP @ 100%4 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: No single top pick / Guide removedYES
5 SP @ 100%5 hours ago
Which snack brand will have the biggest IPO of 2026?: CaulipowerYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?NO
6 SP @ 58%17 hours ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: CelsiusYES
5 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Other brandYES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Tuft & Needle OriginalYES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Petco market cap at end of 2026: survival or delisting?: Below $500MYES
5 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 44%20 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: Other brandYES
5 SP @ 100%21 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Tuft & Needle OriginalYES
5 SP @ 100%21 hours ago
Will Lucid Group file for bankruptcy or be acquired in 2026?YES
11 SP @ 61%21 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: No qualifying brandNO
24 SP @ 41%23 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Other brandYES
29 SP @ 58%yesterday
Novo Nordisk or Eli Lilly: First GLP-1 cardiovascular drug ad campaign in 2026: Novo Nordisk firstNO
40 SP @ 50%yesterday
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Avocado GreenYES
8 SP @ 48%yesterday
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Casper OriginalNO
8 SP @ 46%yesterday
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Open SpacesNO
8 SP @ 48%yesterday
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Casper OriginalYES
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: IPO filingYES
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Always PanNO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Target launchNO
5 SP @ 54%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifNO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
First CPG company to file S-1 in 2026: Magic SpoonNO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
First major CPG IPO filing between May 16 and July 31, 2026: Athletic BrewingNO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Branch BasicsNO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Studio McGee expansionNO
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Casper OriginalNO
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Public GoodsYES
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Grove CollaborativeYES
5 SP @ 37%2 days ago
Biggest CPG fundraise of 2026 (band): Under $50MYES
9 SP @ 70%2 days ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: 4% – 6%YES
8 SP @ 61%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Truly FreeYES
8 SP @ 67%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: No major acquisitionNO
5 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Marie KondoYES
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: No material eventNO
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenNO
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Casper exit path: Re-IPOYES
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Method (SC Johnson)NO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses cross 2M cumulative units sold in 2026?YES
12 SP @ 51%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Grove CollaborativeYES
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Target launchNO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Branch BasicsNO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Will Hyundai-Kia outsell GM in any US monthly sales report in 2026?YES
7 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Expo West 2026 Best New Product winner: Siete FoodsNO
7 SP @ 36%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: GoodthreadsYES
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: OtherlandYES
8 SP @ 62%3 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: OtherlandNO
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifNO
9 SP @ 27%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Always PanYES
9 SP @ 35%3 days ago
Rhode (Hailey Bieber) acquisition price if sold: Over $2BNO
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Branch BasicsYES
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Target launchNO
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Method (SC Johnson)NO
5 SP @ 48%3 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifNO
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
First GLP-1 brand to 1M active subscribers: HimsNO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandYES
9 SP @ 71%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q1 to Q2NO
6 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Casper OriginalYES
8 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Target launchNO
8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Saatva ClassicYES
8 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Tuft & Needle MintYES
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Always PanNO
9 SP @ 22%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Branch BasicsYES
9 SP @ 35%4 days ago
Yerba mate brand to break $50M in 2026: Clean CauseNO
8 SP @ 45%4 days ago