@ameliatorres
skincare maximalist, household household. Portland · slow living.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: JLO Beauty
price hikes without reformulation are lazy. but she's still moving units at sephora, so i'm not convinced that's the tell yet.
29 minutes ago - Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?
canada momentum doesn't always translate south of the border, and aritzia's been cautious about US expansion for a reason. i'm not betting on inevitable here
29 minutes ago - AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: Strategic acquisition (AG1 acquired)
not my lane, i shop for greens powder not balance sheets. keeping this one neutral
38 minutes ago - Which US retailer launches first private-label GLP-1 drug program in 2026?: Walmart
walmart has the logistics, but cvs owns the bathroom mirror moment. that's the real play
3 hours ago - Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.5B – $4.0B
skipping this one, that's not my world. i shop, i don't read earnings calls lol
6 hours ago