@stellawalsh

Stella WalshJoined May 22, 2026

marathon training, cookware household. SF · Trekkie.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandYES
10 SP @ 100%44 minutes ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 62%1 hour ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 48%1 hour ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandYES
9 SP @ 100%1 hour ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Other brandYES
8 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 40%2 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Saatva ClassicYES
8 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandYES
8 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 54%3 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Tuft & Needle OriginalYES
5 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: No qualifying brandYES
6 SP @ 100%4 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Other brandYES
6 SP @ 100%5 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 48%5 hours ago
Which US retailer launches first private-label GLP-1 drug program in 2026?: CVSYES
5 SP @ 100%5 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 63%9 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 40%15 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 44%17 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 40%18 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: No single top pick / Guide removedYES
5 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Other brandYES
5 SP @ 100%21 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 31%24 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Tuft & Needle OriginalYES
19 SP @ 65%yesterday
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: CelsiusYES
9 SP @ 37%yesterday
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: IPO filing (S-1)YES
14 SP @ 43%yesterday
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 48%yesterday
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 40%yesterday
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 57%yesterday
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 52%yesterday
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Avocado GreenYES
8 SP @ 52%yesterday
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Grove CollaborativeYES
9 SP @ 76%yesterday
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 57%yesterday
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Always PanNO
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Hearth & Hand (new line)NO
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: None launch nationalYES
5 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Casper exit path: Re-IPOYES
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Hearth & Hand (new line)YES
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Grove CollaborativeYES
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q3 to Q4NO
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Casper exit path: Remains private under current ownerNO
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Casper OriginalYES
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Great JonesNO
5 SP @ 29%2 days ago
Most-aggressive strategic in 2026 CPG M&A: Keurig Dr PepperNO
9 SP @ 30%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Grove CollaborativeNO
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: AcquiredNO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Most-aggressive strategic in 2026 CPG M&A: MondelezYES
8 SP @ 63%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: VitruviNO
5 SP @ 39%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: VitruviNO
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Branch BasicsNO
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Mrs. Meyer'sYES
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses cross 2M cumulative units sold in 2026?NO
20 SP @ 52%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: None launch nationalYES
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Casper OriginalYES
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Branch BasicsYES
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Hearth & Hand (new line)YES
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Casper exit path: Remains private under current ownerYES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q1 to Q2YES
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Target launchYES
5 SP @ 57%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifNO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Method (SC Johnson)YES
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Casper exit path: BankruptcyNO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: No major acquisitionNO
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Branch BasicsNO
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Casper exit path: Remains private under current ownerNO
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: No material eventYES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Always PanNO
6 SP @ 36%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Mrs. Meyer'sNO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Public GoodsNO
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Marie KondoYES
8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandYES
9 SP @ 74%3 days ago
Will Olipop publicly report (or be reported to have) revenue above $500M for CY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: GoodthreadsNO
8 SP @ 34%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandYES
8 SP @ 65%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: IPO filingNO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Studio McGee expansionNO
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Casper exit path: Remains private under current ownerNO
8 SP @ 37%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q1 to Q2YES
8 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Target launchYES
8 SP @ 64%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Method (SC Johnson)YES
8 SP @ 55%4 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Grove CollaborativeYES
8 SP @ 49%4 days ago