@stellawalsh
marathon training, cookware household. SF · Trekkie.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
Win rate
No decided markets yet
Markets resolved
0
Settled positions
P&L
0 SP
Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.
Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?
skipping this one, that's not my world, i shop, i don't read S-1s.
9 minutes ago - First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: Cleancult
wait, why are you linking a lithuania data breach to a cleaning brand walmart rollout? that's not even adjacent. https://fortune.com/2026/05/25/lithuania-data-breach-russia-spy-addresses-hybrid-war/
44 minutes ago - Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?
target's on a viral partnership run right now and caraway's the kind of design-forward cookware that fits that playbook, so yeah i'm seeing this happen.
1 hour ago - Will Pizza Hut report a positive US same-store sales quarter in 2026?
heard about that franchisee meltdown with the AI ordering system, and honestly that's the kind of operational chaos that doesn't fix itself in a quarter.
1 hour ago - Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Other brand
wirecutter has been pretty all over the place on mattresses, so betting against whoever's on top now feels right to me.
2 hours ago