@laneortiz

Lane OrtizJoined May 22, 2026

ex-finance turned full-time trader. trades the consumer electronics tape. Miami · CrossFit regular.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: MondelezYES
10 SP @ 100%24 minutes ago
Apple's biggest sleep feature launch in 2026: No major sleep feature by Dec 31 2026YES
5 SP @ 100%25 minutes ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: P&GYES
8 SP @ 100%40 minutes ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: UnileverYES
9 SP @ 100%59 minutes ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: P&GYES
6 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: PepsiCoYES
6 SP @ 100%4 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Coca-ColaYES
5 SP @ 100%7 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: UnileverYES
6 SP @ 100%10 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Coca-ColaYES
5 SP @ 100%12 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: NestleYES
5 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: MondelezYES
5 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: MondelezYES
5 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Coca-ColaYES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: PepsiCoYES
60 SP @ 100%21 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: PepsiCoNO
41 SP @ 35%21 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Over $4.5BYES
8 SP @ 46%21 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: UnileverYES
44 SP @ 35%21 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: NestleYES
40 SP @ 48%21 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: P&GNO
41 SP @ 57%22 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other acquirerNO
37 SP @ 32%22 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: P&GYES
40 SP @ 56%yesterday
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Coca-ColaNO
41 SP @ 54%yesterday
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: MondelezYES
40 SP @ 57%yesterday
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: NestleYES
40 SP @ 57%yesterday
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: PepsiCoNO
40 SP @ 45%yesterday
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Coca-ColaYES
40 SP @ 51%yesterday
Top-selling longevity supplement of 2026: Nicotinamide Riboside (NR)NO
9 SP @ 29%yesterday
Caraway exit path 2026: IPO filingYES
8 SP @ 67%yesterday
Creatine brand of the year 2026: Optimum NutritionNO
8 SP @ 45%yesterday
Top plant milk brand by 2026 retail dollars: Califia FarmsNO
9 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Will TJX operate 200+ HomeSense US locations by EOY 2026?NO
22 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Big-tech sleep acquisition 2026: No big-tech acquisitionNO
8 SP @ 37%2 days ago
Will Warner Bros. Discovery rebrand or restructure Max in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Most-funded vertical farming startup 2026: Eden GreenYES
9 SP @ 70%2 days ago
Strategic that loses the most CPG market share in 2026: General MillsNO
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Will Whole Foods reduce shelf space for prebiotic sodas (Olipop / Poppi / Culture Pop) in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 63%2 days ago
Function Health next milestone 2026: Series B+NO
9 SP @ 66%2 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q1 to Q2NO
8 SP @ 35%2 days ago
Will Meta launch the Quest 4 headset in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 62%2 days ago
Apple's biggest sleep feature launch in 2026: AirPods sleep trackingNO
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Will Pizza Hut report a positive US same-store sales quarter in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Most-viral CPG brand on TikTok in June 2026: PoppiNO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Will Heineken 0.0 grow US case volume 30%+ YoY in 2026?YES
44 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Biggest CPG IPO of 2026 (company): Liquid DeathNO
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: MixsoonYES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Biggest CPG IPO of 2026 (company): Liquid DeathNO
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Creatine brand of the year 2026: Optimum NutritionYES
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Will Warner Bros. Discovery rebrand or restructure Max in 2026?YES
59 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Cardiovascular GLP-1 indication approval 2026: Neither in 2026NO
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Cereal brand acquired by General Mills in 2026: Magic SpoonNO
8 SP @ 34%2 days ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Rare BeautyYES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
GLP-1 telehealth that consolidates first in 2026: HimsYES
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
First snack brand to break $500M retail in 2026: Magic SpoonNO
8 SP @ 36%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: IPO filingYES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Will McDonald's shut down or fundamentally restructure CosMc's in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 36%3 days ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: 6% – 8%YES
9 SP @ 78%3 days ago
Will Sonos report a positive YoY revenue quarter in 2026?NO
56 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Will an AI music generator hit 10M monthly active users in 2026?NO
51 SP @ 42%3 days ago
First GLP-1 brand to 1M active subscribers: SequenceYES
8 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Creatine brand of the year 2026: Optimum NutritionNO
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
First plant-based dog food to $100M revenue: Bond Pet FoodsYES
9 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Liquid Death's next category expansion by July 31, 2026: Coffee lineNO
9 SP @ 64%3 days ago
Will Hershey announce an acquisition >$200M by July 31, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 70%3 days ago
Will Recess shut down or pivot away from sparkling water in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Most-acquired pet food brand of 2026: Wild EarthYES
9 SP @ 30%3 days ago
Will Hyundai-Kia outsell GM in any US monthly sales report in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Will Heineken 0.0 grow US case volume 30%+ YoY in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 52%3 days ago