@haydeningram

Hayden IngramJoined May 22, 2026

VP merchandising at a retailer covering wellness/supps. Brooklyn · audiophile. Ten years on the wellness desk.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: Series D+ funding roundYES
5 SP @ 100%50 minutes ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 45%50 minutes ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 57%4 hours ago
Apple's biggest sleep feature launch in 2026: AirPods sleep trackingYES
5 SP @ 100%10 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.5B – $4.0BYES
5 SP @ 100%10 hours ago
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: Series D+ funding roundYES
5 SP @ 100%15 hours ago
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: Series D+ funding roundYES
5 SP @ 100%16 hours ago
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: IPO filing (S-1)YES
5 SP @ 100%16 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: No single top pick / Guide removedYES
5 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
Will Oasis Health face a public pay-for-rating scandal by Dec 31, 2026?YES
40 SP @ 54%18 hours ago
Will AG1 (Athletic Greens) launch a new product SKU by July 15, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 57%18 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.5B – $4.0BYES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: IPO filing (S-1)YES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.0B – $3.5BYES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Over $4.5BYES
5 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.0B – $3.5BNO
8 SP @ 59%21 hours ago
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: IPO filing (S-1)NO
40 SP @ 45%22 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.5B – $4.0BYES
8 SP @ 58%22 hours ago
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: No qualifying corporate finance eventYES
41 SP @ 64%22 hours ago
Apple's biggest sleep feature launch in 2026: AirPods sleep trackingYES
8 SP @ 42%22 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Under $3.0BYES
8 SP @ 44%22 hours ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 55%23 hours ago
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: IPO filing (S-1)NO
40 SP @ 41%yesterday
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.5B – $4.0BYES
9 SP @ 71%yesterday
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other strategicYES
8 SP @ 66%yesterday
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 48%yesterday
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 53%yesterday
Will Hims disclose >2M GLP-1 subscribers by July 31, 2026?YES
12 SP @ 87%yesterday
Big-tech sleep acquisition 2026: Eight SleepNO
8 SP @ 40%yesterday
Athletic Greens (AG1) next major event: Series D+YES
8 SP @ 46%yesterday
Most-funded GLP-1 weight-loss app of 2026: Sequence (WW)NO
8 SP @ 44%yesterday
Will AG1 (Athletic Greens) launch a new product SKU by July 15, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 67%yesterday
Most-viral CPG brand on TikTok in June 2026: PoppiNO
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
Will Hims disclose >2M GLP-1 subscribers by July 31, 2026?YES
11 SP @ 85%2 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): Not acquired by EOY 2026NO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 66%2 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Function Health next milestone 2026: International launchNO
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
CBD sleep gummy market leader 2026: Sunday ScariesYES
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Smart mattress brand to hit $300M revenue first: Sleep NumberNO
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Apple Sleep feature launch 2026: No major featureYES
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
Cardiovascular GLP-1 indication approval 2026: Neither in 2026NO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
First mushroom coffee to 1,000 Whole Foods doors: Earth EchoYES
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Supplement brand pulled by FDA in 2026: HUMYES
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: OtherNO
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Top-selling longevity supplement of 2026: CoQ10NO
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Whoop next funding event 2026: IPO filingYES
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Generic GLP-1 launch in US: Q4 2026YES
8 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Will Magic Spoon hit 10K Walmart doors by Q4 2026?NO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Cardiovascular GLP-1 indication approval 2026: Both in 2026NO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Oura IPO timing: Q1 2026NO
10 SP @ 20%2 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Tirzepatide compounding outcome: Restricted with shortage carve-outNO
9 SP @ 27%2 days ago
Will Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses cross 2M cumulative units sold in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 64%3 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 64%3 days ago
Will Lucid Group file for bankruptcy or be acquired in 2026?YES
49 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 71%3 days ago
First GLP-1 brand to 1M active subscribers: FoundYES
8 SP @ 62%3 days ago
CBD sleep gummy market leader 2026: KanibiNO
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Apple Sleep feature launch 2026: Vision Pro sleep maskYES
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
First retailer to launch private-label GLP-1 program 2026: Amazon PharmacyNO
8 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Generic GLP-1 launch in US: Q1 2026NO
8 SP @ 36%3 days ago
Biggest CPG IPO of 2026 (company): No mega-IPOYES
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Top-selling cat treat brand 2026: FriskiesNO
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
First GLP-1 brand to 1M active subscribers: No brand disclosesYES
9 SP @ 74%3 days ago
Eight Sleep's next funding milestone: No funding eventNO
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Will Nothing officially launch a phone in the US in 2026?NO
39 SP @ 58%3 days ago