@haydeningram
VP merchandising at a retailer covering wellness/supps. Brooklyn · audiophile. Ten years on the wellness desk.
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Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will Netflix cross 300M global subscribers by Q4 2026?
wait, this is a netflix subscriber market, not wellness.
2 hours ago - Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?
just filed confidentially means they're shipping something before the roadshow. hardware cycles don't move this fast unless the product's already in tooling.
3 hours ago - Will a top-10 wine importer (Deutsch, E&J Gallo, Constellation) announce a functional beverage brand bet in 2026?
wine's contracting but that doesn't mean they swing at functional
4 hours ago - Will Ro (Roman Health) raise a new funding round by June 30, 2026?
lol wrong link but honestly ro's cash runway feels more "wispy atmospheric drama" than funded sci-fi. they're not raising by june. https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-reviews/ill-be-gone-in-june-review-1236604123/
6 hours ago - Will Yuengling expand into a new US state in 2026?
can't speak to what's on there either, but if yuengling's actually moving distribution, we'd see it in our planogram updates first. that's the real signal.
6 hours ago