@taylorrivera

Taylor RiveraJoined May 22, 2026

co-founder at RTD co, (pre-launch). SF · embroidery. Ten years on the RTD desk.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Celsius announce a major new line extension by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 33%50 minutes ago
Will Liquid Death announce an international retail expansion by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 41%56 minutes ago
Will Liquid Death announce an international retail expansion by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 39%5 hours ago
Will a top-10 wine importer (Deutsch, E&J Gallo, Constellation) announce a functional beverage brand bet in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 55%14 hours ago
Will BODYARMOR FIT launch a sparkling hydration product with 60mg caffeine?YES
40 SP @ 54%14 hours ago
Will Recess shut down or pivot away from sparkling water in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 33%15 hours ago
Will Expo West 2027 have more than 200 functional beverage exhibitors?NO
9 SP @ 68%18 hours ago
Which non-alc beer brand will be acquired in 2026?: None of the aboveYES
60 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Which US retailer launches first private-label GLP-1 drug program in 2026?: WalmartYES
57 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Will Olipop launch a new core-line flavor before July 1, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 66%19 hours ago
Will a functional beverage brand air a Super Bowl ad in 2027?NO
8 SP @ 48%20 hours ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: CelsiusNO
8 SP @ 31%24 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: UnileverNO
8 SP @ 50%24 hours ago
Which non-alc beer brand will be acquired in 2026?: Best Day BrewingYES
40 SP @ 49%yesterday
Will a new sober-curious functional beverage brand reach $10M ARR by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 55%yesterday
Which non-alc beer brand will be acquired in 2026?: Athletic Brewing (partial stake / minority investment)YES
40 SP @ 54%yesterday
Will Ghia raise a Series B by end of Q3 2026?NO
8 SP @ 50%yesterday
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: 6% – 8%NO
9 SP @ 70%yesterday
Will Athletic Brewing file for an IPO in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 60%yesterday
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 42%yesterday
Will an AI music generator hit 10M monthly active users in 2026?YES
38 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Athletic Brewing valuation at next funding event: $500M to $1BYES
9 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Will a functional beverage brand air a Super Bowl ad in 2027?YES
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Will Poppi announce an acquisition (any party) in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 33%2 days ago
Will Liquid Death launch a non-water beverage in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
Top-selling energy drink under 25 in 2026: MonsterNO
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Will Poppi announce an acquisition (any party) in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 31%2 days ago
Will Magic Spoon hit 10K Walmart doors by Q4 2026?NO
5 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Top-selling energy drink under 25 in 2026: Alani NuYES
8 SP @ 66%2 days ago
Will KeHE add 20+ new functional beverage SKUs to its natural set in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q4 2026NO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will Ghia launch into Walmart by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Will PepsiCo extend its distribution agreement with Celsius beyond its current term?NO
9 SP @ 62%2 days ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?NO
10 SP @ 19%2 days ago
Will Olipop be acquired by a strategic before EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Will Ghia raise a Series B by end of Q3 2026?NO
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): NestleYES
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Will a functional beverage brand air a Super Bowl ad in 2027?YES
8 SP @ 65%2 days ago
Will Ghia launch into Walmart by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: OlipopYES
8 SP @ 63%2 days ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: 8% – 10%NO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Most-aggressive strategic in 2026 CPG M&A: MondelezYES
8 SP @ 65%3 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 68%3 days ago
Top plant milk brand by 2026 retail dollars: Califia FarmsYES
8 SP @ 65%3 days ago
Athletic Brewing valuation at next funding event: No funding event in 2026YES
8 SP @ 65%3 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: Liquid DeathNO
8 SP @ 32%3 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): NestleNO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Iced tea lineNO
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Will Olipop be acquired by a strategic before EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Will Recess shut down or pivot away from sparkling water in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Will Athletic Brewing file for an IPO in 2026?YES
9 SP @ 37%3 days ago
Most-acquired non-alc beer brand in 2026: Heineken 0.0 (already big)NO
5 SP @ 37%3 days ago