@naomimoss

Naomi MossJoined May 22, 2026

parent (juggling 2), mens grooming household. London · Criterion Collection nerd.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 56%40 minutes ago
Will Hims disclose >2M GLP-1 subscribers by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 55%2 hours ago
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 41%12 hours ago
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 53%16 hours ago
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 40%18 hours ago
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?NO
6 SP @ 46%21 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Pleasing (Harry Styles)YES
19 SP @ 100%21 hours ago
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 46%21 hours ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 36%23 hours ago
Will the US RTD cocktail category decline in dollar volume in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 49%24 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: None shut down by Dec 31 2026YES
17 SP @ 49%yesterday
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 43%yesterday
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: GlossierYES
6 SP @ 41%yesterday
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?YES
7 SP @ 54%yesterday
Liquid Death IPO timing: No IPO filing in 2026NO
8 SP @ 46%yesterday
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 39%yesterday
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: GlossierNO
8 SP @ 34%yesterday
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 53%yesterday
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?NO
5 SP @ 57%yesterday
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: Sephora exclusive dealNO
8 SP @ 55%yesterday
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: New product line launchYES
8 SP @ 51%yesterday
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: KosasYES
9 SP @ 38%yesterday
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: GlossierNO
9 SP @ 28%yesterday
Smart mattress brand to hit $300M revenue first: No brand hits $300MYES
8 SP @ 53%yesterday
Beauty IPO of 2026: Drunk Elephant relistingYES
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Rhode (Hailey Bieber) acquisition price if sold: Over $2BNO
9 SP @ 27%2 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: MixsoonYES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 32%2 days ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other strategicNO
9 SP @ 63%2 days ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: JLO BeautyYES
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: JLO BeautyNO
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: Rare BeautyNO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Beauty IPO of 2026: BeautycounterYES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: New product line launchYES
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Hims's biggest 2026 acquisition: Modern HealthNO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
5 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Supplement brand pulled by FDA in 2026: RitualYES
7 SP @ 61%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
Supplement brand pulled by FDA in 2026: No enforcement actionYES
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Skincare ingredient of the year 2026: CentellaNO
5 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: Rhode (Hailey Bieber)YES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 37%3 days ago
Skincare ingredient of the year 2026: BakuchiolYES
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: OtherNO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: Beauty of JoseonNO
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Strategic that loses the most CPG market share in 2026: General MillsNO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
7 SP @ 31%3 days ago
Will Sonos report a positive YoY revenue quarter in 2026?YES
25 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: New product line launchNO
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Florence by MillsYES
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: No brand hits $1BNO
5 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: KosasNO
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 33%3 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: No brand hits $1BNO
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
First major CPG IPO filing between May 16 and July 31, 2026: OlipopNO
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: Selena Gomez expansionNO
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: 4% – 6%YES
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
TikTok-viral beauty brand of 2026: RhodeNO
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: COSRXNO
8 SP @ 34%3 days ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Pleasing (Harry Styles)YES
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: UnileverNO
9 SP @ 67%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 28%3 days ago
Rhode (Hailey Bieber) acquisition price if sold: Under $500MNO
8 SP @ 34%3 days ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Rare BeautyNO
5 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Will Garmin announce a Fenix 9 in 2026?NO
13 SP @ 46%4 days ago