@freyarivera

Freya RiveraJoined May 18, 2026

planning manager at cookware co, (pre-launch). Miami · tradwife discourse skeptic. First seat on the cookware desk.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 43%20 minutes ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 41%2 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 36%2 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 52%4 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 61%5 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Casper Original FoamYES
5 SP @ 100%7 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandYES
5 SP @ 100%16 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 40%18 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 41%18 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultYES
5 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
First GLP-1 subscription brand to publicly report 1M active subscribers in 2026: RoYES
40 SP @ 54%22 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Saatva ClassicYES
8 SP @ 48%23 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 39%23 hours ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 63%24 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 36%24 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Helix Midnight LuxeNO
41 SP @ 38%24 hours ago
Will WhistlePig be acquired by a major spirits group in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 57%yesterday
Will Stellantis announce an exit from the US small-car segment in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 26%yesterday
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Other brandYES
40 SP @ 59%yesterday
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Other brandYES
40 SP @ 57%yesterday
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 62%yesterday
Top-selling energy drink under 25 in 2026: CelsiusYES
8 SP @ 43%yesterday
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Avocado GreenYES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Will Slate Auto begin customer deliveries in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 54%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Truly FreeNO
8 SP @ 61%2 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenNO
9 SP @ 62%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Open SpacesYES
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Studio McGee expansionYES
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: GoodthreadsYES
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: IPO filingYES
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q1 to Q2NO
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: KosasNO
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Casper exit path: BankruptcyNO
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q1 to Q2YES
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenYES
8 SP @ 63%2 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Iced tea lineYES
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Will Magic Spoon be acquired by a strategic in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 63%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Target launchYES
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: No material eventNO
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Casper exit path: Re-IPONO
8 SP @ 31%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Remains independentYES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Public GoodsYES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Casper exit path: BankruptcyYES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Casper exit path: BankruptcyNO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Liquid Death's next category expansion by July 31, 2026: No new categoryYES
8 SP @ 68%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Grove CollaborativeNO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Most-funded vertical farming startup 2026: BoweryYES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q1 to Q2NO
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Truly FreeYES
8 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Tuft & Needle MintYES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Casper exit path: Remains private under current ownerYES
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: None launch nationalYES
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: BluelandYES
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Tuft & Needle MintNO
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Will TJX operate 200+ HomeSense US locations by EOY 2026?NO
60 SP @ 56%3 days ago
First mushroom coffee to 1,000 Whole Foods doors: CymbiotikaYES
11 SP @ 84%3 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: VitruviYES
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: No material eventYES
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: CarawayNO
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Big-tech sleep acquisition 2026: No big-tech acquisitionYES
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Biggest CPG IPO of 2026 (company): OuraYES
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
First snack brand to break $500M retail in 2026: Bobo'sYES
9 SP @ 75%3 days ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: VitruviYES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: AcquiredYES
8 SP @ 60%3 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: Boy SmellsNO
8 SP @ 37%3 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: VitruviNO
8 SP @ 49%4 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Tuft & Needle MintYES
8 SP @ 52%4 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Remains independentNO
8 SP @ 48%4 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherNO
8 SP @ 55%4 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q3 to Q4YES
8 SP @ 49%4 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: OtherlandNO
8 SP @ 54%4 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q1 to Q2NO
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Great JonesYES
8 SP @ 57%4 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Grove CollaborativeYES
8 SP @ 39%4 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Open SpacesYES
8 SP @ 60%4 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Avocado GreenYES
8 SP @ 67%4 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Public GoodsYES
8 SP @ 56%4 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandYES
8 SP @ 57%4 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenNO
8 SP @ 56%4 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: None launch nationalNO
8 SP @ 37%4 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Purple HybridNO
9 SP @ 28%4 days ago
Longevity startup IPO 2026: Tally HealthNO
8 SP @ 49%4 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenYES
8 SP @ 60%4 days ago
Hims's biggest 2026 acquisition: CalibrateNO
8 SP @ 42%4 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: VitruviYES
8 SP @ 59%4 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Grove CollaborativeYES
9 SP @ 37%4 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Grove CollaborativeNO
8 SP @ 37%4 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: OtherlandYES
8 SP @ 60%4 days ago
Expo West 2026 Best New Product winner: Hu KitchenYES
11 SP @ 87%4 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 54%4 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: No major acquisitionYES
8 SP @ 43%4 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Remains independentNO
8 SP @ 47%4 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Purple HybridYES
9 SP @ 38%4 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Target launchYES
8 SP @ 55%4 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: No major acquisitionNO
8 SP @ 48%4 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Method (SC Johnson)YES
8 SP @ 39%4 days ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Saatva ClassicNO
8 SP @ 39%4 days ago