@ellachen

Ella ChenJoined May 22, 2026

household shopper, sleep wellness household. Chicago · tarot reader.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.0B – $3.5BYES
5 SP @ 100%8 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $4.0B – $4.5BYES
5 SP @ 100%8 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Over $4.5BYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Over $4.5BYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.5B – $4.0BYES
5 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 59%18 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.5B – $4.0BYES
5 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: Series D+ funding roundYES
26 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Will Ro (Roman Health) raise a new funding round by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 47%22 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.0B – $3.5BNO
8 SP @ 61%22 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultYES
9 SP @ 36%23 hours ago
Will Hims disclose >2M GLP-1 subscribers by July 31, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 71%23 hours ago
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: Series D+ funding roundNO
40 SP @ 45%yesterday
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Anheuser-Busch InBevYES
25 SP @ 49%yesterday
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Other cereal brandYES
22 SP @ 48%yesterday
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Over $4.5BYES
8 SP @ 53%yesterday
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $4.0B – $4.5BYES
8 SP @ 49%yesterday
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: Athletic BrewingYES
8 SP @ 47%yesterday
Generic GLP-1 launch in US: Q2 2026NO
8 SP @ 59%yesterday
First retailer to launch private-label GLP-1 program 2026: Amazon PharmacyNO
8 SP @ 56%yesterday
Lilly vs Novo: bigger GLP-1 share gain in 2026: Tied within 1ppNO
8 SP @ 39%yesterday
Apple's biggest sleep feature launch in 2026: AirPods sleep trackingYES
8 SP @ 49%yesterday
Hims's biggest 2026 acquisition: CalibrateNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Will Heineken 0.0 grow US case volume 30%+ YoY in 2026?NO
45 SP @ 38%2 days ago
Cardiovascular GLP-1 indication approval 2026: Neither in 2026NO
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
GLP-1 telehealth that consolidates first in 2026: FoundNO
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Longevity startup IPO 2026: Elysium HealthNO
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Will Athletic Brewing double its US distribution footprint in 2026?YES
22 SP @ 32%2 days ago
Generic GLP-1 launch in US: Q1 2026NO
8 SP @ 32%2 days ago
Will Whole Foods reduce shelf space for prebiotic sodas (Olipop / Poppi / Culture Pop) in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Hims's biggest 2026 acquisition: TalkspaceNO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
CBD sleep gummy market leader 2026: Cornbread or PlusNO
9 SP @ 25%2 days ago
Creatine brand of the year 2026: Bulk SupplementsYES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
CBD sleep gummy market leader 2026: Charlotte's WebYES
8 SP @ 65%2 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 32%2 days ago
Smart mattress brand to hit $300M revenue first: No brand hits $300MNO
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 34%2 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?YES
7 SP @ 54%2 days ago
First GLP-1 telehealth to raise a mega-round in 2026: Sequence (Weight Watchers)NO
10 SP @ 73%3 days ago
Will Hershey announce an acquisition >$200M by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Whoop next funding event 2026: AcquisitionYES
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Eight Sleep's next funding milestone: Series G+YES
8 SP @ 69%3 days ago
First retailer to launch private-label GLP-1 program 2026: WalmartYES
8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
First retailer to launch private-label GLP-1 program 2026: Mark Cuban Cost PlusNO
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Top-selling longevity supplement of 2026: SpermidineNO
8 SP @ 34%3 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 34%3 days ago
Generic GLP-1 launch in US: Q4 2026YES
8 SP @ 66%3 days ago
First GLP-1 brand to 1M active subscribers: No brand disclosesNO
10 SP @ 71%3 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 35%3 days ago
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: L-Theanine (Nature Made)NO
9 SP @ 63%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Open SpacesNO
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
First retailer to launch private-label GLP-1 program 2026: Mark Cuban Cost PlusYES
8 SP @ 67%3 days ago
GLP-1 telehealth that consolidates first in 2026: FoundNO
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
First mushroom coffee to 1,000 Whole Foods doors: NoneYES
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Most-funded vertical farming startup 2026: PlentyYES
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
CBD sleep gummy market leader 2026: Sunday ScariesYES
11 SP @ 23%3 days ago