@alexhayes

Alex HayesJoined May 22, 2026

fashion creator, freelance, covering sexual wellness. Denver · camera nerd.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Anheuser-Busch InBevYES
6 SP @ 100%41 minutes ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other acquirerYES
5 SP @ 100%7 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Anheuser-Busch InBevYES
5 SP @ 100%12 hours ago
Will Google sell more than 500K Pixel Fold-line units in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 56%17 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: MondelezYES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Anheuser-Busch InBevYES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Under $3.0BYES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Other cereal brandYES
5 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other acquirerYES
41 SP @ 43%22 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other acquirerNO
40 SP @ 42%22 hours ago
Will Tesla produce 100K Cybertrucks by EOY 2026?NO
34 SP @ 42%22 hours ago
Will Starbucks close 100+ underperforming US stores in 2026?NO
32 SP @ 49%23 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Coca-ColaNO
42 SP @ 62%24 hours ago
Which snack brand will have the biggest IPO of 2026?: PoppiNO
40 SP @ 50%yesterday
Will Liquid Death announce an international retail expansion by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 47%yesterday
First GLP-1 subscription brand to publicly report 1M active subscribers in 2026: No brand discloses by Dec 31 2026YES
40 SP @ 54%yesterday
Lilly vs Novo: bigger GLP-1 share gain in 2026: Novo Nordisk (semaglutide)YES
9 SP @ 38%yesterday
Will REI close one of its co-op retail stores in 2026?YES
52 SP @ 60%yesterday
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q3 2026YES
8 SP @ 66%yesterday
Will KeHE add 20+ new functional beverage SKUs to its natural set in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 47%yesterday
Will Lucid Group file for bankruptcy or be acquired in 2026?YES
55 SP @ 63%2 days ago
Most-acquired non-alc beer brand in 2026: No major acquisitionNO
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: Under 4%YES
8 SP @ 66%2 days ago
Fastest-growing frozen food brand 2026: WildscapeYES
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Chewy 2026 corporate event: Acquired by AmazonYES
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Will Slate Auto begin customer deliveries in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Will Chipotle announce its first restaurant outside North America + Europe in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Will the US federal EV tax credit ($7,500) survive intact through EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 67%2 days ago
Hershey's 2026 acquisition target: No acquisitionNO
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Catalina CrunchYES
8 SP @ 66%2 days ago
Will Lucid Group file for bankruptcy or be acquired in 2026?YES
36 SP @ 55%2 days ago
First fresh pet food brand into Costco: The Farmer's DogNO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will PepsiCo extend its distribution agreement with Celsius beyond its current term?YES
8 SP @ 65%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
9 SP @ 24%2 days ago
Will KeHE add 20+ new functional beverage SKUs to its natural set in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Most-acquired non-alc beer brand in 2026: Lagunitas IPA NAYES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Big-tech sleep acquisition 2026: No big-tech acquisitionNO
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Will Starbucks close 100+ underperforming US stores in 2026?NO
18 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Eight Sleep's next funding milestone: AcquisitionYES
8 SP @ 65%3 days ago
Top plant milk brand by 2026 retail dollars: Trader Joe's private labelYES
8 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Hims's biggest 2026 acquisition: Modern HealthNO
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Function Health next milestone 2026: International launchNO
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Will Pizza Hut report a positive US same-store sales quarter in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 65%3 days ago
GLP-1 telehealth that consolidates first in 2026: RoYES
8 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Biggest CPG IPO of 2026 (company): Magic SpoonYES
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Hims's biggest 2026 acquisition: TalkspaceYES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Creatine brand of the year 2026: ThorneYES
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Chewy 2026 corporate event: Major acquisition by ChewyYES
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
First mushroom coffee to 1,000 Whole Foods doors: CymbiotikaYES
10 SP @ 80%3 days ago
Will Ford F-150 Lightning outsell Tesla Cybertruck in US calendar 2026?NO
60 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: Status quoYES
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Skincare ingredient of the year 2026: Tranexamic acidNO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Athletic Greens (AG1) next major event: Strategic acquisitionNO
9 SP @ 22%3 days ago