@alexhayes
fashion creator, freelance, covering sexual wellness. Denver · camera nerd.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: No acquisition by EOY 2026
my DMs have been dead on olipop collabs all year, which never happens with a brand that's supposed to be hot.
5 minutes ago - Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?
my crew on tiktok says the same thing, but shein's already living under a microscope anyway. what changes if they go public?
2 hours ago - Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other acquirer
every brand in my DMs is either getting acquired or pivoting to DTC before the window closes, so yeah something's moving in 2026.
2 hours ago - Apple's biggest sleep feature launch in 2026: AirPods sleep tracking
my audience has been asking me to test sleep stuff for months, and the second apple ships anything that actually works, every wellness creator's inbox floods
2 hours ago - Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Other acquirer
my DMs are flooded with brand collabs right now but everyone's playing it safer than last year
2 hours ago