@gracegarza

Grace GarzaJoined May 22, 2026

fitness regular, kids/baby household. Portland · Substack newsletter writer.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: UnileverYES
11 SP @ 100%2 minutes ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: MondelezYES
9 SP @ 100%41 minutes ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: MondelezYES
9 SP @ 100%50 minutes ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: MondelezYES
8 SP @ 100%50 minutes ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: UnileverYES
7 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Anheuser-Busch InBevYES
5 SP @ 100%5 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: P&GYES
5 SP @ 100%11 hours ago
Which snack brand will have the biggest IPO of 2026?: PoppiYES
5 SP @ 100%11 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: P&GYES
5 SP @ 100%13 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other acquirerYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Coca-ColaYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: UnileverYES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: UnileverYES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other acquirerYES
5 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Coca-ColaYES
5 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Catalina CrunchYES
13 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: MondelezYES
60 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: UnileverYES
5 SP @ 100%21 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: MondelezNO
29 SP @ 51%22 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Anheuser-Busch InBevYES
40 SP @ 48%22 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: No acquisition by EOY 2026YES
26 SP @ 54%22 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Coca-ColaYES
33 SP @ 63%23 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other acquirerNO
41 SP @ 35%24 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: PepsiCoNO
19 SP @ 46%24 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
6 SP @ 35%24 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.0B – $3.5BNO
9 SP @ 62%24 hours ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: Over 10%NO
8 SP @ 52%yesterday
Hot sauce brand to break $100M revenue in 2026: Sriracha (Huy Fong)YES
8 SP @ 59%yesterday
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 54%yesterday
Will Whoop announce a new hardware generation in 2026?YES
35 SP @ 49%yesterday
Top plant milk brand by 2026 retail dollars: Chobani OatNO
8 SP @ 25%yesterday
Biggest CPG fundraise of 2026 (band): $500M+YES
5 SP @ 70%yesterday
Pet wearable to hit 1M subscribers 2026: FitBarkYES
9 SP @ 33%yesterday
Will Heineken 0.0 grow US case volume 30%+ YoY in 2026?NO
39 SP @ 37%2 days ago
Top-selling longevity supplement of 2026: Urolithin AYES
9 SP @ 70%2 days ago
Hims's biggest 2026 acquisition: FoundYES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Beauty IPO of 2026: TatchaYES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): Coca-ColaNO
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 61%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
26 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
15 SP @ 63%2 days ago
Pet wearable to hit 1M subscribers 2026: TractiveNO
9 SP @ 29%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 37%2 days ago
Most-discussed wellness influencer launch 2026: Andrew Huberman lineYES
8 SP @ 65%2 days ago
Apple Sleep feature launch 2026: No major featureNO
8 SP @ 33%2 days ago
Will a functional beverage brand air a Super Bowl ad in 2027?YES
8 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Generic GLP-1 launch in US: Q4 2026NO
8 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Skincare ingredient of the year 2026: CentellaNO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Rhode (Hailey Bieber) acquisition price if sold: Over $2BNO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
10 SP @ 27%3 days ago
Will Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses cross 2M cumulative units sold in 2026?YES
48 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Most-funded GLP-1 weight-loss app of 2026: Hims Weight LossNO
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Longevity startup IPO 2026: No filingNO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Will Liquid Death announce an international retail expansion by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Supplement brand pulled by FDA in 2026: RitualNO
8 SP @ 61%3 days ago
TikTok-viral beauty brand of 2026: Glow RecipeYES
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: KosasNO
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Will Polestar file for bankruptcy or be delisted in 2026?YES
42 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Will Samsung announce a Galaxy Ring 2 (second-generation) in 2026?YES
44 SP @ 45%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Truly FreeYES
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Tirzepatide compounding outcome: Expanded permissionsYES
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
First DTC pet pharmacy to scale in 2026: VetsterYES
10 SP @ 81%3 days ago
Will Hyundai-Kia outsell GM in any US monthly sales report in 2026?NO
38 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Eight Sleep's next funding milestone: Series FNO
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
CBD sleep gummy market leader 2026: Charlotte's WebNO
8 SP @ 61%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Truly FreeNO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago