@frankierivera

Frankie RiveraJoined May 22, 2026

VP merchandising at a retailer covering mens grooming. LA · Tracy Anderson Method. Twenty-five years on the men's grooming desk.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: None shut down by Dec 31 2026YES
5 SP @ 100%1 hour ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 47%2 hours ago
Will Expo West 2027 have more than 200 functional beverage exhibitors?NO
8 SP @ 55%2 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Other beauty brandYES
5 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: None shut down by Dec 31 2026YES
5 SP @ 100%7 hours ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 42%7 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 68%7 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Helix Midnight LuxeYES
5 SP @ 100%8 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Honest BeautyYES
5 SP @ 100%12 hours ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 50%14 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Rare BeautyYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: None shut down by Dec 31 2026YES
5 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Pleasing (Harry Styles)YES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Pleasing (Harry Styles)YES
5 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: NestleYES
40 SP @ 54%23 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Pleasing (Harry Styles)YES
8 SP @ 65%23 hours ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 36%yesterday
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: GlossierNO
8 SP @ 36%yesterday
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Florence by MillsNO
8 SP @ 42%yesterday
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Honest BeautyYES
9 SP @ 38%yesterday
Lilly vs Novo: bigger GLP-1 share gain in 2026: Eli Lilly (tirzepatide)NO
8 SP @ 49%yesterday
Beauty IPO of 2026: No beauty IPOYES
9 SP @ 39%yesterday
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Florence by MillsYES
8 SP @ 59%yesterday
Will Wingstop hit 3,000 global restaurants by EOY 2026?NO
19 SP @ 45%yesterday
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 53%yesterday
Most-funded vertical farming startup 2026: Gotham GreensNO
8 SP @ 55%yesterday
Will a functional beverage brand air a Super Bowl ad in 2027?YES
8 SP @ 67%yesterday
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: KosasYES
8 SP @ 43%yesterday
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Pleasing (Harry Styles)YES
8 SP @ 59%yesterday
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
6 SP @ 61%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: JLO BeautyNO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: OtherYES
8 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Skincare ingredient of the year 2026: BakuchiolYES
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 63%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: AnuaYES
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: JLO BeautyNO
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: Tower 28YES
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Will Garmin announce a Fenix 9 in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: Re-sellNO
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
TikTok-viral beauty brand of 2026: Tower 28YES
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: GlossierNO
8 SP @ 32%2 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: TatchaYES
8 SP @ 62%2 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: MixsoonYES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Skincare ingredient of the year 2026: Tranexamic acidYES
9 SP @ 38%3 days ago
CBD sleep gummy market leader 2026: Plus CBDYES
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: OtherNO
9 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
First snack brand to break $500M retail in 2026: Belgian BoysYES
8 SP @ 66%3 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: Re-sellYES
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
CBD sleep gummy market leader 2026: Charlotte's WebYES
8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
Rhode (Hailey Bieber) acquisition price if sold: Under $500MYES
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Will a functional beverage brand air a Super Bowl ad in 2027?NO
8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: Selena Gomez expansionNO
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
10 SP @ 19%3 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: TatchaYES
8 SP @ 64%3 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: KosasYES
8 SP @ 61%3 days ago