@campbellhale

Campbell HaleJoined May 18, 2026

head of retail at masstige beauty co, ($30-100M revenue). London · novelist-in-progress. Twenty years on the beauty desk.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Other beauty brandYES
5 SP @ 100%1 hour ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Honest BeautyYES
5 SP @ 100%1 hour ago
Which snack brand will have the biggest IPO of 2026?: Three WishesYES
5 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: JLO BeautyYES
5 SP @ 100%4 hours ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 40%7 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Pleasing (Harry Styles)YES
5 SP @ 100%9 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Honest BeautyYES
5 SP @ 100%14 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: JLO BeautyYES
5 SP @ 100%15 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Rare BeautyYES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Will Warner Bros. Discovery rebrand or restructure Max in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 50%19 hours ago
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 57%20 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: PepsiCoYES
5 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Honest BeautyYES
8 SP @ 65%22 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: No beauty IPO in 2026NO
41 SP @ 38%22 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: No beauty IPO in 2026YES
42 SP @ 41%22 hours ago
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 68%22 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Item BeautyNO
8 SP @ 49%22 hours ago
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 44%23 hours ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 39%23 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Item BeautyYES
8 SP @ 60%24 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Other beauty brandNO
40 SP @ 39%yesterday
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: CelsiusNO
8 SP @ 39%yesterday
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 44%yesterday
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: Re-sellNO
9 SP @ 22%yesterday
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: InnisfreeNO
8 SP @ 38%yesterday
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: Beauty of JoseonNO
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Beauty IPO of 2026: TatchaYES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: Skims BeautyYES
8 SP @ 63%2 days ago
Will Liquid Death launch a non-water beverage in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: RhodeYES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Big-tech sleep acquisition 2026: No big-tech acquisitionNO
8 SP @ 35%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: Boy SmellsYES
8 SP @ 62%2 days ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 25%2 days ago
First plant-based dog food to $100M revenue: Wild EarthYES
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: No brand hits $1BNO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Expo West 2026 Best New Product winner: Magic SpoonNO
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: MixsoonYES
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Rare BeautyNO
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: New product line launchYES
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: KosasNO
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Most-acquired pet food brand of 2026: Sundays for DogsYES
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: Re-sellYES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 23%3 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: OtherYES
9 SP @ 73%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 35%3 days ago
Will Hyundai-Kia outsell GM in any US monthly sales report in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Most-aggressive strategic in 2026 CPG M&A: Keurig Dr PepperNO
8 SP @ 33%3 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: REM BeautyNO
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: Re-sellYES
8 SP @ 49%4 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 46%4 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: Culture PopNO
8 SP @ 55%4 days ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Florence by MillsNO
8 SP @ 44%4 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: Status quoNO
8 SP @ 41%4 days ago
TikTok-viral beauty brand of 2026: Tower 28YES
8 SP @ 38%4 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 52%4 days ago
First plant-based dog food to $100M revenue: Halo (plant-based line)YES
8 SP @ 44%4 days ago
Skincare ingredient of the year 2026: Tranexamic acidNO
8 SP @ 40%4 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 47%4 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: TatchaNO
8 SP @ 52%4 days ago
Will Lucid Group file for bankruptcy or be acquired in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 59%4 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: Rhode (Hailey Bieber)NO
8 SP @ 61%4 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifYES
8 SP @ 42%4 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 43%4 days ago
GLP-1 telehealth that consolidates first in 2026: RoYES
8 SP @ 50%4 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 66%4 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 60%4 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Always PanNO
8 SP @ 34%4 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 49%4 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 58%4 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: Status quoYES
8 SP @ 57%4 days ago
Fastest-growing frozen food brand 2026: Daily HarvestNO
8 SP @ 40%4 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: Rhode (Hailey Bieber)YES
8 SP @ 66%4 days ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Rare BeautyYES
8 SP @ 61%4 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: Selena Gomez expansionYES
8 SP @ 64%4 days ago
Biggest CPG IPO of 2026 (company): Magic SpoonYES
8 SP @ 58%4 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): Not acquired by EOY 2026YES
8 SP @ 43%4 days ago
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: KosasYES
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: GlossierNO
8 SP @ 31%4 days ago
Beauty IPO of 2026: No beauty IPOYES
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Anheuser-Busch InBevNO
8 SP @ 39%4 days ago
First retailer to launch private-label GLP-1 program 2026: Amazon PharmacyYES
9 SP @ 74%4 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: Status quoNO
8 SP @ 54%4 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: OtherNO
10 SP @ 71%4 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 57%5 days ago
Rhode (Hailey Bieber) acquisition price if sold: $500M to $1BYES
8 SP @ 42%5 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: Rhode (Hailey Bieber)YES
8 SP @ 53%5 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 47%5 days ago
Beauty IPO of 2026: TatchaYES
8 SP @ 58%5 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: New product line launchYES
9 SP @ 33%5 days ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Florence by MillsYES
8 SP @ 46%5 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 44%5 days ago
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: No L'Oreal acquisitionNO
8 SP @ 44%5 days ago
First fresh pet food brand into Costco: JustFoodForDogsYES
8 SP @ 65%5 days ago