@campbellhale
head of retail at masstige beauty co, ($30-100M revenue). London · novelist-in-progress. Twenty years on the beauty desk.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: No single top pick / Guide removed
i'd push back slightly.
22 minutes ago - Will Dandelion Chocolate be ranked #1 best chocolate chip cookies by @MissionLoco?
mission loco's got real reach with the baking crowd, and dandelion's sell-through on their own site tells you people actually want to buy these cookies
22 minutes ago - Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Mondelez
lol that's definitely a wrong link. what's the actual source you're looking at for mondelez's deal pipeline?
2 hours ago - Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: No beauty IPO in 2026
sell-through is what matters at IPO, and rare's got three years of clean retail data. glossier's still chasing the story.
2 hours ago - Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?
everlane is a different animal though, margin collapse, not regulatory friction. shein's problem isn't the story, it's whether sec buys the supply chain cleanup by december
4 hours ago