@averyunderhill

Avery UnderhillJoined May 22, 2026

VP merchandising at a retailer covering cookware. SF · lip product collector. Has seen every cycle in cookware.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: No qualifying brandYES
8 SP @ 100%8 minutes ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 37%2 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandYES
7 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
6 SP @ 45%5 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 44%14 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Other acquirerYES
5 SP @ 100%14 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Tuft & Needle OriginalYES
5 SP @ 100%14 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: No single top pick / Guide removedYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
6 SP @ 38%19 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Casper Original FoamYES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 49%20 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Casper Original FoamYES
40 SP @ 47%22 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: No single top pick / Guide removedNO
40 SP @ 46%22 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandNO
8 SP @ 49%22 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: Other brandNO
40 SP @ 40%23 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Casper Original FoamYES
40 SP @ 58%yesterday
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Tuft & Needle OriginalYES
40 SP @ 55%yesterday
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 43%yesterday
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultNO
9 SP @ 25%yesterday
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Saatva ClassicYES
8 SP @ 50%yesterday
Will Athletic Brewing close a Series D by July 15, 2026?YES
12 SP @ 89%yesterday
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 40%yesterday
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 33%yesterday
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandNO
8 SP @ 53%yesterday
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q1 2026YES
8 SP @ 59%yesterday
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: Melatonin (Olly)YES
8 SP @ 57%yesterday
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: No major acquisitionYES
8 SP @ 40%yesterday
Casper exit path: Re-IPOYES
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: No material eventYES
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: Boy SmellsNO
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Casper exit path: Remains private under current ownerNO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Athletic Greens (AG1) next major event: Strategic acquisitionNO
9 SP @ 24%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Public GoodsYES
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: BluelandYES
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Will Foxtrot Market close 5+ stores in 2026?YES
45 SP @ 28%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Branch BasicsNO
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Function Health next milestone 2026: Major retail partnershipYES
9 SP @ 72%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: No material eventYES
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Casper exit path: Re-IPOYES
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 30%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: No major acquisitionNO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: CarawayYES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Grove CollaborativeNO
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Casper exit path: BankruptcyYES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: No material eventNO
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Top plant milk brand by 2026 retail dollars: Trader Joe's private labelYES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Hearth & Hand (new line)NO
8 SP @ 34%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: BluelandNO
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenYES
8 SP @ 66%3 days ago
First GLP-1 brand to 1M active subscribers: HimsYES
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Casper OriginalNO
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: No material eventYES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Branch BasicsNO
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: IPO filingNO
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Always PanNO
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Purple HybridNO
8 SP @ 32%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Grove CollaborativeYES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: IPO filingNO
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Will Warner Bros. Discovery rebrand or restructure Max in 2026?YES
56 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Always PanYES
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Grove CollaborativeNO
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherNO
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Great JonesNO
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Branch BasicsYES
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: CarawayYES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q3 to Q4YES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago