@sagevega

Sage VegaJoined May 18, 2026

product developer at sleep wellness co, ($5-30M revenue). Brooklyn · vintage thrifter. Twenty-five years on the sleep wellness desk.

Calibration

0.31

Top 72% of 68

Win rate

67%

2W · 1L

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

+1 SP

Need at least two settlements to draw a curve.

Calibration

1 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 51%16 hours ago
Will Pizza Hut report a positive US same-store sales quarter in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 46%16 hours ago
Will Hims disclose >2M GLP-1 subscribers by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 44%17 hours ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 62%17 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Under $3.0BNO
8 SP @ 48%21 hours ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 57%22 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Over $4.5BNO
8 SP @ 45%22 hours ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 42%23 hours ago
Will Ro (Roman Health) raise a new funding round by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 46%23 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Under $3.0BYES
8 SP @ 48%yesterday
Lilly vs Novo: bigger GLP-1 share gain in 2026: Novo Nordisk (semaglutide)NO
8 SP @ 35%yesterday
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Seven SundaysNO
40 SP @ 43%yesterday
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: IPO filing (S-1)YES
40 SP @ 52%yesterday
Top-selling longevity supplement of 2026: ResveratrolNO
8 SP @ 42%yesterday
Generic GLP-1 launch in US: Q3 2026YES
8 SP @ 52%yesterday
First GLP-1 telehealth to raise a mega-round in 2026: FoundYES
8 SP @ 62%yesterday
Will AG1 (Athletic Greens) launch a new product SKU by July 15, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 72%yesterday
Big-tech sleep acquisition 2026: WithingsYES
8 SP @ 42%yesterday
Hims's biggest 2026 acquisition: TalkspaceNO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
First retailer to launch private-label GLP-1 program 2026: WalgreensYES
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
CPG founder who returns to active operating role 2026: Jamie Wolf (Goop)NO
10 SP @ 75%2 days ago
PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: +2% to +4%YES
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Function Health next milestone 2026: International launchYES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Will a US streaming service win an NBA, NFL, or MLB exclusive package in 2026?YES
55 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Smart mattress brand to hit $300M revenue first: Tempur Sealy (smart line)YES
8 SP @ 61%2 days ago
Top-selling longevity supplement of 2026: SpermidineNO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Will Ghia raise a Series B by end of Q3 2026?NO
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Tirzepatide compounding outcome: Restricted with shortage carve-outNO
9 SP @ 25%2 days ago
First fresh pet food brand into Costco: JustFoodForDogsNO
8 SP @ 32%2 days ago
Top-selling longevity supplement of 2026: SpermidineYES
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Big-tech sleep acquisition 2026: No big-tech acquisitionNO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Oura IPO timing: Q3 2026NO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Most-funded GLP-1 weight-loss app of 2026: FoundNO
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 70%3 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 64%3 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 63%3 days ago
Creatine brand of the year 2026: Optimum NutritionNO
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
TikTok-viral beauty brand of 2026: RhodeNO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Series B+NO
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
CBD sleep gummy market leader 2026: Sunday ScariesYES
10 SP @ 29%3 days ago
CPG founder who returns to active operating role 2026: Jen Atkin (Ouai)YES
9 SP @ 72%3 days ago
Tirzepatide compounding outcome: Restricted with shortage carve-outYES
10 SP @ 25%3 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 32%3 days ago
Athletic Greens (AG1) next major event: Series D+NO
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Grove CollaborativeNO
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 73%4 days ago
Creatine brand of the year 2026: Bulk SupplementsYES
8 SP @ 56%4 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
10 SP @ 29%4 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 25%4 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 71%4 days ago
Best-selling frozen pizza brand 2026: DaiyaNO
8 SP @ 51%4 days ago
Smart mattress brand to hit $300M revenue first: Eight SleepYES
8 SP @ 50%4 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 69%4 days ago
Top-selling longevity supplement of 2026: CoQ10YES
8 SP @ 49%4 days ago
Tirzepatide compounding outcome: Expanded permissionsYES
9 SP @ 37%4 days ago
Will Foxtrot Market close 5+ stores in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 26%4 days ago
Will Sonos report a positive YoY revenue quarter in 2026?NO
54 SP @ 44%4 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 72%4 days ago
Big-tech sleep acquisition 2026: WithingsYES
10 SP @ 27%4 days ago
First GLP-1 telehealth to raise a mega-round in 2026: FoundYES
9 SP @ 71%4 days ago
First GLP-1 telehealth to raise a mega-round in 2026: Sequence (Weight Watchers)YES
23 SP @ 97%4 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 50%4 days ago
Athletic Greens (AG1) next major event: Major retail partnershipNO
8 SP @ 42%4 days ago
First major CPG IPO filing between May 16 and July 31, 2026: OlipopNO
9 SP @ 63%4 days ago
Top-selling longevity supplement of 2026: SpermidineNO
8 SP @ 39%4 days ago
GLP-1 telehealth that consolidates first in 2026: No consolidationYES
8 SP @ 57%4 days ago
First GLP-1 telehealth to raise a mega-round in 2026: PlushCareYES
8 SP @ 60%4 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 40%4 days ago
Most-discussed wellness influencer launch 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 68%4 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?YES
12 SP @ 88%4 days ago
Longevity startup IPO 2026: Tally HealthYES
8 SP @ 54%4 days ago
Will Olipop publicly report (or be reported to have) revenue above $500M for CY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 57%4 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 52%4 days ago
GLP-1 telehealth that consolidates first in 2026: RoYES
8 SP @ 46%4 days ago
First snack brand to break $500M retail in 2026: Three WishesYES
8 SP @ 56%4 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 39%4 days ago
GLP-1 telehealth that consolidates first in 2026: CalibrateNO
8 SP @ 44%4 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?YES
11 SP @ 84%4 days ago
First mushroom coffee to 1,000 Whole Foods doors: Four SigmaticYES
10 SP @ 80%4 days ago
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: Apigenin (various)YES
8 SP @ 54%4 days ago
CBD sleep gummy market leader 2026: KanibiNO
9 SP @ 64%4 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 65%4 days ago
CPG founder who returns to active operating role 2026: Mark Ramadan (Sir Kensington's)NO
8 SP @ 56%4 days ago
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: Lemme Sleep (Kourtney K)NO
8 SP @ 51%5 days ago
Generic GLP-1 launch in US: 2027 or laterYES
8 SP @ 48%5 days ago
First GLP-1 telehealth to raise a mega-round in 2026: HimsNO
8 SP @ 57%5 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 71%5 days ago
Supplement brand pulled by FDA in 2026: AG1YES
8 SP @ 67%5 days ago
Will Liquid Death announce an international retail expansion by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 66%5 days ago
Big-tech sleep acquisition 2026: OuraYES
9 SP @ 76%5 days ago
First mushroom coffee to 1,000 Whole Foods doors: Four SigmaticNO
11 SP @ 78%5 days ago
Will Whoop announce a new hardware generation in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 46%5 days ago
Smart mattress brand to hit $300M revenue first: Tempur Sealy (smart line)YES
8 SP @ 50%5 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 51%5 days ago