@laylapowell

Layla PowellJoined May 18, 2026

supply chain lead at bedding co, (pre-launch). Seattle · barista at home. Has seen every cycle in bedding.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Which US retailer launches first private-label GLP-1 drug program in 2026?: CostcoYES
5 SP @ 100%19 minutes ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: MondelezYES
10 SP @ 100%28 minutes ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultYES
5 SP @ 100%52 minutes ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Saatva ClassicYES
6 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: Other brandYES
5 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultYES
5 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 39%4 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 71%6 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 41%16 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Helix Midnight LuxeYES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultYES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Tuft & Needle OriginalNO
40 SP @ 53%21 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: Other brandNO
41 SP @ 37%21 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultNO
8 SP @ 33%22 hours ago
Will Disney+ raise its US ad-free price again in 2026?NO
23 SP @ 38%23 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: Other brandYES
40 SP @ 49%23 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultYES
9 SP @ 39%23 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultYES
9 SP @ 33%23 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 59%24 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 28%yesterday
Branch Basics next milestone: AcquiredYES
8 SP @ 52%yesterday
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: Boy SmellsNO
8 SP @ 38%yesterday
Big-tech sleep acquisition 2026: No big-tech acquisitionYES
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenYES
9 SP @ 75%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Hearth & Hand (new line)YES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Will Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses cross 2M cumulative units sold in 2026?YES
52 SP @ 53%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Truly FreeNO
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q1 to Q2NO
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
Casper exit path: Remains private under current ownerNO
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: No material eventNO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Open SpacesNO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifYES
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: GoodthreadsYES
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: VitruviNO
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Always PanYES
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Remains independentNO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): Keurig Dr PepperNO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: BluelandYES
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Marie KondoYES
8 SP @ 68%2 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Always PanYES
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Casper OriginalNO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Branch BasicsNO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifYES
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Will Stellantis announce an exit from the US small-car segment in 2026?NO
14 SP @ 28%2 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Tuft & Needle MintYES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Casper exit path: Remains private under current ownerYES
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Series B+YES
8 SP @ 68%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: BluelandYES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Hearth & Hand (new line)YES
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Great JonesYES
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Branch BasicsNO
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenYES
8 SP @ 65%3 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Purple HybridYES
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: GoodthreadsYES
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Truly FreeNO
8 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Casper exit path: BankruptcyYES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Branch BasicsNO
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Avocado GreenNO
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Grove CollaborativeNO
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: BluelandNO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Tuft & Needle MintNO
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: CarawayNO
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Grove CollaborativeNO
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: BluelandNO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: No major acquisitionYES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Always PanNO
9 SP @ 27%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Truly FreeNO
8 SP @ 37%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Truly FreeNO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Studio McGee expansionYES
8 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Avocado GreenNO
8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Open SpacesYES
8 SP @ 64%3 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifYES
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: No major acquisitionNO
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandYES
8 SP @ 63%3 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: AcquiredNO
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Casper exit path: Remains private under current ownerNO
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Avocado GreenYES
8 SP @ 69%4 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Target launchYES
8 SP @ 61%4 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: No material eventYES
8 SP @ 52%4 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandYES
8 SP @ 62%4 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: No major acquisitionYES
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Creatine brand of the year 2026: Optimum NutritionYES
8 SP @ 60%4 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Grove CollaborativeYES
8 SP @ 52%4 days ago
Will Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses cross 2M cumulative units sold in 2026?NO
22 SP @ 46%4 days ago
Will KeHE add 20+ new functional beverage SKUs to its natural set in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 47%4 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Method (SC Johnson)YES
8 SP @ 47%4 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Hearth & Hand (new line)YES
8 SP @ 54%4 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Truly FreeYES
8 SP @ 41%4 days ago
Casper exit path: Re-IPONO
8 SP @ 52%4 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Casper OriginalYES
8 SP @ 61%4 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q3 to Q4YES
8 SP @ 47%4 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Target launchNO
8 SP @ 57%4 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenYES
8 SP @ 59%4 days ago
Will Liquid Death announce an international retail expansion by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 62%4 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Mrs. Meyer'sNO
8 SP @ 61%4 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Truly FreeYES
8 SP @ 50%4 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: Boy SmellsNO
8 SP @ 39%4 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: CarawayNO
8 SP @ 54%4 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): Not acquired by EOY 2026YES
8 SP @ 45%4 days ago
Will an AI music generator hit 10M monthly active users in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 49%4 days ago