@laneyoon

Lane YoonJoined May 18, 2026

brand director at household co, ($30-100M revenue). Chicago · CrossFit regular. Has seen every cycle in household.

Calibration

0.24

Top 47% of 68

Win rate

100%

1W · 0L

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

+15 SP

Need at least two settlements to draw a curve.

Calibration

1 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 35%1 hour ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 55%3 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandYES
8 SP @ 57%21 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultYES
8 SP @ 41%21 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Casper Original FoamNO
40 SP @ 45%22 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 63%22 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Tuft & Needle OriginalNO
40 SP @ 53%22 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandYES
8 SP @ 55%23 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 52%yesterday
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Casper OriginalYES
8 SP @ 50%yesterday
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: No major acquisitionYES
8 SP @ 44%yesterday
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 28%yesterday
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: OtherlandYES
8 SP @ 45%yesterday
Top-selling longevity supplement of 2026: ResveratrolNO
8 SP @ 46%yesterday
Branch Basics next milestone: AcquiredNO
8 SP @ 48%yesterday
Longevity startup IPO 2026: Elysium HealthNO
8 SP @ 40%yesterday
Branch Basics next milestone: Series B+NO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: None launch nationalNO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Method (SC Johnson)NO
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Hearth & Hand (new line)NO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Branch BasicsNO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherNO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Studio McGee expansionNO
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherNO
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifYES
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Will Disney+ raise its US ad-free price again in 2026?NO
46 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): NestleNO
9 SP @ 30%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandNO
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Grove CollaborativeYES
8 SP @ 63%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: VitruviYES
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Will Pizza Hut report a positive US same-store sales quarter in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Saatva ClassicYES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Purple HybridNO
8 SP @ 35%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Mrs. Meyer'sNO
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandNO
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Biggest CPG SPAC of 2026: Liquid Death SPAC mergerNO
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandNO
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Series B+NO
9 SP @ 62%2 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: IPO filingNO
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Casper exit path: BankruptcyNO
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Will Meta launch the Quest 4 headset in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherYES
9 SP @ 73%3 days ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Saatva ClassicYES
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Casper OriginalYES
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Branch BasicsYES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
GLP-1 telehealth that consolidates first in 2026: RoNO
8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
Casper exit path: Remains private under current ownerYES
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Branch BasicsNO
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q1 to Q2NO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Studio McGee expansionNO
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Studio McGee expansionNO
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Remains independentYES
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: Boy SmellsNO
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Truly FreeNO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Method (SC Johnson)YES
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: OtherlandYES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Remains independentYES
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: None launch nationalNO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifNO
8 SP @ 37%3 days ago
Casper exit path: Re-IPONO
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Saatva ClassicYES
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: CelsiusNO
8 SP @ 57%4 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: Boy SmellsYES
8 SP @ 40%4 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Mrs. Meyer'sNO
8 SP @ 47%4 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: OtherlandYES
8 SP @ 57%4 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: None launch nationalYES
8 SP @ 39%4 days ago
Will Recess shut down or pivot away from sparkling water in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 38%4 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Method (SC Johnson)NO
8 SP @ 32%4 days ago
Most-funded vertical farming startup 2026: Eden GreenNO
9 SP @ 63%4 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: Boy SmellsNO
9 SP @ 30%4 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Great JonesNO
8 SP @ 49%4 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: IPO filingYES
8 SP @ 54%4 days ago
Will Nothing officially launch a phone in the US in 2026?YES
59 SP @ 56%4 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Truly FreeYES
9 SP @ 36%4 days ago
CBD sleep gummy market leader 2026: Plus CBDYES
9 SP @ 37%4 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Series B+NO
9 SP @ 64%4 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Casper OriginalNO
8 SP @ 58%4 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenNO
8 SP @ 55%4 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: GoodthreadsYES
8 SP @ 61%4 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: None launch nationalYES
8 SP @ 46%4 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: GoodthreadsNO
8 SP @ 55%4 days ago
Oura IPO timing: Q3 2026YES
8 SP @ 52%4 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Branch BasicsNO
8 SP @ 34%4 days ago
Will Magic Spoon be acquired by a strategic in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 58%4 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Always PanYES
9 SP @ 37%4 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: GoodthreadsNO
9 SP @ 66%4 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Target launchNO
8 SP @ 51%4 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: GoodthreadsYES
9 SP @ 72%4 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Purple HybridNO
9 SP @ 25%4 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: BluelandNO
8 SP @ 48%4 days ago
Casper exit path: Re-IPOYES
9 SP @ 75%5 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Grove CollaborativeYES
9 SP @ 35%5 days ago
Will a functional beverage brand air a Super Bowl ad in 2027?NO
8 SP @ 48%5 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: IPO filingYES
8 SP @ 48%5 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Casper OriginalNO
8 SP @ 54%5 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Truly FreeNO
11 SP @ 15%5 days ago
Will Recess shut down or pivot away from sparkling water in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 44%5 days ago
Casper exit path: Remains private under current ownerNO
8 SP @ 38%5 days ago