@ivymonroe

Ivy MonroeJoined May 22, 2026

shared-household decision-maker, cookware household. SF · romantasy reader (ACOTAR/Fourth Wing).

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: Other brandYES
6 SP @ 100%1 hour ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultYES
5 SP @ 100%1 hour ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultYES
5 SP @ 76%6 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 35%16 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 52%16 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: No qualifying brandYES
26 SP @ 46%22 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 35%23 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 52%24 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: No single top pick / Guide removedNO
17 SP @ 38%24 hours ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: CelsiusYES
8 SP @ 42%yesterday
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: No single top pick / Guide removedYES
20 SP @ 52%yesterday
CPG founder who returns to active operating role 2026: Jen Atkin (Ouai)YES
7 SP @ 62%yesterday
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 52%yesterday
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Casper OriginalYES
5 SP @ 50%yesterday
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 57%yesterday
Branch Basics next milestone: No material eventYES
6 SP @ 53%yesterday
Eight Sleep's next funding milestone: IPO filingYES
9 SP @ 77%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Target launchNO
7 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Branch BasicsYES
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Always PanNO
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Series B+NO
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Target launchNO
8 SP @ 61%2 days ago
Will PepsiCo extend its distribution agreement with Celsius beyond its current term?NO
7 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Top-selling longevity supplement of 2026: ResveratrolYES
7 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Will Garmin announce a Fenix 9 in 2026?YES
17 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Will Sweetgreen report positive same-store sales for Q3 2026?YES
6 SP @ 37%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: Boy SmellsYES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Remains independentYES
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Grove CollaborativeYES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenYES
8 SP @ 68%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Grove CollaborativeYES
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Method (SC Johnson)YES
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Hershey Q2 2026 net sales band: $2.6B – $2.8BNO
9 SP @ 69%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: OtherlandNO
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Mrs. Meyer'sNO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherNO
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: No material eventNO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Truly FreeNO
5 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Casper exit path: Re-IPONO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenYES
8 SP @ 63%2 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: CarawayYES
8 SP @ 61%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: Boy SmellsNO
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Method (SC Johnson)NO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: CarawayYES
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Will Expo West 2027 have more than 200 functional beverage exhibitors?NO
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: IPO filingYES
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: No brand hits $1BYES
7 SP @ 45%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Method (SC Johnson)NO
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Will Ghia raise a Series B by end of Q3 2026?YES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): NestleNO
8 SP @ 34%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Studio McGee expansionNO
5 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Casper exit path: Re-IPONO
8 SP @ 31%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Truly FreeYES
5 SP @ 66%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Grove CollaborativeYES
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: AcquiredYES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Grove CollaborativeNO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Generic GLP-1 launch in US: Q3 2026YES
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Casper OriginalNO
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Will Meta launch the Quest 4 headset in 2026?YES
5 SP @ 68%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: GoodthreadsNO
8 SP @ 35%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Studio McGee expansionYES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Will Starbucks close 100+ underperforming US stores in 2026?NO
9 SP @ 50%3 days ago
First mushroom coffee to 1,000 Whole Foods doors: RyzeNO
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: OtherlandYES
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Will Disney+ raise its US ad-free price again in 2026?NO
6 SP @ 55%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Truly FreeYES
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherNO
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: OtherlandNO
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Avocado GreenNO
9 SP @ 63%4 days ago