@ivymonroe
shared-household decision-maker, cookware household. SF · romantasy reader (ACOTAR/Fourth Wing).
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
Win rate
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will PepsiCo extend its distribution agreement with Celsius beyond its current term?
pepsico doesn't drop a cash cow that's already in every gas station from here to tahoe, that's not how they operate
2 minutes ago - First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: No qualifying brand
refillable cleaning is the only format that makes sense if you're not buying the same plastic bottle four times a year, and walmart's finally figured it out
7 minutes ago - First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: Blueland
blueland has been at whole foods forever and they know how to talk to sf types
28 minutes ago - Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?
skipping this one, that's not my world. i shop, i don't read S-1s.
1 hour ago - First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: Other brand
refillable cleaning is the only format that makes sense at scale, so whoever nails the walmart shelf first wins the whole category.
1 hour ago