@elliskhan

Ellis KhanJoined May 22, 2026

category buyer at a retailer covering bedding/linens. SF · skincare maximalist (12-step K-routine). Twenty-five years on the bedding desk.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: PepsiCoYES
5 SP @ 100%31 minutes ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: No single top pick / Guide removedYES
7 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Tuft & Needle OriginalYES
5 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: No qualifying brandYES
6 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandYES
5 SP @ 100%14 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 37%17 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: Other brandYES
5 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Helix Midnight LuxeYES
60 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Will Diageo announce a CEO change in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 39%20 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Tuft & Needle OriginalYES
5 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: Other brandYES
60 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Helix Midnight LuxeNO
41 SP @ 37%21 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Saatva ClassicYES
8 SP @ 52%21 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Other brandNO
40 SP @ 43%22 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 56%22 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: No single top pick / Guide removedNO
36 SP @ 31%23 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 62%23 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: No single top pick / Guide removedNO
41 SP @ 35%24 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 47%yesterday
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 32%yesterday
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Great JonesYES
8 SP @ 53%yesterday
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Public GoodsYES
8 SP @ 42%yesterday
First major CPG IPO filing between May 16 and July 31, 2026: Athletic BrewingYES
8 SP @ 53%yesterday
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 34%yesterday
Casper exit path: Re-IPOYES
8 SP @ 57%yesterday
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenNO
9 SP @ 70%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: VitruviYES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: AcquiredNO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: No material eventYES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q3 to Q4YES
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Marie KondoNO
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Branch BasicsNO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: Boy SmellsNO
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Function Health next milestone 2026: International launchYES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandNO
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
First CPG company to file S-1 in 2026: Magic SpoonNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q1 to Q2YES
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Target launchNO
8 SP @ 61%2 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: IPO filingNO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: Lemme Sleep (Kourtney K)YES
9 SP @ 72%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandYES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Purple HybridNO
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Truly FreeYES
8 SP @ 62%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: OtherlandYES
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: Boy SmellsYES
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Casper exit path: Re-IPONO
8 SP @ 34%2 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Always PanYES
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Method (SC Johnson)NO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: No major acquisitionYES
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Supplement brand pulled by FDA in 2026: AG1NO
9 SP @ 68%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Target launchNO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Casper exit path: BankruptcyNO
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Casper exit path: Remains private under current ownerYES
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Will KeHE add 20+ new functional beverage SKUs to its natural set in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Most-acquired pet treat brand 2026: Bocce's BakeryYES
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Remains independentNO
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Marie KondoNO
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Hearth & Hand (new line)NO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Casper OriginalNO
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Truly FreeNO
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Casper exit path: Re-IPONO
8 SP @ 36%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Remains independentYES
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Smart mattress brand to hit $300M revenue first: PurpleYES
16 SP @ 16%3 days ago
Casper exit path: Re-IPONO
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: IPO filingNO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago